Derby County vs Sheffield United preview

England flag 2025/2026 Championship, England
Pride Park Stadium Sat, 2 May - 11:30 AM
Championship
Derby County DRB
Sheffield United SHU
KICKOFF : Sat, 2 May - 11:30 AM
Round 46 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Derby County host Sheffield United in Championship (Regular Season) at Pride Park Stadium. Domestically, Derby County sit 8th in the table while Sheffield United are 15th. Power ranking favours Derby County by 1.2 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Derby County occupies 8th place in the Championship, ahead of Sheffield United in 15th.
  • Form: Derby's form score reaches 19.72, exceeding Sheffield United's 18.22.
  • Squad: Derby holds a power score of 25.59 against Sheffield United's 24.44.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data remains unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition metrics lack specific details for both teams.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats use low-confidence proxies as xG data is unavailable.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables are not accessible for either side.
  • Market: Derby County 54.2% (Δ+0%) | Draw 23.9% (Δ+0%) | Sheffield United 21.9% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Derby County J. Eustace
J. Eustace
VS
Sheffield United C. Wilder
C. Wilder
1.63
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.5
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Queens Park Rangers Rank: W
Norwich City Rank: L
Oxford United Rank: W
Southampton Rank: L
Stoke City Rank: W
Coventry City Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Preston North End Rank: L
Blackburn Rovers Rank: L
Watford Rank: W
Hull City Rank: W
Bristol City Rank: L
Swansea City Rank: D
5
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
5 - 2 - 11
11
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Derby County
54.18%
Draw
23.89%
Away Sheffield United
21.93%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
25.59
24.44
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Derby County
Sheffield United
Power Score
25.59
24.44
League Position
8
15
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Derby County — Opponent-weighted form score
Sheffield United — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Derby County Sheffield United

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 18 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Derby County DRB Home
18 matches
Sheffield United SHU Away
Match Record
5
Wins
11
2
Draws
2
11
Losses
5
Goals
18
Goals Scored
25
25
Goals Conceded
18
-7
Goal Difference
+7
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-27T00:28:02+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
May 02, 2026, 11:30 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Championship, England · Round 46 · Regular Season
Stadium
Pride Park Stadium
Capacity
33597
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

12
Richard O'Donnell
Richard O'Donnell Goalkeeper
31
Josh Vickers
Josh Vickers Goalkeeper
1
Jacob Widell Zetterström
Jacob Widell Zetterström Goalkeeper
3
Craig Forsyth
Craig Forsyth Defender
5
Matt Clarke
Matt Clarke Defender
20
Callum Elder
Callum Elder Defender
4
Danny Batth
Danny Batth Defender
28
Dion Sanderson
Dion Sanderson Defender
2
Derry John Murkin
Derry John Murkin Defender
6
Sondre Klingen Langås
Sondre Klingen Langås Defender
22
Max Johnston
Max Johnston Defender
27
Lewis Travis
Lewis Travis Midfielder
19
Samuel Szmodics
Samuel Szmodics Midfielder
23
Joe Ward
Joe Ward Midfielder
16
Liam Thompson
Liam Thompson Midfielder
42
Bobby Clark
Bobby Clark Midfielder
29
Oscar Fraulo
Oscar Fraulo Midfielder
18
David Ozoh
David Ozoh Midfielder
37
Owen Eames
Owen Eames Midfielder
7
Patrick Agyemang
Patrick Agyemang Attacker
9
Carlton Morris
Carlton Morris Attacker
25
Ben Brereton
Ben Brereton Attacker
15
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen Attacker
10
Rhian Brewster
Rhian Brewster Attacker
34
Jaydon Amauri Banel
Jaydon Amauri Banel Attacker

Squad ▼

17
Adam Davies
Adam Davies Goalkeeper
1
Michael Cooper
Michael Cooper Goalkeeper
31
Luke Faxon
Luke Faxon Goalkeeper
15
Ben Mee
Ben Mee Defender
2
Japhet Tanganga
Japhet Tanganga Defender
14
Harrison Burrows
Harrison Burrows Defender
16
Jamie Shackleton
Jamie Shackleton Defender
3
Sam McCallum
Sam McCallum Defender
12
Ki-Jana Hoever
Ki-Jana Hoever Defender
38
Femi Seriki
Femi Seriki Defender
25
Mark McGuinness
Mark McGuinness Defender
5
Leo Fuhr Hjelde
Leo Fuhr Hjelde Defender
32
Mihail Yordanov Polendakov
Mihail Yordanov Polendakov Defender
6
Tyler Bindon
Tyler Bindon Defender
22
Tom Davies
Tom Davies Midfielder
27
Kalvin Phillips
Kalvin Phillips Midfielder
48
Joe Rothwell
Joe Rothwell Midfielder
10
Callum O'Hare
Callum O'Hare Midfielder
44
Jaïro Riedewald
Jaïro Riedewald Midfielder
8
Gustavo Hamer
Gustavo Hamer Midfielder
24
Tahith Chong
Tahith Chong Midfielder
11
Andre Brookes
Andre Brookes Midfielder
28
Alex Matos
Alex Matos Midfielder
4
Ollie Arblaster
Ollie Arblaster Midfielder
42
Sydie Peck
Sydie Peck Midfielder
18
Djibril Soumaré
Djibril Soumaré Midfielder
45
Patrick Bamford
Patrick Bamford Attacker
9
Daniel William John Ings
Daniel William John Ings Attacker
19
Chiedozie Ogbene
Chiedozie Ogbene Attacker
23
Tyrese Campbell
Tyrese Campbell Attacker
7
Thomas Christopher Cannon
Thomas Christopher Cannon Attacker

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Derby County holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Derby County a 1.2-point edge. External projection is Derby County 52.9%, draw 24.4%, and Sheffield United 22.7%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.