Country 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube Sat, 28 Mar - 1:00 PM
La Liga 2
Ceuta Ceuta
VS
Cádiz CAD
KICKOFF : Sat, 28 Mar - 1:00 PM
Round 32 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Ceuta host Cádiz in La Liga 2 (Regular Season) at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube. Domestically, Ceuta sit 10th in the table while Cádiz are 16th. Power ranking favours Cádiz by 4.4 points heading into this fixture. Ceuta's recent form reads W3 D0 L3 from 6 matches; Cádiz's form is W0 D1 L5 from 6 matches. In their last outing, Ceuta Loss away against Las Palmas. Cádiz last played at home versus Real Zaragoza, finishing with a Loss.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Cádiz hold a +4.4 pts power-ranking advantage heading into this fixture.
  • Form: Ceuta sit above baseline on opponent-adjusted form.
  • Squad: No major squad or availability edge; impact is neutral.
  • Efficiency: Ceuta show stronger possession-adjusted chance creation in the data.
  • Transition: Cádiz have a moderate edge in transition threat.
  • Set pieces: Cádiz carry higher set-play value and dead-ball upside.
  • xVariable: Cádiz hold a marginal advantage on underlying metrics.
  • Market: Ceuta 40.7% | Draw 28.7% | Cádiz 30.6%.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Ceuta J. Romero Gil
J. Romero Gil
VS
Cádiz S. González Soriano
S. González Soriano
1.61
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.91
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Las Palmas Rank: 68 L
Mirandés Rank: 60 W
Córdoba Rank: 62 W
Granada Rank: 67 W
Huesca Rank: 60 L
Almería Rank: 70 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Zaragoza Rank: 56 L
SD Eibar Rank: 66 L
Real Sociedad II Rank: 63 L
Burgos Rank: 67 D
Almería Rank: 70 L
Huesca Rank: 60 L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Ceuta
40.72%
Draw
28.69%
Away Cádiz
30.58%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
56.79
61.19
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Ceuta
Cádiz
Power Score
56.79
61.19
League Position
10
16
Global Rank
444
452

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Ceuta — Opponent-weighted form score
Cádiz — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Ceuta Cádiz

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Ceuta Ceuta Home
1 matches
Cádiz CAD Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-26T00:03:27+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
G. Vallejo Delgado
13 G. Vallejo Delgado
M. Sánchez García
2 M. Sánchez García
C. Hernández Alarcón
6 C. Hernández Alarcón
D. González Cabanes
15 D. González Cabanes
J. Matos García
3 J. Matos García
Y. Didi
5 Y. Didi
Y. Bodiger
14 Y. Bodiger
C. Rodríguez Pérez
10 C. Rodríguez Pérez
A. Ahmed Ahmed
7 A. Ahmed Ahmed
M. Fernández Sánchez
9 M. Fernández Sánchez
K. De La Fuente
18 K. De La Fuente
D. Gil Mohedano
1 D. Gil Mohedano
R. Pereira Vargas
33 R. Pereira Vargas
I. Ortega
6 I. Ortega
J. Moreno San Vidal
2 J. Moreno San Vidal
I. Carcelén Valencia
20 I. Carcelén Valencia
S. Ortuño Díaz
15 S. Ortuño Díaz
M. Diakité
5 M. Diakité
Antonio Cordero
16 Antonio Cordero
Y. Diarra
18 Y. Diarra
J. Fernández Sáez de la Torre
11 J. Fernández Sáez de la Torre
?. García Pascual
23 ?. García Pascual

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 28, 2026, 01:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 32 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube
Capacity
6500
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

13
Guillermo Vallejo
Guillermo Vallejo Goalkeeper
7
Aisar Ahmed
Aisar Ahmed Attacker
9
Marcos Fernández
Marcos Fernández Centre Forward
18
Konrad de la Fuente
Konrad de la Fuente Attacker
15
Diego González
Diego González Left Back
3
José Matos
José Matos Left Back
6
Carlos Hernández
Carlos Hernández Right Back
2
Manu Sánchez
Manu Sánchez Right Back
5
Youness Lachhab
Youness Lachhab Central Midfield
14
Yann Bodiger
Yann Bodiger Central Midfield
10
Cristian Rodríguez
Cristian Rodríguez Central Midfield

Starting XI ▼

1
David Gil
David Gil Goalkeeper
23
García Pascual
García Pascual Centre Forward
20
Iza Carcelén
Iza Carcelén Right Back
2
Jorge Moreno
Jorge Moreno Right Back
6
Iker Recio
Iker Recio Left Back
33
Raúl Pereira
Raúl Pereira Left Back
15
Sergio Ortuño
Sergio Ortuño Defensive Midfield
5
Moussa Diakité
Moussa Diakité Defensive Midfield
18
Yussi Diarra
Yussi Diarra Attacking Midfield
11
Suso
Suso Right Wing
16
Antoñito Cordero
Antoñito Cordero Left Wing

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Cádiz holding the stronger pre-match profile. The power-ranking gap of 4.4 points supports that view. Market sentiment broadly aligns with the underlying data —Ceuta at 40.6%, draw at 28.9%, Cádiz at 30.5%— leaving the balance of play dependent on execution, set pieces, and transitions rather than variance alone. Both sides will need to convert their chances to decide the outcome.