Burnley VS Aston Villa

2025/2026 Premier League, England

Turf Moor Today - 1:00 PM

Premier League

Burnley BUR

Aston Villa AVL

KICKOFF : Today - 1:00 PM

Round 36 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Burnley welcome Aston Villa to Turf Moor for a Premier League regular season fixture in the 2025/2026 campaign. Hosting side Burnley occupy 19th position in the domestic table, grappling with challenges at the bottom end, while visitors Aston Villa sit comfortably in 5th, showcasing their competitive edge. Power ratings highlight Villa's dominance, with a score of 90.95 against Burnley's 64.54, creating a substantial 26.4-point advantage that favors the away team structurally. Both clubs enter with identical form scores of zero and no specified last outings, leveling recent momentum narratives. League positions underscore Villa's superior standing after domestic matches. Absent detailed efficiency metrics or set-piece breakdowns due to unavailable xG data, attention turns to Villa's overall prowess potentially exploiting Burnley's vulnerabilities. Home support at Turf Moor may rally Burnley, yet Villa's strength positions them as the side to beat in this encounter.

TL;DR

Structural: Aston Villa possess a 26.4-point power advantage over Burnley, rated at 90.95 versus 64.54.
Form: Both Burnley and Aston Villa record form scores of zero with no last outing details available.
Squad: Burnley hold 19th place in the Premier League, while Aston Villa rank 5th domestically.
Efficiency: No efficiency data provided for either team in this matchup.
Transition: Transition metrics unavailable due to missing detailed performance stats.
Set pieces: Set piece xG data absent for both teams, relying on low-confidence proxies.
xVariable: xG variables not accessible, limiting advanced analytical insights.
Market: Burnley 18.5% (Δ+0%) | Draw 22.7% (Δ+0%) | Aston Villa 58.8% (Δ+0%).

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Jan 25 vs Team A

Feb 1 vs Team B

Feb 8 vs Team C

M. James Jackson

U. Emery Etxegoien

0.42

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.67

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

2 - 5 - 8

No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Burnley

18.5%

Draw

22.68%

Aston Villa

58.82%

Team Power Ranking

64.54

90.95

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Burnley

Aston Villa

Power Score

64.54

90.95

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Burnley — Opponent-weighted form score

Aston Villa — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Burnley Aston Villa

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Burnley BUR Home

0 matches

Aston Villa AVL Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Goal Difference

Expected Goals

xGA

Data last updated: 2026-05-10T00:19:08+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 5-4-1

Match Formation 4-2-3-1

1 M. Dúbravka

18 H. Ekdal

5 M. Esteve

12 B. Humphreys

2 K. Walker

3 Q. Hartman

17 L. Tchaouna

29 J. Laurent

20 J. Ward-Prowse

11 J. Anthony

19 Z. Flemming

23 D. Martínez

22 I. Maatsen

5 T. Mings

3 V. Nilsson Lindelöf

2 M. Cash

8 Y. Tielemans

26 L. Bogarde

27 M. Rogers

6 R. Barkley

19 J. Sancho

18 K. Bakumo-Abraham

General Information

Date & Time

May 10, 2026, 01:00 PM

Competition

2025/2026 Premier League, England · Round 36 · Regular Season

Stadium

Turf Moor

Capacity

22546

Pitch Surface

Grass

Weather

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees

Anthony Taylor

Adam Nunn

Gary Beswick

Leigh Doughty

Lineup

Referee : Anthony Taylor

Manager ▼

M. James Jackson Coach

Starting XI ▼

Martin Dúbravka Goalkeeper

6.87

Kyle Walker Defender

6.53

Quilindschy Hartman Defender

6.72

Maxime Estève Defender

6.67

Bashir Humphreys Defender

6.78

Hjalmar Ekdal Defender

6.69

Jaidon Anthony Midfielder

6.84

Loum Tchaouna Midfielder

6.58

James Ward-Prowse Midfielder

6.85

Josh Laurent Midfielder

6.48

Zian Flemming Attacker

6.85

Referee : Anthony Taylor

Manager ▼

U. Emery Etxegoien Coach

Starting XI ▼

Emiliano Martínez Goalkeeper

6.92

Matty Cash Defender

6.92

Victor Lindelöf Defender

6.63

Tyrone Mings Defender

6.72

Ian Maatsen Defender

6.64

Ross Barkley Midfielder

6.73

Youri Tielemans Midfielder

7.16

Lamare Bogarde Midfielder

6.47

Tammy Abraham Attacker

6.71

Jadon Sancho Attacker

6.62

Morgan Rogers Attacker

6.89

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Aston Villa holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Aston Villa a 26.4-point edge. External projection is Burnley 19.3%, draw 22.9%, and Aston Villa 57.8%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

STANDINGS

CONTEXT