Dynamo Kyiv vs Shakhtar Donetsk preview

Ukraine flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
Stadion Dynamo im. Valery Lobanovsky Today - 3:00 PM
Premier League
Dynamo Kyiv DYN
Shakhtar Donetsk SHK
KICKOFF : Today - 3:00 PM
Round 26 Regular Season

CONTEXT

At Stadion Dynamo im. Valery Lobanovsky in Kyiv, Dynamo Kyiv welcomes league-leading Shakhtar Donetsk for a pivotal Premier League regular season encounter in the 2025/2026 campaign. Shakhtar holds a clear edge with a power score of 74.35 against Dynamo's 66.06, translating to an 8.3-point advantage that highlights their structural dominance. Sitting atop the standings in 1st place, Shakhtar's form score of 41.61 significantly outpaces Dynamo's 25.22, reflecting stronger recent momentum despite no specific last outings detailed. Dynamo, in 4th, benefits from home support but faces a uphill battle against the top side. Advanced metrics like efficiency and set pieces remain unavailable due to lacking xG data, shifting emphasis to raw power and league positions. Dynamo's defensive resilience will be tested by Shakhtar's quality, while transitions could prove decisive in this high-stakes domestic rivalry. Fans anticipate a tense affair where every possession counts.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Shakhtar Donetsk possesses a superior power score of 74.35 compared to Dynamo Kyiv's 66.06, giving them an 8.3-point advantage.
  • Form: Shakhtar Donetsk's form score stands at 41.61, well ahead of Dynamo Kyiv's 25.22.
  • Squad: Shakhtar Donetsk leads the league in 1st place, with Dynamo Kyiv in 4th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition play metrics are not available in the provided data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data is unavailable due to lack of xG availability.
  • xVariable: xVariable statistics are not provided for this matchup.
  • Market: Dynamo Kyiv 36.3% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26.6% (Δ+0%) | Shakhtar Donetsk 37.1% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Dynamo Kyiv I. Kostyuk
I. Kostyuk
VS
Shakhtar Donetsk A. Turan
A. Turan
1.93
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.57
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Rank: 56 W
Zorya Luhansk Rank: 52 W
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Rank: 50 L
Karpaty Rank: 55 L
Oleksandria Rank: 44 W
Obolon'-Brovar Rank: 41 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kudrivka Rank: 41 W
Zorya Luhansk Rank: 52 W
Polissya Zhytomyr Rank: 61 W
LNZ Cherkasy Rank: 58 D
Rukh Vynnyky Rank: 43 W
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Rank: 52 W
13
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
13 - 14 - 24
24
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Dynamo Kyiv
36.32%
Draw
26.63%
Away Shakhtar Donetsk
37.05%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
66.06
74.35
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Dynamo Kyiv
Shakhtar Donetsk
Power Score
66.06
74.35
League Position
4
1
Global Rank
293
120

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Dynamo Kyiv — Opponent-weighted form score
Shakhtar Donetsk — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Dynamo Kyiv Shakhtar Donetsk

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 51 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Dynamo Kyiv DYN Home
51 matches
Shakhtar Donetsk SHK Away
Match Record
13
Wins
24
14
Draws
14
24
Losses
13
Goals
48
Goals Scored
69
69
Goals Conceded
48
-21
Goal Difference
+21
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-02T01:06:59+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
May 03, 2026, 03:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine · Round 26 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Dynamo im. Valery Lobanovsky
Capacity
40003
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Oleksandr Afanasiev

Squad

Referee : Oleksandr Afanasiev

Squad ▼

35
Ruslan Neshcheret
Ruslan Neshcheret Goalkeeper
51
Valentyn Morgun
Valentyn Morgun Goalkeeper
74
Denis Ignatenko
Denis Ignatenko Goalkeeper
20
Oleksandr Karavaev
Oleksandr Karavaev Defender
18
Oleksandr Tymchyk
Oleksandr Tymchyk Defender
44
Vladyslav Dubinchak
Vladyslav Dubinchak Defender
4
Denys Popov
Denys Popov Defender
40
Kristian Bilova
Kristian Bilova Defender
2
Kostiantyn Vivcharenko
Kostiantyn Vivcharenko Defender
66
Aliou Thiare
Aliou Thiare Defender
32
Taras Mykhavko
Taras Mykhavko Defender
13
Maksym Korobov
Maksym Korobov Defender
34
Vladyslav Zakharchenko
Vladyslav Zakharchenko Defender
29
Vitaliy Buyalskyy
Vitaliy Buyalskyy Midfielder
10
Mykola Shaparenko
Mykola Shaparenko Midfielder
8
Oleksandr Pikhalyonok
Oleksandr Pikhalyonok Midfielder
91
Mykola Mykhailenko
Mykola Mykhailenko Midfielder
6
Volodymyr Brazhko
Volodymyr Brazhko Midfielder
5
Oleksandr Yatsyk
Oleksandr Yatsyk Midfielder
7
Andriy Yarmolenko
Andriy Yarmolenko Attacker
22
Vladyslav Kabaiev
Vladyslav Kabaiev Attacker
39
Eduardo Antonio Guerrero Lozcano
Eduardo Antonio Guerrero Lozcano Attacker
9
Nazar Voloshyn
Nazar Voloshyn Attacker
77
V. Blănuță
V. Blănuță Attacker
11
Matviy Ponomarenko
Matviy Ponomarenko Attacker
16
Oluwashola Elijah Ogundana
Oluwashola Elijah Ogundana Attacker
70
Bogdan Redushko
Bogdan Redushko Attacker
Referee : Oleksandr Afanasiev

Squad ▼

31
Dmytro Riznyk
Dmytro Riznyk Goalkeeper
23
Kiril Fesiun
Kiril Fesiun Goalkeeper
48
Denys Tvardovskyi
Denys Tvardovskyi Goalkeeper
4
Marlon Santos da Silva Barbosa
Marlon Santos da Silva Barbosa Defender
22
Mykola Matviyenko
Mykola Matviyenko Defender
5
Valerii Bondar
Valerii Bondar Defender
26
Yukhym Konoplia
Yukhym Konoplia Defender
99
Viktor Korniienko
Viktor Korniienko Defender
16
Irakli Azarovi
Irakli Azarovi Defender
18
Alaa Ghram
Alaa Ghram Defender
17
Vinicius Augusto Tobias da Silva
Vinicius Augusto Tobias da Silva Defender
13
Pedro Henrique Azevedo Pereira
Pedro Henrique Azevedo Pereira Defender
46
Danylo Udod
Danylo Udod Defender
—
Roman Savchenko
Roman Savchenko Defender
3
Diego Arroyo
Diego Arroyo Defender
29
Egor Nazaryna
Egor Nazaryna Midfielder
8
Dmytro Kryskiv
Dmytro Kryskiv Midfielder
21
Artem Bondarenko
Artem Bondarenko Midfielder
27
Oleh Ocheretko
Oleh Ocheretko Midfielder
6
Marlon Gomes Claudino
Marlon Gomes Claudino Midfielder
24
Viktor Tsukanov
Viktor Tsukanov Midfielder
30
Alisson Santana Lopes da Fonseca
Alisson Santana Lopes da Fonseca Midfielder
14
Isaque Severino Silva
Isaque Severino Silva Midfielder
34
Ivan Petryak
Ivan Petryak Attacker
9
Marian Shved
Marian Shved Attacker
10
Pedro Victor Delmino da Silva
Pedro Victor Delmino da Silva Attacker
2
Lassina Traore
Lassina Traore Attacker
7
Eguinaldo de Sousa Lemos
Eguinaldo de Sousa Lemos Attacker
19
Kauã Elias Nogueira
Kauã Elias Nogueira Attacker
11
Newertton Martins da Silva
Newertton Martins da Silva Attacker
68
Prosper Soporuchi Obah
Prosper Soporuchi Obah Attacker
37
Lucas dos Santos Ferreira
Lucas dos Santos Ferreira Attacker
49
Luca Oliveira Meirelles
Luca Oliveira Meirelles Attacker

CONCLUSION

Shakhtar Donetsk's commanding league position and higher power and form scores position them as the team to beat, even on Dynamo's home turf. The 8.3-point power gap underscores Shakhtar's overall quality, likely influencing possession and chance creation. Dynamo Kyiv must leverage crowd energy and solid structure to disrupt Shakhtar's rhythm, particularly in transitions where data is absent but intuition suggests vulnerability. Without efficiency or set piece insights, the contest hinges on squad depth and momentum, favoring the leaders. Expect Shakhtar to control proceedings, though Dynamo's resolve could yield a competitive draw or narrow defeat. This clash encapsulates the Premier League's intensity.