Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund preview

Germany flag 2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany
Stadion im Borussia-Park Yesterday - 3:30 PM
Bundesliga
Borussia Mönchengladbach BMG
Borussia Dortmund BVB
KICKOFF : Yesterday - 3:30 PM
Round 32 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Borussia Mönchengladbach host Borussia Dortmund in Bundesliga (Regular Season) at Stadion im Borussia-Park. Domestically, Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 11th in the table while Borussia Dortmund are 2th. Power ranking favours Borussia Dortmund by 14.2 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Borussia Dortmund possess a 14.2-point power advantage with a score of 89.91 over Mönchengladbach's 75.69.
  • Form: Dortmund's form score stands at 30.11, far exceeding Mönchengladbach's 11.39.
  • Squad: Mönchengladbach occupy 11th in the Bundesliga, trailing Dortmund in 2nd place.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition data remains unavailable in current analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats rely on low-confidence proxy data without xG for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable due to add-on not enabled.
  • Market: Borussia Mönchengladbach 25.8% (Δ+0%) | Draw 24.7% (Δ+0%) | Borussia Dortmund 49.5% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Borussia Mönchengladbach E. Polanski
E. Polanski
VS
Borussia Dortmund N. Kovač
N. Kovač
1.18
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.14
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
VfL Wolfsburg Rank: 74 D
FSV Mainz 05 Rank: 80 D
RB Leipzig Rank: 86 L
Heidenheim Rank: 72 D
FC Köln Rank: 75 D
St. Pauli Rank: 72 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
SC Freiburg Rank: 83 W
TSG Hoffenheim Rank: 83 L
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Rank: 90 L
VfB Stuttgart Rank: 85 W
Hamburger SV Rank: 75 W
FC Augsburg Rank: 77 W
9
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
9 - 4 - 26
26
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Borussia Mönchengladbach
25.77%
Draw
24.74%
Away Borussia Dortmund
49.48%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
75.69
89.91
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Dortmund
Power Score
75.69
89.91
League Position
11
2
Global Rank
98
12

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Borussia Mönchengladbach — Opponent-weighted form score
Borussia Dortmund — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Dortmund

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 39 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Borussia Mönchengladbach BMG Home
39 matches
Borussia Dortmund BVB Away
Match Record
9
Wins
26
4
Draws
4
26
Losses
9
Goals
41
Goals Scored
85
85
Goals Conceded
41
-44
Goal Difference
+44
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-02T01:07:46+00:00

STARTING XI

Pitch
M. Nicolas
Germany
33 M. Nicolas
P. Sander
Germany
16 P. Sander
N. Elvedi
Switzerland
30 N. Elvedi
F. Cristian Chiarodia
Italy
2 F. Cristian Chiarodia
Y. Engelhardt
Germany
6 Y. Engelhardt
J. Scally
United States
29 J. Scally
R. Reitz
Germany
27 R. Reitz
K. Stöger
Austria
7 K. Stöger
F. Neuhaus
Germany
10 F. Neuhaus
F. Honorat
France
9 F. Honorat
H. Tabakovic
Switzerland
15 H. Tabakovic
G. Kobel
Switzerland
1 G. Kobel
D. Svensson
Sweden
24 D. Svensson
N. Schlotterbeck
Germany
4 N. Schlotterbeck
W. Anton
Germany
3 W. Anton
M. Beier
Germany
14 M. Beier
J. Bellingham
England
7 J. Bellingham
M. Sabitzer
Austria
20 M. Sabitzer
J. Ryerson
Norway
26 J. Ryerson
S. Inacio
Italy
40 S. Inacio
J. Brandt
Germany
10 J. Brandt
S. Guirassy
Guinea
9 S. Guirassy

General Information

Date & Time
May 03, 2026, 03:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany · Round 32 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion im Borussia-Park
Capacity
54057
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Philipp Hüwe
Mitja Stegemann
Felix Prigan
Florian Badstübner

Lineup

Referee : Florian Badstübner

Starting XI ▼

33
Moritz Nicolas
Moritz Nicolas Goalkeeper
7.13
2
Fabio Chiarodia
Fabio Chiarodia Defender
6.58
16
Philipp Sander
Philipp Sander Defender
6.93
30
Nico Elvedi
Nico Elvedi Defender
6.96
6
Yannik Engelhardt
Yannik Engelhardt Midfielder
6.8
7
Kevin Stöger
Kevin Stöger Midfielder
6.76
27
Rocco Reitz
Rocco Reitz Midfielder
6.91
9
Franck Honorat
Franck Honorat Attacker
6.85
10
Florian Neuhaus
Florian Neuhaus Attacker
6.77
15
Haris Tabakovic
Haris Tabakovic Attacker
6.92
29
Joe Scally
Joe Scally Attacker
6.68
Referee : Florian Badstübner

Starting XI ▼

1
Gregor Kobel
Gregor Kobel Goalkeeper
6.87
3
Waldemar Anton
Waldemar Anton Defender
7.08
4
Nico Schlotterbeck
Nico Schlotterbeck Defender
7.31
14
Maximilian Beier
Maximilian Beier Defender
6.89
24
Daniel Svensson
Daniel Svensson Defender
6.83
26
Julian Ryerson
Julian Ryerson Defender
7.01
7
Jobe Bellingham
Jobe Bellingham Midfielder
6.75
10
Julian Brandt
Julian Brandt Midfielder
7.07
20
Marcel Sabitzer
Marcel Sabitzer Midfielder
6.87
40
Samuele Inácio
Samuele Inácio Midfielder
6.69
9
Serhou Guirassy
Serhou Guirassy Attacker
7.01

CONCLUSION

Dortmund enter as clear favorites, leveraging superior power, form, and league standing to challenge Mönchengladbach's home fortress. Gladbach must summon defensive grit and opportunistic counters to counter the visitors' flair. While set piece and efficiency insights are limited, Dortmund's overall edge suggests control, though the hosts' motivation in mid-table could spark surprises. Expect a competitive affair where Dortmund's quality likely prevails, securing crucial points in their top-two pursuit. The 49.5% projection aligns with their dominance, but Borussia-Park's atmosphere demands respect.