Beşiktaş vs Fatih Karagümrük preview

Türkiye flag 2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye
Beşiktaş Park Mon, 27 Apr - 5:00 PM
Super Lig
Beşiktaş BES
Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük
KICKOFF : Mon, 27 Apr - 5:00 PM
Round 31 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Beşiktaş host Fatih Karagümrük at Beşiktaş Park in the Super Lig regular season clash of the 2025/2026 campaign. Sitting fourth in the table, Beşiktaş hold a commanding power score of 26.98 against Karagümrük's 20.19, translating to a 6.8-point advantage that underscores their structural superiority. Despite Karagümrük's stronger recent form score of 20.83 compared to Beşiktaş's 15.56, the visitors languish in 18th place, highlighting a stark league standing disparity. Beşiktaş's home dominance pairs with their higher efficiency metrics in prior outings, though detailed set-piece data remains unavailable due to low-confidence proxies. Transition play could be pivotal, with Beşiktaş's robust squad depth poised to exploit Karagümrük's vulnerabilities. This matchup pits experience against resilience, as Beşiktaş aim to solidify their top-four push while Karagümrük battle relegation pressures. Expect a tactical battle where home advantage tilts the scales.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Beşiktaş possess a clear structural edge with a 26.98 power score versus Fatih Karagümrük's 20.19, yielding a 6.8-point advantage.
  • Form: Fatih Karagümrük edge recent form with a 20.83 score compared to Beşiktaş's 15.56.
  • Squad: Beşiktaş sit 4th in the league while Fatih Karagümrük occupy 18th, reflecting superior squad quality at home.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Beşiktaş's higher power rating suggests stronger transition capabilities against a lower-ranked opponent.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece metrics unavailable due to low-confidence proxy data for both sides.
  • xVariable: Beşiktaş's x-factor lies in their 6.8-point power advantage, amplifying home performance potential.
  • Market: Projection split: Beşiktaş 68.2% (Δ+0%) | Draw 18.6% (Δ+0%) | Fatih Karagümrük 13.3% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Beşiktaş A. Yalçın
A. Yalçın
VS
Fatih Karagümrük A. Stanojević
A. Stanojević
1.9
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.8
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Samsunspor Rank: L
Antalyaspor Rank: W
Fenerbahçe Rank: L
Kasımpaşa Rank: W
Gençlerbirliği Rank: W
Galatasaray Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Eyüpspor Rank: L
Konyaspor Rank: L
Rizespor Rank: W
Kayserispor Rank: L
Fenerbahçe Rank: W
Gaziantep F.K. Rank: D
7
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
7 - 1 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Beşiktaş
68.18%
Draw
18.56%
Away Fatih Karagümrük
13.25%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
26.98
20.19
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Beşiktaş
Fatih Karagümrük
Power Score
26.98
20.19
League Position
4
18
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Beşiktaş — Opponent-weighted form score
Fatih Karagümrük — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Beşiktaş Fatih Karagümrük

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 9 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Beşiktaş BES Home
9 matches
Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük Away
Match Record
7
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Losses
7
Goals
18
Goals Scored
5
5
Goals Conceded
18
+13
Goal Difference
-13
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-27T16:30:57+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
D. Vásquez Llach
Colombia
32 D. Vásquez Llach
T. Bulut
Germany
22 T. Bulut
E. Agbadou
Ivory Coast
12 E. Agbadou
E. Topçu
Türkiye
53 E. Topçu
R. Yılmaz
Türkiye
33 R. Yılmaz
O. Ndidi
Nigeria
4 O. Ndidi
M. Rashica
Kosovo
7 M. Rashica
O. Kökçü
Türkiye
10 O. Kökçü
J. Olaitan
Benin
15 J. Olaitan
E. Toure
Mali
19 E. Toure
H. Oh
South Korea
9 H. Oh
I. Grbić
Croatia
13 I. Grbić
F. Mladenović
Serbia
25 F. Mladenović
I. Lichnovsky Osorio
Chile
3 I. Lichnovsky Osorio
D. Biraschi
Italy
4 D. Biraschi
R. Sousa Esgaio
Portugal
47 R. Sousa Esgaio
B. Elmaz
Türkiye
6 B. Elmaz
B. Özcan
Türkiye
8 B. Özcan
B. Kalayci
Germany
72 B. Kalayci
S. Larsson
Sweden
23 S. Larsson
A. Traore
Ivory Coast
88 A. Traore
S. Da Luiz Junior
Brazil
70 S. Da Luiz Junior

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 27, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium
Beşiktaş Park
Capacity
42590
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Mehmet Salih Mazlum
Batuhan Kolak
Ayberk Demirbaş
Bilal Gölen

Lineup

Referee : Batuhan Kolak

Starting XI ▼

32
Devis Vásquez
Devis Vásquez Goalkeeper
7.05
12
Emmanuel Agbadou
Emmanuel Agbadou Defender
7.16
22
Taylan Bulut
Taylan Bulut Defender
6.39
33
Rıdvan Yılmaz
Rıdvan Yılmaz Defender
6.72
53
Emirhan Topçu
Emirhan Topçu Defender
7.03
4
Wilfred Ndidi
Wilfred Ndidi Midfielder
6.99
10
Orkun Kökçü
Orkun Kökçü Midfielder
7.63
15
Junior Olaitan
Junior Olaitan Midfielder
6.92
7
Milot Rashica
Milot Rashica Attacker
6.76
9
Hyeon-gyu Oh
Hyeon-gyu Oh Attacker
7.31
19
El Bilal Touré
El Bilal Touré Attacker
6.95
Referee : Batuhan Kolak

Starting XI ▼

13
Ivo Grbic
Ivo Grbic Goalkeeper
7.02
3
Igor Lichnovsky
Igor Lichnovsky Defender
6.86
4
Davide Biraschi
Davide Biraschi Defender
6.51
25
Filip Mladenovic
Filip Mladenovic Defender
6.77
47
Ricardo Esgaio
Ricardo Esgaio Defender
6.5
6
Bartuğ Elmaz
Bartuğ Elmaz Midfielder
6.82
8
Berkay Özcan
Berkay Özcan Midfielder
6.68
23
Sam Larsson
Sam Larsson Midfielder
6.92
70
Serginho
Serginho Attacker
6.86
72
Barış Kalaycı
Barış Kalaycı Attacker
6.68
88
Ahmed Traore
Ahmed Traore Attacker
6.56

CONCLUSION

Beşiktaş enter as firm favorites, leveraging their superior power rating and home turf at Beşiktaş Park to overcome Fatih Karagümrük's better form score. The 4th-placed hosts' squad depth and league position dwarf the 18th-placed visitors, who face an uphill battle despite recent momentum. With structural advantages in play and transition phases likely decisive, Beşiktaş should control possession and create high-quality chances. Limited data on set pieces and efficiency tempers specifics, but the overall metrics point to a comfortable home win. Karagümrük's resilience may yield moments, yet Beşiktaş's quality prevails in this Super Lig encounter.