Bristol City vs Stoke City preview
2025/2026 Championship, England
Ashton Gate Stadium
Sat, 2 May - 11:30 AM
Championship
Bristol City
BSC
Stoke City
STK
KICKOFF :
Sat, 2 May - 11:30 AM
Round 46 ·
Regular Season
STANDINGS
Loading standings...
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Apr 28
CONTEXT
Bristol City host Stoke City in Championship (Regular Season) at Ashton Gate Stadium. Domestically, Bristol City sit 13th in the table while Stoke City are 17th. Power ranking favours Bristol City by 10.1 points heading into this fixture.
TL;DR
-
Structural: Bristol City hold a 10.1 point power advantage over Stoke City.
-
Form: Bristol City's form score of 19.22 dwarfs Stoke City's 1.78.
-
Squad: Bristol City rank 13th, ahead of Stoke City in 17th.
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Efficiency: Efficiency metrics unavailable for both teams.
-
Transition: Transition data unavailable in this analysis.
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Set pieces: Set piece stats unavailable with low confidence proxy data.
-
xVariable: xG data unavailable for attack and defence.
-
Market: Bristol City 48.9% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25.6% (Δ+0%) | Stoke City 25.5% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25
vs Team A
Feb 1
vs Team B
Feb 8
vs Team C
R. Hodgson
VS
M. Robins
1.16
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
0.97
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Birmingham City
Rank:
L
Southampton
Rank:
D
Norwich City
Rank:
L
Queens Park Rangers
Rank:
D
Sheffield United
Rank:
W
Charlton Athletic
Rank:
W
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Portsmouth
Rank:
L
Millwall
Rank:
L
Wrexham
Rank:
L
Blackburn Rovers
Rank:
D
Derby County
Rank:
L
Sheffield Wednesday
Rank:
W
9
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
9 - 2 - 7
7
No sidelined player data available.
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Bristol City
48.94%
Draw
25.61%
Stoke City
25.45%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
21.89
11.81
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Bristol City
Stoke City
Power Score
21.89
11.81
League Position
13
17
Global Rank
-
-
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Bristol City
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Stoke City
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Bristol City Stoke City
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 18 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Bristol City
BSC
Home
18
matches
Stoke City
STK
Away
Match Record
9
Wins
7
2
Draws
2
7
Losses
9
Goals
23
Goals Scored
24
24
Goals Conceded
23
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-04-27T00:27:59+00:00
General Information
Date & Time
May 02, 2026, 11:30 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Championship, England · Round 46 · Regular Season
Stadium
Ashton Gate Stadium
Capacity
1500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Squad
Manager ▼
R. Hodgson
Coach
Squad ▼
13
Joe Lumley
Goalkeeper
32
Lewis Thomas
Goalkeeper
23
Radek Vítek
Goalkeeper
16
Robert Dickie
Defender
2
Ross McCrorie
Defender
21
Vivaldo Borges dos Santos Neto
Defender
19
George Tanner
Defender
5
Robert Atkinson
Defender
3
Cameron Pring
Defender
38
Noah Eile
Defender
15
Luke McNally
Defender
24
Sebastian Naylor
Defender
33
Josh Campbell-Slowey
Defender
40
Sam Morsy
Midfielder
8
Joe Williams
Midfielder
10
Scott Twine
Midfielder
17
Mark Sykes
Midfielder
6
Max Bird
Midfielder
14
Tomi Horvat
Midfielder
12
Jason Knight
Midfielder
4
Adam Randell
Midfielder
44
George Earthy
Midfielder
28
Adam Murphy
Midfielder
18
Emil Riis Jakobsen
Attacker
11
Delano Burgzorg
Attacker
30
Sinclair Armstrong
Attacker
20
Samuel John Bell
Attacker
Manager ▼
M. Robins
Coach
Squad ▼
34
Frank Fielding
Goalkeeper
1
Viktor Johansson
Goalkeeper
31
Gavin Bazunu
Goalkeeper
25
Tommy Simkim
Goalkeeper
3
Aaron Cresswell
Defender
23
Ben Gibson
Defender
16
Ben Wilmot
Defender
17
Eric Junior Bocat
Defender
40
Maksym Talovierov
Defender
18
Mohammed Bosun Lawal
Defender
22
J. Tchamadeu
Defender
26
Ashley Phillips
Defender
15
Steven N'Kemboanza Mike Christopher Nzonzi
Midfielder
8
Lewis Baker
Midfielder
4
Ben Pearson
Midfielder
12
Tatsuki Seko
Midfielder
19
Tomáš Rigo
Midfielder
10
Joon-Ho Bae
Midfielder
20
Sam Gallagher
Attacker
7
Sorba Thomas
Attacker
11
Róbert Boženík
Attacker
42
Million Manhoef
Attacker
21
Jesuran Rak-Sakyi
Attacker
9
Divin Mubama
Attacker
29
Lamine Cisse
Attacker
—
Ato Ampah
Attacker
49
Milan Smit
Attacker
CONCLUSION
Bristol City enter as firm favorites against Stoke City, leveraging a superior power score and dominant form edge at Ashton Gate. The 10.1 point structural advantage, coupled with 13th versus 17th positioning, positions the hosts to dictate terms in this Championship encounter. Absent granular set piece or efficiency insights, broader metrics underscore Bristol's control potential. Stoke's poor form demands a defensive masterclass and counter threat to compete. Projections align with home strength at 48.5%, suggesting the Robins claim vital points in a match shaping mid-table fortunes. Expect Bristol's cohesion to prevail.