Bodø / Glimt vs Molde preview

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Aspmyra Stadion Mon, 4 May - 5:00 PM
Eliteserien
Bodø / Glimt BOD
Molde Molde
KICKOFF : Mon, 4 May - 5:00 PM
Round 7 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Bodø/Glimt host Molde at Aspmyra Stadion in an Eliteserien regular season fixture brimming with northern intensity. Sitting 4th in the table, the hosts command a 17.3-point power advantage over 6th-placed visitors, with scores of 82.58 against 65.28 marking them as the stronger side. Form metrics reinforce this, Bodø/Glimt's 26.61 eclipsing Molde's 20.5. Projections reflect the imbalance, assigning Bodø/Glimt a 70.6% split. Both teams lack recent outing details, shifting emphasis to season-long trends. Aspmyra's atmosphere could amplify the home edge in this midfield battle. Limited advanced stats like set pieces hinder deeper analysis, but raw power points to Bodø/Glimt control. Molde's resilience will be tested early.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Bodø/Glimt hold a 17.3-point power advantage with a score of 82.58 over Molde's 65.28.
  • Form: Bodø/Glimt's form score stands at 26.61, superior to Molde's 20.5.
  • Squad: Bodø/Glimt sit 4th in the Eliteserien, three places above Molde in 6th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition play metrics are not provided.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data unavailable with low confidence and proxy metrics used.
  • xVariable: xG-based variables unavailable for attack and defense.
  • Market: Projection split: Bodø / Glimt 70.6% (Δ+0%) | Draw 16.7% (Δ+0%) | Molde 12.8% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Bodø / Glimt K. Knutsen
K. Knutsen
VS
Molde M. Falk
M. Falk
2.44
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.78
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Start Rank: 49 W
Lillestrøm Rank: 56 W
Aalesund Rank: 41 W
Sarpsborg 08 Rank: 60 D
Viking Rank: 76 L
Kristiansund Rank: 56 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Vålerenga Rank: 60 W
Start Rank: 48 D
HamKam Rank: 58 W
Lillestrøm Rank: 57 L
Viking Rank: 79 L
Rosenborg Rank: 62 W
9
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
9 - 7 - 12
12
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Bodø / Glimt
70.55%
Draw
16.69%
Away Molde
12.75%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
82.58
65.28
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Bodø / Glimt
Molde
Power Score
82.58
65.28
League Position
4
6
Global Rank
46
321

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Bodø / Glimt Opponent-weighted form score
Molde Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Bodø / Glimt Molde

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 28 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Bodø / Glimt BOD Home
28 matches
Molde Molde Away
Match Record
9
Wins
12
7
Draws
7
12
Losses
9
Goals
49
Goals Scored
55
55
Goals Conceded
49
-6
Goal Difference
+6
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-04T00:07:59+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
N. Haikin
12 N. Haikin
F. Sjøvold
20 F. Sjøvold
O. Bjørtuft
4 O. Bjørtuft
J. Maurstad Gundersen
6 J. Maurstad Gundersen
F. Bjørkan
15 F. Bjørkan
S. Brunstad Fet
19 S. Brunstad Fet
P. Berg
7 P. Berg
S. Auklend
8 S. Auklend
O. Blomberg
11 O. Blomberg
K. Høgh
9 K. Høgh
J. Hauge
10 J. Hauge
A. Posiadała
22 A. Posiadała
S. Kabini
26 S. Kabini
B. Risa
33 B. Risa
S. Hansen
4 S. Hansen
H. Østervold Stenevik
18 H. Østervold Stenevik
V. Hoff
15 V. Hoff
E. Breivik
10 E. Breivik
M. Møller Dæhli
17 M. Møller Dæhli
S. Granaas
23 S. Granaas
F. Gulbrandsen
8 F. Gulbrandsen
E. Hestad
5 E. Hestad

General Information

Date & Time
May 04, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 7 · Regular Season
Stadium
Aspmyra Stadion
Capacity
8270
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Rohit Saggi
Anders Olav Dale
Jørgen Rønning Valstadsve
Gustav Havig

Expected Lineup

Referee : Rohit Saggi

Starting XI

12
Nikita Haikin
Nikita Haikin Goalkeeper
7.21
11
Ole Didrik Blomberg
Ole Didrik Blomberg Attacker
7.28
9
Kasper Høgh
Kasper Høgh Centre Forward
7.31
10
Jens Petter Hauge
Jens Petter Hauge Attacker
7.17
6
Jostein Gundersen
Jostein Gundersen Left Back
6.98
15
Fredrik Bjørkan
Fredrik Bjørkan Left Back
6.97
19
Sondre Fet
Sondre Fet Central Midfield
6.83
20
Fredrik Sjøvold
Fredrik Sjøvold Right Back
7.28
4
Odin Luras Bjortuft
Odin Luras Bjortuft Right Back
7.24
7
Patrick Berg
Patrick Berg Central Midfield
7.4
8
Sondre Auklend
Sondre Auklend Central Midfield
7.05
Referee : Rohit Saggi

Starting XI

22
Albert Posiadala
Albert Posiadala Goalkeeper
7.25
5
Eirik Hestad
Eirik Hestad Attacker
7.3
8
Fredrik Gulbrandsen
Fredrik Gulbrandsen Centre Forward
6.93
23
Sondre Granaas
Sondre Granaas Attacker
7.14
4
S. Hansen
S. Hansen Right Back
7.32
10
Emil Breivik
Emil Breivik Central Midfield
7.75
15
Vebjørn Hoff
Vebjørn Hoff Central Midfield
6.79
33
Birk Risa
Birk Risa Left Back
6.97
18
Halldor Stenevik
Halldor Stenevik Right Back
7.06
17
Mats Møller Dæhli
Mats Møller Dæhli Central Midfield
6.91
26
Samukelo Kabini
Samukelo Kabini Left Back
6.71

CONCLUSION

Bodø/Glimt enter as clear favorites against Molde, backed by a decisive 17.3-point power edge and stronger form score. Hosting at Aspmyra Stadion, their 4th-place standing amplifies the home advantage over 6th-placed opponents. While advanced metrics like set pieces and efficiency remain elusive, core strengths position the hosts for control. Molde must disrupt early to counter the 70.6% projection split. This clash tests resilience amid limited data, but Bodø/Glimt's metrics suggest a statement win in the Eliteserien race.