Como vs Inter preview

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia Sun, 12 Apr - 6:45 PM
Serie A
Como COM
Inter INT
KICKOFF : Sun, 12 Apr - 6:45 PM
Round 32 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Como and Inter are set to meet at the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia for a Regular Season fixture in the 2025/2026 Serie A campaign. This league encounter features two teams positioned near the top of the table. The current standings show the home side, Como, sitting in 4th place, while the visitors, Inter, currently occupy 1st position. Looking at recent performances, Como's season form reads W5 D1 L0 from 6 matches. In their most recent outing, Como played away from home and recorded a Draw against Udinese. On the other side, the visiting team's season form reads W3 D2 L1 from 6 matches. Inter come into this specific fixture following a Win at home against Roma in their previous match.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Inter hold a +6.1 pts power-ranking advantage heading into this fixture.
  • Form: Como sit above baseline on opponent-adjusted form.
  • Squad: No major squad or availability edge; impact is neutral.
  • Efficiency: Como show stronger possession-adjusted chance creation in the data.
  • Transition: Inter have a moderate edge in transition threat.
  • Set pieces: Inter carry higher set-play value and dead-ball upside.
  • xVariable: Inter hold a marginal advantage on underlying metrics.
  • Market: Como 29.7% | Draw 27.4% | Inter 42.9%
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Como F. Fàbregas i Soler
F. Fàbregas i Soler
VS
Inter C. Chivu
C. Chivu
1.96
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.4
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Udinese Rank: 74 D
Pisa Rank: 65 W
Roma Rank: 84 W
Cagliari Rank: 69 W
Lecce Rank: 68 W
Juventus Rank: 84 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Roma Rank: 84 W
Fiorentina Rank: 76 D
Atalanta Rank: 85 D
AC Milan Rank: 86 L
Genoa Rank: 73 W
Lecce Rank: 68 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 3
3
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Como
29.73%
Draw
27.36%
Away Inter
42.91%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
84.2
90.31
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Como
Inter
Power Score
84.2
90.31
League Position
4
1
Global Rank
38
12

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Como — Opponent-weighted form score
Inter — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Como Inter

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Como COM Home
4 matches
Inter INT Away
Match Record
0
Wins
3
1
Draws
1
3
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
8
8
Goals Conceded
0
-8
Goal Difference
+8
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-08T02:02:17+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
J. Butez
1 J. Butez
I. Smolčić
28 I. Smolčić
D. Santos Silva
34 D. Santos Silva
M. Kempf
2 M. Kempf
?. Valle Gómez
3 ?. Valle Gómez
M. Perrone
23 M. Perrone
L. Da Cunha
33 L. Da Cunha
A. Diao Diaoune
38 A. Diao Diaoune
N. Paz Martínez
10 N. Paz Martínez
M. Caqueret
6 M. Caqueret
A. Douvikas
11 A. Douvikas
Y. Sommer
1 Y. Sommer
A. Bastoni
95 A. Bastoni
F. Acerbi
15 F. Acerbi
M. Akanji
25 M. Akanji
F. Dimarco
32 F. Dimarco
P. Zieliński
7 P. Zieliński
H. Çalhanoğlu
20 H. Çalhanoğlu
N. Barella
23 N. Barella
D. Dumfries
2 D. Dumfries
L. Martínez
10 L. Martínez
M. Thuram
9 M. Thuram

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 12, 2026, 06:45 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy · Round 32 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Capacity
13602
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Jean Butez
Jean Butez Goalkeeper
11
Anastasios Douvikas
Anastasios Douvikas Centre Forward
3
Álex Valle
Álex Valle Left Back
6
Maxence Caqueret
Maxence Caqueret Left Wing
10
Nico Paz
Nico Paz Attacking Midfield
38
Assane Diao
Assane Diao Right Wing
2
Marc Oliver Kempf
Marc Oliver Kempf Left Back
23
Máximo Perrone
Máximo Perrone Defensive Midfield
28
Ivan Smolcic
Ivan Smolcic Right Back
33
Lucas Da Cunha
Lucas Da Cunha Defensive Midfield
34
Diego Carlos
Diego Carlos Right Back

Starting XI ▼

1
Yann Sommer
Yann Sommer Goalkeeper
32
Federico Dimarco
Federico Dimarco Midfielder
2
Denzel Dumfries
Denzel Dumfries Midfielder
9
Marcus Thuram
Marcus Thuram Attacker
10
Lautaro Martínez
Lautaro Martínez Attacker
7
Piotr Zieliński
Piotr Zieliński Central Midfield
15
Francesco Acerbi
Francesco Acerbi Centre Back
20
Hakan Çalhanoğlu
Hakan Çalhanoğlu Central Midfield
23
Nicolò Barella
Nicolò Barella Central Midfield
25
Manuel Akanji
Manuel Akanji Right Back
95
Alessandro Bastoni
Alessandro Bastoni Left Back

CONCLUSION

Heading into this fixture, Inter presents the stronger pre-match profile, holding a structural power advantage of 6.1 points over Como. The market probabilities support this baseline evaluation, identifying Inter as the leader with a 42.9 percent likelihood of victory, compared to 29.7 percent for Como and 27.4 percent for a draw. Consequently, the structural indicators and market metrics completely align on the expected trajectory of this match. While Como enters the contest with superior recent form, Inter relies on their broader statistical foundation. Ultimately, the match outcome will likely depend on whether Como can execute a disciplined low block to neutralize the fluid attacking transitions of Inter.