Cremonese vs Lazio preview

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Stadio Giovanni Zini Today - 4:30 PM
Serie A
Cremonese USC
Lazio LAZ
KICKOFF : Today - 4:30 PM
Round 35 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Cremonese face a formidable challenge as they host Lazio at Stadio Giovanni Zini in Serie A’s 2025/2026 regular season. Languishing in 18th position, the home side battles relegation pressures, while 10th-placed Lazio seek to solidify mid-table security and eye European contention. Lazio dominate metrics with an 81.06 power score against Cremonese’s 56.65, yielding a decisive 24.4-point edge. Form disparities amplify this, as visitors score 34.22 to hosts’ 8.83. League standings reflect domestic positioning without external influences. Advanced data gaps persist, including null efficiency and set piece xG reliant on low-confidence proxies. No recent outings detailed for either squad. Projections capture a tight contest, yet Lazio’s quality shines through structural superiority.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Cremonese host Lazio at Stadio Giovanni Zini, with the visitors holding 10th place against hosts' 18th.
  • Form: Lazio lead in form with 34.22 score, surpassing Cremonese's 8.83.
  • Squad: Power ratings highlight Lazio's squad strength at 81.06 versus Cremonese's 56.65.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics remain unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition data absent from current statistical overview.
  • Set pieces: Set piece analysis uses low-confidence proxy metrics for both teams lacking xG.
  • xVariable: xG data unavailable, limiting variable performance insights.
  • Market: Cremonese 31.9% (Δ+0%) | Draw 29.5% (Δ+0%) | Lazio 38.7% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Cremonese M. Giampaolo
M. Giampaolo
VS
Lazio M. Sarri
M. Sarri
0.58
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.38
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Napoli Rank: 85 L
Torino Rank: 74 D
Cagliari Rank: 69 L
Bologna Rank: 78 L
Parma Rank: 72 W
Fiorentina Rank: 78 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Udinese Rank: 75 D
Napoli Rank: 86 W
Fiorentina Rank: 76 L
Parma Rank: 72 D
Bologna Rank: 78 W
AC Milan Rank: 84 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 3
3
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Cremonese
31.86%
Draw
29.49%
Away Lazio
38.66%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
56.65
81.06
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Cremonese
Lazio
Power Score
56.65
81.06
League Position
18
10
Global Rank
269
53

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Cremonese — Opponent-weighted form score
Lazio — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Cremonese Lazio

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Cremonese USC Home
4 matches
Lazio LAZ Away
Match Record
0
Wins
3
1
Draws
1
3
Losses
0
Goals
2
Goals Scored
11
11
Goals Conceded
2
-9
Goal Difference
+9
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-04T00:07:32+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
E. Audero Mulyadi
Italy
1 E. Audero Mulyadi
F. Terracciano
Italy
24 F. Terracciano
F. Baschirotto
Italy
6 F. Baschirotto
S. Luperto
Italy
5 S. Luperto
G. Pezzella
Italy
3 G. Pezzella
R. Floriani
Italy
22 R. Floriani
Y. Maleh
Morocco
29 Y. Maleh
W. Bondo
France
38 W. Bondo
M. Payero
Argentina
32 M. Payero
D. Okereke
Nigeria
77 D. Okereke
F. Bonazzoli
Italy
90 F. Bonazzoli
E. Motta
Italy
40 E. Motta
L. Pellegrini
Italy
3 L. Pellegrini
O. Nielsen
Denmark
25 O. Nielsen
A. Romagnoli
Italy
13 A. Romagnoli
M. Lazzari
Italy
29 M. Lazzari
N. Rovella
Italy
6 N. Rovella
P. Gabarrón Gil
Spain
4 P. Gabarrón Gil
T. Bašić
Croatia
26 T. Bašić
T. Noslin
Netherlands
14 T. Noslin
B. Dia
Senegal
19 B. Dia
P. Rodríguez Ledesma
Spain
9 P. Rodríguez Ledesma

General Information

Date & Time
May 04, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy · Round 35 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadio Giovanni Zini
Capacity
16003
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Daniele Chiffi
Pietro Dei Giudici
Andrea Calzavara
Christian Rossi

Lineup

Referee : Daniele Chiffi

Starting XI ▼

1
Emil Audero
Emil Audero Goalkeeper
7.03
3
Giuseppe Pezzella
Giuseppe Pezzella Defender
6.65
5
Sebastiano Luperto
Sebastiano Luperto Defender
6.79
6
Federico Baschirotto
Federico Baschirotto Defender
6.8
24
Filippo Terracciano
Filippo Terracciano Defender
6.84
22
Romano Floriani Mussolini
Romano Floriani Mussolini Midfielder
6.57
29
Youssef Maleh
Youssef Maleh Midfielder
6.63
32
Martín Payero
Martín Payero Midfielder
6.6
38
Warren Bondo
Warren Bondo Midfielder
6.54
77
David Okereke
David Okereke Attacker
6.68
90
Federico Bonazzoli
Federico Bonazzoli Attacker
6.97
Referee : Daniele Chiffi

Starting XI ▼

40
Edoardo Motta
Edoardo Motta Goalkeeper
6.9
3
Luca Pellegrini
Luca Pellegrini Defender
6.6
13
Alessio Romagnoli
Alessio Romagnoli Defender
6.89
25
Oliver Provstgaard
Oliver Provstgaard Defender
6.8
29
Manuel Lazzari
Manuel Lazzari Defender
6.61
4
Patric
Patric Midfielder
6.72
6
Nicolò Rovella
Nicolò Rovella Midfielder
7.09
26
Toma Bašić
Toma Bašić Midfielder
7.03
9
Pedro
Pedro Attacker
6.79
14
Tijjani Noslin
Tijjani Noslin Attacker
6.8
19
Boulaye Dia
Boulaye Dia Attacker
6.62

CONCLUSION

Lazio arrive with clear advantages in power, form, and positioning, positioning them to dictate proceedings against struggling Cremonese. The 24.4-point edge suggests visitors control structure and tempo effectively. Hosts must harness home support for disruptions, potentially via counters despite data voids in efficiency and transitions. Set piece proxies offer scant edge either way. Projections indicate marginal Lazio favoritism amid balanced splits. Expect disciplined Roman play to yield a professional victory, though Cremonese resilience could extend the contest. Quality ultimately prevails in this Serie A encounter.