CSKA Moskva vs Zenit preview

Russia flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Russia
VEB Arena Today - 4:00 PM
Premier League
CSKA Moskva CSKA Moskva
Zenit ZSP
KICKOFF : Today - 4:00 PM
Round 28 Regular Season

CONTEXT

CSKA Moskva welcome Zenit to VEB Arena for a crucial Premier League regular season clash in the 2025/2026 campaign. Zenit arrive as the form side, boasting a superior power score of 80.12 against CSKA's 69.99, translating to a clear 10.1-point advantage that underscores their status as the stronger team. Currently second in the standings, Zenit trail only the leaders, while CSKA languish in sixth, highlighting the gap in consistency. Form scores further tilt the scales, with Zenit's 32.17 dwarfing CSKA's 16.78, suggesting momentum lies firmly with the visitors. No recent match details are available, leaving focus on broader trends. Set piece metrics remain elusive due to absent xG data and low-confidence proxies for both sides. Played on CSKA's home turf, this encounter pits resilience against dominance in a league where every point counts toward European qualification.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Zenit hold a 10.1-point power advantage and second-place standing over CSKA Moskva's sixth position.
  • Form: Zenit's form score of 32.17 outstrips CSKA Moskva's 16.78.
  • Squad: Squad quality favors Zenit, reflected in their higher power score and league position.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play data is not provided for either team.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats unavailable due to lack of xG data and low confidence.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables absent for both CSKA Moskva and Zenit.
  • Market: CSKA Moskva 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Zenit 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
CSKA Moskva F. Celestini
F. Celestini
VS
Zenit S. Semak
S. Semak
1.15
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.31
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rubin Kazan Rank: 62 D
Rostov Rank: 60 D
Krylya Sovetov Rank: 54 D
Sochi Rank: 47 L
Akron Rank: 55 W
Dynamo Makhachkala Rank: 57 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Akhmat Grozny Rank: 59 W
Lokomotiv Moskva Rank: 71 D
Dynamo Makhachkala Rank: 57 W
Krasnodar Rank: 76 D
Krylya Sovetov Rank: 57 W
Dinamo Moskva Rank: 70 W
11
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
11 - 15 - 19
19
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home CSKA Moskva
0%
Draw
0%
Away Zenit
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
69.99
80.12
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
CSKA Moskva
Zenit
Power Score
69.99
80.12
League Position
6
2
Global Rank
197
58

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
CSKA Moskva — Opponent-weighted form score
Zenit — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) CSKA Moskva Zenit

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 45 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

CSKA Moskva CSKA Moskva Home
45 matches
Zenit ZSP Away
Match Record
11
Wins
19
15
Draws
15
19
Losses
11
Goals
43
Goals Scored
55
55
Goals Conceded
43
-12
Goal Difference
+12
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-01T00:09:07+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
V. Torop
49 V. Torop
D. Krugovoi
3 D. Krugovoi
J. Da Silva Marcelino
4 J. Da Silva Marcelino
K. Danilov
79 K. Danilov
M. Barbosa
27 M. Barbosa
I. Oblyakov
10 I. Oblyakov
D. Barinov
6 D. Barinov
H. Fabiano do Carmo
37 H. Fabiano do Carmo
M. Alves Nascimento
7 M. Alves Nascimento
M. Popović
20 M. Popović
T. Musaev
11 T. Musaev
D. Adamov
16 D. Adamov
D. dos Santos Justino de Melo
3 D. dos Santos Justino de Melo
M. Mota Filho
33 M. Mota Filho
I. Diveev
78 I. Diveev
V. Karavaev
15 V. Karavaev
M. Valle da Silva
8 M. Valle da Silva
W. Barrios Terán
5 W. Barrios Terán
P. Silva dos Santos
20 P. Silva dos Santos
D. Kondakov
61 D. Kondakov
L. Rosa da Silva
11 L. Rosa da Silva
A. Sobolev
7 A. Sobolev

General Information

Date & Time
May 02, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, Russia · Round 28 · Regular Season
Stadium
VEB Arena
Capacity
30457
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

49
Vladislav Torop
Vladislav Torop Goalkeeper
6.89
11
Tamerlan Musaev
Tamerlan Musaev Centre Forward
6.86
3
Danil Krugovoy
Danil Krugovoy Right Back
7.06
6
Dmitri Barinov
Dmitri Barinov Defensive Midfield
7.14
7
Matheus Alves Nascimento
Matheus Alves Nascimento Attacking Midfield
6.86
10
Ivan Oblyakov
Ivan Oblyakov Defensive Midfield
7.43
79
Kirill Danilov
Kirill Danilov Left Back
6.8
4
João Victor
João Victor Right Back
7
20
Matija Popović
Matija Popović Left Wing
6.64
27
Moisés
Moisés Left Back
6.82
37
Henrique Carmo
Henrique Carmo Right Wing
6.74

Starting XI ▼

16
Denis Adamov
Denis Adamov Goalkeeper
7.03
7
Aleksandr Sobolev
Aleksandr Sobolev Centre Forward
6.96
3
Douglas Santos
Douglas Santos Left Back
7.06
5
Wilmar Barrios
Wilmar Barrios Defensive Midfield
6.94
8
Wendel
Wendel Defensive Midfield
7.09
11
Luiz Henrique
Luiz Henrique Right Wing
7.05
15
Vyacheslav Karavaev
Vyacheslav Karavaev Right Back
7.3
20
Pedro
Pedro Left Wing
6.92
33
Nino
Nino Left Back
7.07
78
Igor Diveev
Igor Diveev Right Back
7
61
Daniil Kondakov
Daniil Kondakov Attacking Midfield
6.68

CONCLUSION

Zenit's edge in power, form, and positioning positions them as favorites against CSKA Moskva at VEB Arena. The 10.1-point gulf and superior 32.17 form score signal potential dominance, though CSKA's home advantage could spark resistance. Absent set piece and efficiency insights leave tactical battles open, emphasizing open-play execution. CSKA must elevate beyond their mid-table form to challenge the second-placed visitors. Expect a competitive affair where Zenit's consistency shines, but CSKA's grit might yield points if they exploit any lapses.