Baltika Kaliningrad vs Rubin Kazan preview

Russia flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Russia
Complexe Sportif Jean Bianchi 1 Today - 1:30 PM
Premier League
Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad
Rubin Kazan RKA
KICKOFF : Today - 1:30 PM
Round 28 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Baltika Kaliningrad hosts Rubin Kazan in the Premier League regular season at Complexe Sportif Jean Bianchi 1, as both teams vie for better positioning in the 2025/2026 campaign. Sitting 5th in the league, Baltika holds a slight edge over 7th-placed Rubin, yet Rubin's power score of 62.99 outpaces Baltika's 55.48 by 7.5 points, marking them as the stronger side overall. Form scores further tilt towards Rubin at 20.06 compared to Baltika's 13.22, suggesting recent momentum favors the visitors. With no recent outing details available, this clash hinges on underlying strengths and tactical execution. Baltika's home advantage could counter Rubin's superior metrics, but defensive solidity and quick transitions will be key in a tightly contested matchup. Limited advanced data on efficiency and set pieces adds uncertainty, forcing reliance on power and form indicators.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Rubin Kazan holds a 7.5-point power advantage over Baltika Kaliningrad with a score of 62.99 to 55.48.
  • Form: Rubin Kazan outperforms Baltika Kaliningrad in form scores, 20.06 versus 13.22.
  • Squad: Baltika Kaliningrad sits 5th in the league table, one position above Rubin Kazan at 7th.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency data available for either team.
  • Transition: Transition play data unavailable due to lack of recent metrics.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable with low confidence and proxy usage for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG data not available, limiting advanced variable analysis.
  • Market: Projection split: Baltika Kaliningrad 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Rubin Kazan 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Baltika Kaliningrad A. Talalaev
A. Talalaev
VS
Rubin Kazan F. Cebrián
F. Cebrián
1.57
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.54
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Akron Rank: 54 L
Akhmat Grozny Rank: 59 D
Krasnodar Rank: 76 D
FK Nizjni Novgorod Rank: 51 D
Dynamo Makhachkala Rank: 57 D
Sochi Rank: 51 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
CSKA Moskva Rank: 70 D
Dinamo Moskva Rank: 70 W
Akron Rank: 53 D
Orenburg Rank: 52 D
Sochi Rank: 51 W
Krylya Sovetov Rank: 57 D
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 2
2
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Baltika Kaliningrad
0%
Draw
0%
Away Rubin Kazan
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
55.48
62.99
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Baltika Kaliningrad
Rubin Kazan
Power Score
55.48
62.99
League Position
5
7
Global Rank
319
387

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Baltika Kaliningrad Opponent-weighted form score
Rubin Kazan Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Baltika Kaliningrad Rubin Kazan

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad Home
3 matches
Rubin Kazan RKA Away
Match Record
1
Wins
2
0
Draws
0
2
Losses
1
Goals
3
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
3
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-01T00:07:39+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 5-4-1
Match Formation 3-4-3
Pitch
I. Kukushkin
81 I. Kukushkin
M. Beveev
23 M. Beveev
S. Varatynov
2 S. Varatynov
K. Andrade Murillo
16 K. Andrade Murillo
A. Filin
25 A. Filin
N. Gassama
4 N. Gassama
M. Petrov
73 M. Petrov
I. Belikov
26 I. Belikov
N. Titkov
22 N. Titkov
T. Yenne
15 T. Yenne
D. Severino Lacerda
18 D. Severino Lacerda
E. Staver
38 E. Staver
E. Teslenko
2 E. Teslenko
D. Maldonado Munguía
3 D. Maldonado Munguía
N. Lobov
98 N. Lobov
I. Rozhkov
51 I. Rozhkov
D. Kuzyaev
14 D. Kuzyaev
I. Saavedra Pino
7 I. Saavedra Pino
A. Arroyo Córdoba
12 A. Arroyo Córdoba
R. Bezrukov
23 R. Bezrukov
J. Siwe
43 J. Siwe
N. Gripshi
11 N. Gripshi

General Information

Date & Time
May 02, 2026, 01:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, Russia · Round 28 · Regular Season
Stadium
Complexe Sportif Jean Bianchi 1
Capacity
35212
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI

81
I. Kukushkin
I. Kukushkin Goalkeeper
6.5
15
T. Yenne
T. Yenne Midfielder
6.55
73
Maksim Petrov
Maksim Petrov Midfielder
7.1
18
Derik Lacerda
Derik Lacerda Centre Forward
6.91
4
Nathan Gassama
Nathan Gassama Left Back
7.06
16
K. Andrade
K. Andrade Centre Back
7.1
22
Nikolai Titkov
Nikolai Titkov Central Midfield
6.87
23
Mingiyan Beveev
Mingiyan Beveev Right Back
6.88
25
Aleksandr Filin
Aleksandr Filin Left Back
7.01
26
Ivan Belikov
Ivan Belikov Central Midfield
6.92
2
S. Varatynov
S. Varatynov Right Back
6.85

Starting XI

38
Evgeniy Staver
Evgeniy Staver Goalkeeper
6.9
12
Anderson Arroyo
Anderson Arroyo Midfielder
6.9
51
Ilya Rozhkov
Ilya Rozhkov Midfielder
6.89
11
Nazmi Gripshi
Nazmi Gripshi Attacker
7.04
43
Jacques Siwe
Jacques Siwe Centre Forward
6.75
23
Ruslan Bezrukov
Ruslan Bezrukov Attacker
6.65
98
Nikita Lobov
Nikita Lobov Right Back
6.83
3
Denil Maldonado
Denil Maldonado Centre Back
6.77
2
Egor Teslenko
Egor Teslenko Left Back
6.93
7
Ignacio Saavedra
Ignacio Saavedra Central Midfield
6.82
14
Daler Kuzyaev
Daler Kuzyaev Central Midfield
6.69

CONCLUSION

Rubin Kazan enters as the power and form favorite despite trailing Baltika in the standings, setting up an intriguing battle where the visitors' edge could shine through. Baltika's higher league position suggests resilience at home, but Rubin's superior scores point to potential dominance in key areas. Without detailed efficiency or set-piece insights, expect a tactical affair focused on structure and momentum. The 7.5-point power gap underscores Rubin's strength, yet Baltika's positioning offers hope for an upset. This matchup promises intensity, with transitions and squad execution likely deciding the outcome in the Premier League regular season.