Country 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Municipal de El Plantío Wed, 1 Apr - 6:00 PM
La Liga 2
Burgos BUR
VS
Ceuta Ceuta
KICKOFF : Wed, 1 Apr - 6:00 PM
Round 33 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Burgos host Ceuta in La Liga 2 (Regular Season) at Estadio Municipal de El Plantío. Domestically, Burgos sit 7th in the table while Ceuta are 10th. Power ranking favours Burgos by 10.6 points heading into this fixture. Burgos's recent form reads W2 D2 L2 from 6 matches; Ceuta's form is W3 D0 L3 from 6 matches. In their last outing, Burgos Win away against Real Zaragoza. Ceuta last played at home versus Deportivo La Coruña, finishing with a Loss.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Burgos hold a +10.6 pts power-ranking advantage heading into this fixture.
  • Form: Ceuta are in line with baseline; recent form is evenly matched.
  • Squad: No major squad or availability edge; impact is neutral.
  • Efficiency: Burgos show stronger possession-adjusted chance creation in the data.
  • Transition: Burgos have a moderate edge in transition threat.
  • Set pieces: Burgos carry higher set-play value and dead-ball upside.
  • xVariable: Burgos hold a marginal advantage on underlying metrics.
  • Market: Burgos 0% | Draw 0% | Ceuta 0%.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Burgos L. Ramis Monfort
L. Ramis Monfort
VS
Ceuta J. Romero Gil
J. Romero Gil
1.48
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.57
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Zaragoza Rank: 59 W
Racing Santander Rank: 71 L
Cádiz Rank: 61 D
Las Palmas Rank: 70 D
Leganés Rank: 67 W
Málaga Rank: 69 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Deportivo La Coruña Rank: 66 L
Las Palmas Rank: 68 L
Mirandés Rank: 60 W
Córdoba Rank: 62 W
Granada Rank: 67 W
Huesca Rank: 60 L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Burgos
0%
Draw
0%
Away Ceuta
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
67.38
56.79
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Burgos
Ceuta
Power Score
67.38
56.79
League Position
7
10
Global Rank
262
444

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Burgos — Opponent-weighted form score
Ceuta — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Burgos Ceuta

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Burgos BUR Home
1 matches
Ceuta Ceuta Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
0
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-26T00:06:19+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 01, 2026, 06:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio Municipal de El Plantío
Capacity
12194
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

13
Ander Cantero Armendáriz
Ander Cantero Armendáriz Goalkeeper
1
Jesús Ruiz Suárez
Jesús Ruiz Suárez Goalkeeper
12
Florian Miguel
Florian Miguel Defender
15
Aitor Buñuel Redrado
Aitor Buñuel Redrado Defender
8
Gregorio Sierra Pérez
Gregorio Sierra Pérez Defender
3
Oier Luengo Redondo
Oier Luengo Redondo Defender
22
Brais Martínez Prado
Brais Martínez Prado Defender
2
Alejandro Lizancos Saldaña
Alejandro Lizancos Saldaña Defender
4
Pablo Ignacio Galdames Millán
Pablo Ignacio Galdames Millán Midfielder
5
Miguel Ángel Atienza Villa
Miguel Ángel Atienza Villa Midfielder
6
Sergio González Martínez
Sergio González Martínez Midfielder
10
Kévin Appin
Kévin Appin Midfielder
23
Iván Morante Ruiz
Iván Morante Ruiz Midfielder
14
David Gonzalez Ballesteros
David Gonzalez Ballesteros Midfielder
33
Marcelo Expósito Jiménez
Marcelo Expósito Jiménez Midfielder
28
Saúl del Cerro García
Saúl del Cerro García Midfielder
17
Mario Cantero Mariño
Mario Cantero Mariño Midfielder
30
Hugo Cuenca
Hugo Cuenca Midfielder
20
Mario González Gutiérrez
Mario González Gutiérrez Attacker
16
Francisco José Sánchez Rodríguez
Francisco José Sánchez Rodríguez Attacker
21
Iñigo Córdoba Kerejeta
Iñigo Córdoba Kerejeta Attacker
11
Víctor Mollejo Carpintero
Víctor Mollejo Carpintero Attacker
9
Fernando Niño Rodriguez
Fernando Niño Rodriguez Attacker
7
Mateo Mejia
Mateo Mejia Attacker
31
Fermin Garcia Murillo
Fermin Garcia Murillo Attacker

Squad ▼

1
Pedro López Galisteo
Pedro López Galisteo Goalkeeper
13
Guillermo Vallejo Delgado
Guillermo Vallejo Delgado Goalkeeper
3
José Joaquín Matos García
José Joaquín Matos García Defender
6
Carlos Hernández Alarcón
Carlos Hernández Alarcón Defender
17
Gonzalo Almenara Hernández
Gonzalo Almenara Hernández Defender
2
Manuel Sánchez García
Manuel Sánchez García Defender
16
Carlos Redruello Nimo
Carlos Redruello Nimo Defender
4
Albert Caparrós Guzmán
Albert Caparrós Guzmán Defender
15
Diego González Cabanes
Diego González Cabanes Defender
24
Yago Cantero Pérez
Yago Cantero Pérez Defender
20
José Ángel Gómez Campaña
José Ángel Gómez Campaña Midfielder
14
Yann Bodiger
Yann Bodiger Midfielder
8
José Luis Zalazar Martínez
José Luis Zalazar Martínez Midfielder
10
Cristian Rodríguez Pérez
Cristian Rodríguez Pérez Midfielder
19
Rubén Díez Adán
Rubén Díez Adán Midfielder
12
Marino Illescas Montaño
Marino Illescas Montaño Midfielder
5
Youness Lachab Didi
Youness Lachab Didi Midfielder
7
Aisar Ahmed Ahmed
Aisar Ahmed Ahmed Midfielder
26
Aboubacar Bassinga
Aboubacar Bassinga Midfielder
25
Salvador Sánchez Ponce
Salvador Sánchez Ponce Attacker
23
Anuar Mohamed Tuhami
Anuar Mohamed Tuhami Attacker
18
Konrad De La Fuente
Konrad De La Fuente Attacker
22
Kialy Abdoul Kone
Kialy Abdoul Kone Attacker
11
Ignacio Schor
Ignacio Schor Attacker
9
Marcos Fernández Sánchez
Marcos Fernández Sánchez Attacker
27
Marc Domenech
Marc Domenech Attacker

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Burgos holding the stronger pre-match profile. The power-ranking gap of 10.6 points supports that view. Market sentiment broadly aligns with the underlying data —Burgos at 0%, draw at 0%, Ceuta at 0%— leaving the balance of play dependent on execution, set pieces, and transitions rather than variance alone. Both sides will need to convert their chances to decide the outcome.