Bologna vs Roma preview

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara Sat, 25 Apr - 4:00 PM
Serie A
Bologna BOL
Roma ROM
KICKOFF : Sat, 25 Apr - 4:00 PM
Round 34 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Bologna host Roma in Serie A (Regular Season) at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara. Domestically, Bologna sit 8th in the table while Roma are 6th. Power ranking favours Roma by 1.7 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Roma hold a 1.7 point power advantage with a score of 24.05 over Bologna's 22.31.
  • Form: Bologna lead in form with 16.83 compared to Roma's 10.83.
  • Squad: Roma sit 6th and Bologna 8th in the Serie A table.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable.
  • Transition: Transition metrics are not available.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data unavailable due to lack of xG information and low confidence proxy.
  • xVariable: xVariable data is not provided.
  • Market: Bologna 28.1% (Δ+0%) | Draw 30.1% (Δ+0%) | Roma 41.8% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Bologna V. Italiano
V. Italiano
VS
Roma G. Gasperini
G. Gasperini
1.35
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.65
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Juventus Rank: L
Lecce Rank: W
Cremonese Rank: W
Lazio Rank: L
Sassuolo Rank: W
Hellas Verona Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Atalanta Rank: D
Pisa Rank: W
Inter Rank: L
Lecce Rank: W
Como Rank: L
Genoa Rank: L
8
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
8 - 11 - 17
17
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Bologna
28.09%
Draw
30.1%
Away Roma
41.81%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
22.31
24.05
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Bologna
Roma
Power Score
22.31
24.05
League Position
8
6
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Bologna — Opponent-weighted form score
Roma — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Bologna Roma

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 36 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Bologna BOL Home
36 matches
Roma ROM Away
Match Record
8
Wins
17
11
Draws
11
17
Losses
8
Goals
40
Goals Scored
60
60
Goals Conceded
40
-20
Goal Difference
+20
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-25T00:07:36+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
M. Pessina
Italy
25 M. Pessina
J. Neto Lopes
Portugal
17 J. Neto Lopes
T. Heggem
Norway
14 T. Heggem
J. Lucumí Bonilla
Colombia
26 J. Lucumí Bonilla
J. Miranda González
Spain
33 J. Miranda González
T. Pobega
Italy
4 T. Pobega
R. Freuler
Switzerland
8 R. Freuler
L. Ferguson
Scotland
19 L. Ferguson
R. Orsolini
Italy
7 R. Orsolini
S. Castro
Argentina
9 S. Castro
J. Rowe
England
11 J. Rowe
M. Svilar
Serbia
99 M. Svilar
M. Hermoso Canseco
Spain
22 M. Hermoso Canseco
O. N'Dicka
France
5 O. N'Dicka
G. Mancini
Italy
23 G. Mancini
W. França Lima
Brazil
43 W. França Lima
N. Pisilli
Italy
61 N. Pisilli
B. Cristante
Italy
4 B. Cristante
M. Çelik
Türkiye
19 M. Çelik
S. El Shaarawy
Italy
92 S. El Shaarawy
M. Malvano
Italy
18 M. Malvano
D. Malen
Netherlands
14 D. Malen

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 25, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Capacity
36532
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Marco Di Bello
Alessio Berti
Vittorio Di Gioia
Claudio Giuseppe Allegretta

Lineup

Referee : Marco Di Bello

Starting XI ▼

25
Massimo Pessina
Massimo Pessina Goalkeeper
6.88
14
Torbjørn Heggem
Torbjørn Heggem Defender
6.69
17
João Mário
João Mário Defender
6.55
26
Jhon Lucumí
Jhon Lucumí Defender
6.85
33
Juan Miranda
Juan Miranda Defender
7.12
4
Tommaso Pobega
Tommaso Pobega Midfielder
6.71
8
Remo Freuler
Remo Freuler Midfielder
6.8
19
Lewis Ferguson
Lewis Ferguson Midfielder
6.73
7
Riccardo Orsolini
Riccardo Orsolini Attacker
6.96
9
Santiago Castro
Santiago Castro Attacker
6.89
11
Jonathan Rowe
Jonathan Rowe Attacker
6.81
Referee : Marco Di Bello

Starting XI ▼

99
Mile Svilar
Mile Svilar Goalkeeper
7.02
5
Evan Ndicka
Evan Ndicka Defender
6.95
19
Zeki Çelik
Zeki Çelik Defender
6.81
22
Mario Hermoso
Mario Hermoso Defender
6.93
23
Gianluca Mancini
Gianluca Mancini Defender
6.97
43
Wesley
Wesley Defender
6.9
4
Bryan Cristante
Bryan Cristante Midfielder
6.99
18
Matías Soulé
Matías Soulé Midfielder
7.05
61
Niccolò Pisilli
Niccolò Pisilli Midfielder
6.63
92
Stephan El Shaarawy
Stephan El Shaarawy Midfielder
6.78
14
Donyell Malen
Donyell Malen Attacker
7.08

CONCLUSION

Roma's structural superiority and higher league standing position them favorably, yet Bologna's stronger form injects real upset potential at home. The narrow power gap of 1.7 points hints at a balanced showdown where Bologna's momentum could disrupt Roma's plans. Absent detailed set-piece or efficiency insights, attention turns to overall execution and home crowd energy. This Serie A encounter shapes mid-table aspirations, demanding precision in possession and defense from both sides. Expect grit and tactical nous to define the outcome in a match ripe for drama.