Dinamo Zagreb vs Hajduk Split preview

Croatia flag 2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia
Stadion Maksimir Yesterday - 2:00 PM
1. HNL
Dinamo Zagreb GNK
Hajduk Split Hajduk Split
KICKOFF : Yesterday - 2:00 PM
Round 34 Regular Season

CONTEXT

The Eternal Derby ignites Stadion Maksimir as Dinamo Zagreb hosts Hajduk Split in a crucial 1. HNL regular season encounter during the 2025/2026 campaign. Dinamo commands the top of the table in first place, wielding a superior power score of 81.27 against Hajduk's 72.82, translating to an 8.5-point advantage. Recent form tilts heavily toward the hosts with a 33.5 score eclipsing the visitors' 25.5, underscoring their momentum atop the standings. This rivalry clash carries immense weight, with Dinamo seeking to solidify their lead while Hajduk aims to challenge from second position. Lacking detailed last outings or form records, underlying metrics highlight Dinamo's structural edge in this domestic showdown. Set piece and efficiency insights remain unavailable due to absent xG data, yet the power disparity suggests a contest dominated by the home side's prowess. Expect tactical battles and fervent support to shape the outcome.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Dinamo Zagreb leads the 1. HNL in first place with a power score of 81.27, surpassing Hajduk Split's 72.82 in second.
  • Form: Dinamo Zagreb holds a superior form score of 33.5 over Hajduk Split's 25.5.
  • Squad: Squad composition details unavailable for both teams.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics unavailable.
  • Transition: Transition play data unavailable.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable due to lack of xG statistics.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable for analysis.
  • Market: Baseline split: Dinamo Zagreb 56.4% (Δ+0%) | Draw 23.9% (Δ+0%) | Hajduk Split 19.7% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Dinamo Zagreb M. Kovačević
M. Kovačević
VS
Hajduk Split G. García García
G. García García
2.57
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.75
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Gorica Rank: 62 W
Varaždin Rank: 66 W
Istra 1961 Rank: 63 W
Rijeka Rank: 69 D
Vukovar Rank: 57 W
Osijek Rank: 63 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Varaždin Rank: 66 W
Rijeka Rank: 69 D
Osijek Rank: 63 L
Slaven Koprivnica Rank: 62 D
Gorica Rank: 63 W
Istra 1961 Rank: 63 W
34
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
34 - 22 - 16
16
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Dinamo Zagreb
56.43%
Draw
23.9%
Away Hajduk Split
19.67%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
81.27
72.82
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Dinamo Zagreb
Hajduk Split
Power Score
81.27
72.82
League Position
1
2
Global Rank
52
145

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Dinamo Zagreb — Opponent-weighted form score
Hajduk Split — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Dinamo Zagreb Hajduk Split

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 72 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Dinamo Zagreb GNK Home
72 matches
Hajduk Split Hajduk Split Away
Match Record
34
Wins
16
22
Draws
22
16
Losses
34
Goals
105
Goals Scored
62
62
Goals Conceded
105
+43
Goal Difference
-43
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-08T00:06:49+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
D. Livaković
40 D. Livaković
M. Valincic
25 M. Valincic
N. Galesic
15 N. Galesic
R. Torrente Navarro
18 R. Torrente Navarro
M. Vinlöf
22 M. Vinlöf
M. Soldo
14 M. Soldo
J. Mišić
27 J. Mišić
G. Vidović
10 G. Vidović
M. Bakrar
71 M. Bakrar
D. Dijon
9 D. Dijon
A. Hoxha
11 A. Hoxha
T. Silić
33 T. Silić
D. Melnjak
17 D. Melnjak
D. Maresic
15 D. Maresic
Z. Šarlija
31 Z. Šarlija
N. Sigur
8 N. Sigur
A. Pajaziti
4 A. Pajaziti
R. Brajković
28 R. Brajković
M. Šego
11 M. Šego
R. Pukstas
21 R. Pukstas
I. Almena Horcajo
30 I. Almena Horcajo
M. Livaja
10 M. Livaja

General Information

Date & Time
May 09, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Maksimir
Capacity
24851
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Patrik Pavlešić

Expected Lineup

Referee : Patrik Pavlešić

Starting XI ▼

40
Dominik Livakovic
Dominik Livakovic Goalkeeper
6.65
11
Arbër Hoxha
Arbër Hoxha Centre Forward
6.98
9
Dion Beljo
Dion Beljo Left Wing
7.51
14
Marko Soldo
Marko Soldo Defensive Midfield
6.72
15
Niko Galesic
Niko Galesic Right Back
6.81
18
Raúl Torrente
Raúl Torrente Left Back
7.22
22
Matteo Pérez Vinlöf
Matteo Pérez Vinlöf Left Back
6.93
25
Moris Valincic
Moris Valincic Right Back
6.83
27
Josip Misic
Josip Misic Defensive Midfield
7.25
71
Monsef Bakrar
Monsef Bakrar Attacking Midfield
6.87
10
Gabriel Vidovic
Gabriel Vidovic Right Wing
6.98
Referee : Patrik Pavlešić

Starting XI ▼

33
Toni Silic
Toni Silic Goalkeeper
6.86
10
Marko Livaja
Marko Livaja Centre Forward
7.15
4
Adrion Pajaziti
Adrion Pajaziti Defensive Midfield
6.87
11
Michele Sego
Michele Sego Left Wing
6.98
15
Dario Maresic
Dario Maresic Left Back
7.05
17
Dario Melnjak
Dario Melnjak Left Back
6.82
21
Rokas Pukstas
Rokas Pukstas Attacking Midfield
7.29
28
Roko Brajkovic
Roko Brajkovic Defensive Midfield
6.87
31
Zvonimir Sarlija
Zvonimir Sarlija Right Back
6.95
8
Niko Sigur
Niko Sigur Right Back
6.98
30
Iker Almena
Iker Almena Right Wing
7.01

CONCLUSION

Dinamo Zagreb enters this derby with clear advantages in power rating and form, positioning them to leverage home advantage at Maksimir. Hajduk Split trails but remains a potent threat in second place, capable of exploiting any lapses. Absent detailed efficiency or set piece insights, the focus shifts to Dinamo's 8.5-point edge and league-leading status. This matchup hinges on execution amid rivalry intensity, likely favoring the hosts' momentum. Supporters anticipate a gripping battle where Dinamo's superior metrics could secure vital points in the title race.