Cádiz vs Deportivo La Coruña preview

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla Today - 6:30 PM
La Liga 2
Cádiz CAD
Deportivo La Coruña COR
KICKOFF : Today - 6:30 PM
Round 39 Regular Season

CONTEXT

At Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla, Cádiz welcomes Deportivo La Coruña to La Liga 2's regular season action in the 2025/2026 campaign. The hosts sit precariously in 18th place, grappling with inconsistency, while the visitors command third position, eyeing promotion. Deportivo holds a clear edge with a power score of 69.49 against Cádiz's 56.8, translating to a 12.7-point advantage that underscores their structural superiority. Form metrics amplify this disparity: Cádiz's 1.61 pales beside Deportivo's robust 27.61, signaling momentum on the away side. Home advantage could fuel Cádiz's resolve, yet Deportivo's higher league standing suggests tactical discipline and attacking threat. Midfield control and defensive solidity will prove pivotal, as both teams navigate a fixture laden with stakes. Cádiz must summon resilience to counter Deportivo's quality, potentially turning the tide through set-piece opportunities or swift transitions, though data limitations temper precise predictions. This encounter promises intensity from the opening whistle.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Deportivo La Coruña possesses a 12.7-point power advantage over Cádiz, scoring 69.49 to the hosts' 56.8.
  • Form: Cádiz records a low form score of 1.61, contrasting sharply with Deportivo La Coruña's 27.61.
  • Squad: Cádiz occupies 18th in the league table, while Deportivo La Coruña holds 3rd position.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data remains unavailable for both teams in this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition phase metrics are not provided for Cádiz or Deportivo La Coruña.
  • Set pieces: Set piece statistics rely on low-confidence proxies with no xG data available for either side.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables are absent due to unavailable data for this fixture.
  • Market: Cádiz 26% (Δ+0.1%) | Draw 26.9% (Δ-0.3%) | Deportivo La Coruña 47.1% (Δ+0.2%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Cádiz J. Idiakez Barkaiztegui
J. Idiakez Barkaiztegui
VS
Deportivo La Coruña A. Hidalgo Morilla
A. Hidalgo Morilla
0.73
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.85
0.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cultural Leonesa Rank: 56 D
Las Palmas Rank: 70 L
Sporting Gijón Rank: 63 L
FC Andorra Rank: 66 L
Córdoba Rank: 65 L
Real Valladolid Rank: 61 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Leganés Rank: 64 W
Burgos Rank: 67 D
Mirandés Rank: 59 W
Huesca Rank: 58 D
Málaga Rank: 69 D
Córdoba Rank: 65 W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 4 - 4
4
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Cádiz
26.01%
Draw
26.94%
Away Deportivo La Coruña
47.05%

Movement

Changes since opening
Cádiz
+0.1%
Draw
-0.29%
Deportivo La Coruña
+0.19%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
56.8
69.49
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Cádiz
Deportivo La Coruña
Power Score
56.8
69.49
League Position
18
3
Global Rank
599
222

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Cádiz — Opponent-weighted form score
Deportivo La Coruña — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Cádiz Deportivo La Coruña

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 9 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Cádiz CAD Home
9 matches
Deportivo La Coruña COR Away
Match Record
1
Wins
4
4
Draws
4
4
Losses
1
Goals
9
Goals Scored
11
11
Goals Conceded
9
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-07T00:03:49+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch
V. Aznar
13 V. Aznar
J. Díaz Peregrina
34 J. Díaz Peregrina
J. Moreno San Vidal
2 J. Moreno San Vidal
P. Fernández Balboa
27 P. Fernández Balboa
M. Climent Plá
21 M. Climent Plá
J. Fernández Sáez de la Torre
11 J. Fernández Sáez de la Torre
J. González
24 J. González
M. Diakité
5 M. Diakité
Antonio Cordero
16 Antonio Cordero
L. Pérez Martínez
7 L. Pérez Martínez
?. García Pascual
23 ?. García Pascual
Á. Fernández Llorente
25 Á. Fernández Llorente
G. Quagliata
12 G. Quagliata
M. Loureiro Ameijeda
15 M. Loureiro Ameijeda
L. Noubi Ngnokam
4 L. Noubi Ngnokam
J. Navarro Jiménez
23 J. Navarro Jiménez
Y. Hernández Cubas
10 Y. Hernández Cubas
M. Soriano Carreño
21 M. Soriano Carreño
R. Rodríguez Gil Carcedo
14 R. Rodríguez Gil Carcedo
A. Altimira Reynaldos
2 A. Altimira Reynaldos
B. Nsongo Tonfack
32 B. Nsongo Tonfack
L. Cruz Hernández
19 L. Cruz Hernández

General Information

Date & Time
May 08, 2026, 06:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 39 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla
Capacity
20724
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

13
Victor Aznar
Victor Aznar Goalkeeper
6.67
11
Suso
Suso Midfielder
6.81
16
Antoñito Cordero
Antoñito Cordero Midfielder
6.72
7
Lucas Pérez
Lucas Pérez Attacker
6.65
23
García Pascual
García Pascual Attacker
6.81
2
Jorge Moreno
Jorge Moreno Right Back
6.81
5
Moussa Diakité
Moussa Diakité Central Midfield
6.79
34
Juan Díaz
Juan Díaz Right Back
6.75
21
Mario Climent
Mario Climent Left Back
6.73
24
Joaquín González
Joaquín González Central Midfield
6.82
27
Pelayo Fernández
Pelayo Fernández Left Back
6.55

Starting XI ▼

25
Álvaro Fernández
Álvaro Fernández Goalkeeper
6.82
2
Adrià Altimira
Adrià Altimira Midfielder
7.13
10
Yeremay Hernández
Yeremay Hernández Midfielder
7.23
19
Luismi Cruz
Luismi Cruz Attacker
7
32
Bil Dornol Nsongo Tonfack
Bil Dornol Nsongo Tonfack Attacker
6.76
4
Lucas Noubi
Lucas Noubi Right Back
6.83
12
Giacomo Quagliata
Giacomo Quagliata Left Back
6.76
14
Riki Rodríguez
Riki Rodríguez Central Midfield
6.79
15
Miguel Loureiro
Miguel Loureiro Left Back
6.91
23
Ximo Navarro
Ximo Navarro Right Back
6.92
21
Mario Soriano
Mario Soriano Central Midfield
7.12

CONCLUSION

Deportivo La Coruña enters as favorites, armed with superior power ratings and form that position them for a likely victory. Cádiz, despite home support at Nuevo Mirandilla, faces an uphill battle against a third-placed side brimming with confidence. The 12.7-point gulf in power scores hints at Deportivo's dominance in structure and execution, potentially overwhelming Cádiz's defense. Expect the visitors to control possession and exploit transitions, while the hosts rely on grit and crowd energy for counterstrikes. Absent detailed efficiency or set-piece insights, raw quality tilts toward Deportivo securing crucial points in their promotion push. A draw remains possible if Cádiz digs deep, but momentum favors the away team.