Calcio Padova vs Empoli preview

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie B, Italy
Stadio Comunale Euganeo Sun, 12 Apr - 1:00 PM
Serie B
Calcio Padova PAD
Empoli EMP
KICKOFF : Sun, 12 Apr - 1:00 PM
Round 34 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Calcio Padova host Empoli in Serie B (Regular Season) at Stadio Comunale Euganeo. Domestically, Calcio Padova sit 15th in the table while Empoli are 14th. Power ranking favours Empoli by 5.3 points heading into this fixture. Calcio Padova's recent form reads W0 D1 L5 from 6 matches; Empoli's form is W1 D2 L3 from 6 matches. In their last outing, Calcio Padova Loss away against Frosinone. Empoli last played away versus Sampdoria, finishing with a Loss.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Empoli hold a +5.3 pts power-ranking advantage heading into this fixture.
  • Form: Empoli sit below baseline on opponent-adjusted form.
  • Squad: No major squad or availability edge; impact is neutral.
  • Efficiency: Calcio Padova show stronger possession-adjusted chance creation in the data.
  • Transition: Empoli have a moderate edge in transition threat.
  • Set pieces: Empoli carry higher set-play value and dead-ball upside.
  • xVariable: Empoli hold a marginal advantage on underlying metrics.
  • Market: Calcio Padova 29.4% | Draw 28.7% | Empoli 42%.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Calcio Padova R. Breda
R. Breda
VS
Empoli F. Caserta
F. Caserta
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.04
0.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Frosinone Rank: 66 L
Palermo Rank: 63 L
Venezia Rank: 69 L
Catanzaro Rank: 61 L
Avellino Rank: 50 L
Spezia Rank: 50 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sampdoria Rank: 51 L
Pescara Rank: 49 W
Spezia Rank: 52 D
Mantova Rank: 50 D
Catanzaro Rank: 60 L
Bari 1908 Rank: 50 L
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 4 - 5
5
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Calcio Padova
29.38%
Draw
28.68%
Away Empoli
41.95%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
47.13
52.43
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Calcio Padova
Empoli
Power Score
47.13
52.43
League Position
15
14
Global Rank
813
611

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Calcio Padova — Opponent-weighted form score
Empoli — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Calcio Padova Empoli

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 11 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Calcio Padova PAD Home
11 matches
Empoli EMP Away
Match Record
2
Wins
5
4
Draws
4
5
Losses
2
Goals
16
Goals Scored
22
22
Goals Conceded
16
-6
Goal Difference
+6
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-08T01:05:57+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
A. Sorrentino
22 A. Sorrentino
F. Belli
4 F. Belli
L. Villa
55 L. Villa
M. Perrotta
5 M. Perrotta
P. Ghiglione
18 P. Ghiglione
L. Di Maggio
23 L. Di Maggio
J. Harder
44 J. Harder
P. Fusi
8 P. Fusi
C. Faedo
72 C. Faedo
K. Lasagna
15 K. Lasagna
F. Di Mariano
77 F. Di Mariano
A. Fulignati
21 A. Fulignati
B. Moruzzi
27 B. Moruzzi
G. Guarino
34 G. Guarino
M. Lovato
20 M. Lovato
A. Candela
26 A. Candela
G. Yepes Laut
14 G. Yepes Laut
A. Ghion
18 A. Ghion
E. Saporiti
70 E. Saporiti
S. Shpendi
11 S. Shpendi
L. Magnino
8 L. Magnino
M. Nasti
19 M. Nasti

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 12, 2026, 01:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadio Comunale Euganeo
Capacity
32420
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

22
Alessandro Sorrentino
Alessandro Sorrentino Goalkeeper
18
Paolo Ghiglione
Paolo Ghiglione Midfielder
72
Carlo Faedo
Carlo Faedo Midfielder
15
Kevin Lasagna
Kevin Lasagna Attacker
77
Francesco Di Mariano
Francesco Di Mariano Attacker
4
Francesco Belli
Francesco Belli Right Back
55
Lorenzo Villa
Lorenzo Villa Centre Back
5
Marco Perrotta
Marco Perrotta Left Back
23
Luca Di Maggio
Luca Di Maggio Central Midfield
44
Jonas Harder
Jonas Harder Central Midfield
8
Pietro Fusi
Pietro Fusi Central Midfield

Starting XI ▼

21
Andrea Fulignati
Andrea Fulignati Goalkeeper
19
Marco Nasti
Marco Nasti Centre Forward
27
Brando Moruzzi
Brando Moruzzi Left Back
18
Andrea Ghion
Andrea Ghion Defensive Midfield
14
Gerard Yepes
Gerard Yepes Defensive Midfield
8
Luca Magnino
Luca Magnino Right Wing
11
Stiven Shpendi
Stiven Shpendi Attacking Midfield
70
Edoardo Saporiti
Edoardo Saporiti Left Wing
26
Antonio Candela
Antonio Candela Right Back
20
Matteo Lovato
Matteo Lovato Right Back
34
Gabriele Guarino
Gabriele Guarino Left Back

CONCLUSION

Entering this Serie B fixture, Empoli holds the stronger pre-match profile, carrying a structural advantage of 5.3 power index points over Calcio Padova. The market probabilities identify Empoli as the leading expectation at 41.7 percent, while a Calcio Padova victory sits at 29.5 percent and a draw at 28.8 percent. Consequently, the structural metrics and market projections align in favoring the away side. Both teams enter the match following recent away defeats, underscoring a shared need for structural improvement. Success in this encounter will likely depend on which unit can effectively establish midfield control and minimize unforced errors during transition phases.