Cagliari vs Udinese preview

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Sardegna Arena Yesterday - 1:00 PM
Serie A
Cagliari CAG
Udinese UDI
KICKOFF : Yesterday - 1:00 PM
Round 36 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Cagliari welcome Udinese to Sardegna Arena for Serie A regular season fixtures in the 2025/2026 campaign. Udinese enter as the structurally superior side, holding a power score of 76.53 against Cagliari's 71.01, translating to a 5.5-point advantage. The visitors sit 11th in the standings, four places above 15th-placed Cagliari, who rely on home support to bridge the gap. Form metrics further favor Udinese at 29.44 compared to Cagliari's modest 15.78, suggesting momentum on their side. Projections reflect a tight contest, with Cagliari holding a slim edge in win probability despite Udinese's overall strength. Mid-table positioning means both sides desperately need points to push towards European contention or safety. Expect a tactical battle where Udinese's quality could exploit Cagliari's vulnerabilities, though the hosts' resilience at Sardegna Arena adds intrigue. Key individual duels and defensive solidity will shape the outcome in this pivotal encounter.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Udinese holds a 5.5-point power advantage with 76.53 score over Cagliari's 71.01.
  • Form: Udinese boasts superior form score of 29.44 against Cagliari's 15.78.
  • Squad: Udinese ranks 11th in Serie A while Cagliari sits 15th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition play data unavailable.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data unavailable due to low confidence and proxy usage.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable for analysis.
  • Market: Cagliari 37.1% (Δ-0.4%) | Draw 30.2% (Δ+0%) | Udinese 32.8% (Δ+0.5%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Cagliari F. Pisacane
F. Pisacane
VS
Udinese K. Runjaic
K. Runjaic
1.13
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.28
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Bologna Rank: 78 D
Atalanta Rank: 85 W
Inter Rank: 90 L
Cremonese Rank: 67 W
Sassuolo Rank: 77 L
Napoli Rank: 86 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Torino Rank: 75 W
Lazio Rank: 80 D
Parma Rank: 70 L
AC Milan Rank: 84 W
Como Rank: 84 D
Genoa Rank: 75 W
11
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
11 - 9 - 18
18
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Cagliari
37.06%
Draw
30.19%
Away Udinese
32.75%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
71.01
76.53
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Cagliari
Udinese
Power Score
71.01
76.53
League Position
15
11
Global Rank
191
95

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Cagliari — Opponent-weighted form score
Udinese — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Cagliari Udinese

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 38 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Cagliari CAG Home
38 matches
Udinese UDI Away
Match Record
11
Wins
18
9
Draws
9
18
Losses
11
Goals
41
Goals Scored
63
63
Goals Conceded
41
-22
Goal Difference
+22
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-08T00:05:51+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-1-1
Match Formation 4-3-2-1
Pitch
E. Caprile
Italy
1 E. Caprile
J. da Silva Figueiredo Freitas
Portugal
32 J. da Silva Figueiredo Freitas
Y. Mina González
Colombia
26 Y. Mina González
A. Dossena
Italy
22 A. Dossena
A. Obert
Slovakia
33 A. Obert
M. Palestra
Italy
2 M. Palestra
M. Adopo
France
8 M. Adopo
G. Gaetano
Italy
10 G. Gaetano
A. Albarracín Basil
Uruguay
20 A. Albarracín Basil
M. Folorunsho
Italy
90 M. Folorunsho
S. Esposito
Italy
94 S. Esposito
M. Okoye
Nigeria
40 M. Okoye
O. Solet Bomawoko
France
28 O. Solet Bomawoko
J. Arizala
Colombia
20 J. Arizala
T. Kristensen
Denmark
31 T. Kristensen
H. Kamara
Gambia
11 H. Kamara
O. Zarraga Egaña
Spain
6 O. Zarraga Egaña
J. Ekkelenkamp
Netherlands
32 J. Ekkelenkamp
L. Miller
Scotland
38 L. Miller
K. Ehizibue
Netherlands
19 K. Ehizibue
A. Buksa
Poland
18 A. Buksa
N. Zaniolo
Italy
10 N. Zaniolo

General Information

Date & Time
May 09, 2026, 01:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy · Round 36 · Regular Season
Stadium
Sardegna Arena
Capacity
16416
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Federico Dionisi
Marco Scatragli
Marco Trinchieri
Niccolò Turrini

Lineup

Referee : Federico Dionisi

Starting XI ▼

1
Elia Caprile
Elia Caprile Goalkeeper
6.94
22
Alberto Dossena
Alberto Dossena Defender
6.88
26
Yerry Mina
Yerry Mina Defender
6.88
32
Zé Pedro
Zé Pedro Defender
6.59
33
Adam Obert
Adam Obert Defender
6.82
2
Marco Palestra
Marco Palestra Midfielder
6.94
8
Michel Adopo
Michel Adopo Midfielder
6.68
10
Gianluca Gaetano
Gianluca Gaetano Midfielder
6.81
20
Agustín Albarracín
Agustín Albarracín Midfielder
6.67
90
Michael Folorunsho
Michael Folorunsho Midfielder
6.6
94
Sebastiano Esposito
Sebastiano Esposito Attacker
7.14
Referee : Federico Dionisi

Starting XI ▼

40
Maduka Okoye
Maduka Okoye Goalkeeper
6.77
20
Juan Arizala
Juan Arizala Defender
6.58
28
Oumar Solet
Oumar Solet Defender
7.11
31
Thomas Kristensen
Thomas Kristensen Defender
6.94
6
Oier Zarraga
Oier Zarraga Midfielder
6.49
11
Hassane Kamara
Hassane Kamara Midfielder
6.79
19
Kingsley Ehizibue
Kingsley Ehizibue Midfielder
6.58
32
Jurgen Ekkelenkamp
Jurgen Ekkelenkamp Midfielder
6.94
38
Lennon Miller
Lennon Miller Midfielder
6.69
10
Nicolò Zaniolo
Nicolò Zaniolo Attacker
6.97
18
Adam Buksa
Adam Buksa Attacker
6.65

CONCLUSION

Udinese's higher power rating and better form position them well to claim victory away at Cagliari, despite the hosts' slight projection edge from home advantage. Cagliari's 15th place underscores defensive frailties that Udinese's 11th-placed squad could target effectively. With form heavily tilted towards the visitors, expect Udinese to control possession and create superior chances. Cagliari must summon fortress mentality at Sardegna Arena to counter, but structural disparities suggest a challenging afternoon. This match hinges on Udinese capitalizing on their 5.5-point edge for a statement win in the mid-table scrap.