Country 2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands
AFAS Stadion Sun, 12 Apr - 2:45 PM
Eredivisie
AZ AZ
VS
SC Heerenveen HEE
KICKOFF : Sun, 12 Apr - 2:45 PM
Round 30 Regular Season

CONTEXT

AZ will host SC Heerenveen at the AFAS Stadion for a Regular Season match in the Eredivisie. Entering this domestic fixture, the home side currently occupies sixth place in the league table. SC Heerenveen sit directly behind them in seventh place, making this an important match for both clubs as they look to secure their respective positions. For the hosts, AZ's season form reads W3 D0 L3 from 6 matches. They come into this game following a successful result in their last outing, recording a home Win against Fortuna Sittard. Meanwhile, the visiting team has shown steady results over their recent stretch of games. SC Heerenveen's season form reads W4 D1 L1 from 6 matches. In their previous match, SC Heerenveen also secured a positive outcome, claiming a home Win against Heracles Almelo ahead of this upcoming away fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: AZ hold a +4.6 pts power-ranking advantage heading into this fixture.
  • Form: SC Heerenveen sit below baseline on opponent-adjusted form.
  • Squad: No major squad or availability edge; impact is neutral.
  • Efficiency: AZ show stronger possession-adjusted chance creation in the data.
  • Transition: AZ have a moderate edge in transition threat.
  • Set pieces: AZ carry higher set-play value and dead-ball upside.
  • xVariable: AZ hold a marginal advantage on underlying metrics.
  • Market: AZ 58% | Draw 22.2% | SC Heerenveen 19.8%.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
AZ L. Echteld
L. Echteld
VS
SC Heerenveen R. Veldman
R. Veldman
1.43
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.67
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Fortuna Sittard Rank: 63 W
FC Groningen Rank: 64 L
Heracles Almelo Rank: 58 W
PSV Rank: 85 L
FC Utrecht Rank: 72 L
Sparta Rotterdam Rank: 67 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Heracles Almelo Rank: 58 W
NEC Nijmegen Rank: 75 D
Telstar Rank: 60 W
Excelsior Rank: 58 W
Sparta Rotterdam Rank: 67 W
PSV Rank: 85 L
25
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
25 - 7 - 14
14
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home AZ
58%
Draw
22.24%
Away SC Heerenveen
19.76%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
74.41
69.79
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
AZ
SC Heerenveen
Power Score
74.41
69.79
League Position
6
7
Global Rank
109
186

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
AZ — Opponent-weighted form score
SC Heerenveen — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) AZ SC Heerenveen

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 46 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

AZ AZ Home
46 matches
SC Heerenveen HEE Away
Match Record
25
Wins
14
7
Draws
7
14
Losses
25
Goals
104
Goals Scored
76
76
Goals Conceded
104
+28
Goal Difference
-28
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-08T01:07:07+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
J. Zoet
41 J. Zoet
W. Goes
3 W. Goes
A. Penetra Correia
5 A. Penetra Correia
B. van Duijl
23 B. van Duijl
D. Kasius
30 D. Kasius
S. Mijnans
10 S. Mijnans
K. Smit
26 K. Smit
E. Dijkstra
22 E. Dijkstra
W. Pinto Batista
7 W. Pinto Batista
M. Meerdink
35 M. Meerdink
I. Jensen
17 I. Jensen
B. Klaverboer
22 B. Klaverboer
V. Zagaritis
19 V. Zagaritis
S. Kersten
4 S. Kersten
M. Willemsen
3 M. Willemsen
O. Johansen Braude
45 O. Johansen Braude
M. Linday
16 M. Linday
J. van Overeem
6 J. van Overeem
M. Rivera
7 M. Rivera
R. Meerveld
10 R. Meerveld
J. Trenskow
20 J. Trenskow
L. Nordås
18 L. Nordås

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 12, 2026, 02:45 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands · Round 30 · Regular Season
Stadium
AFAS Stadion
Capacity
19500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

41
Jeroen Zoet
Jeroen Zoet Goalkeeper
22
Elijah Dijkstra
Elijah Dijkstra Midfielder
30
Denso Kasius
Denso Kasius Midfielder
35
Mexx Meerdink
Mexx Meerdink Centre Forward
7
Weslley Patati
Weslley Patati Attacker
17
Isak Jensen
Isak Jensen Attacker
10
Sven Mijnans
Sven Mijnans Central Midfield
26
Kees Smit
Kees Smit Central Midfield
5
Alexandre Penetra
Alexandre Penetra Centre Back
23
Billy van Duijl
Billy van Duijl Left Back
3
Wouter Goes
Wouter Goes Right Back

Starting XI ▼

22
Bernt Klaverboer
Bernt Klaverboer Goalkeeper
18
Lasse Nordås
Lasse Nordås Centre Forward
45
Oliver Braude
Oliver Braude Right Back
3
Maas Willemsen
Maas Willemsen Right Back
4
Sam Kersten
Sam Kersten Left Back
16
Marcus Linday
Marcus Linday Defensive Midfield
20
Jacob Trenskow
Jacob Trenskow Right Wing
10
Ringo Meerveld
Ringo Meerveld Attacking Midfield
7
Maxence Rivera
Maxence Rivera Left Wing
19
Vasilios Zagaritis
Vasilios Zagaritis Left Back
6
Joris van Overeem
Joris van Overeem Defensive Midfield

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward AZ holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give AZ a 4.6-point edge. Market probabilities are AZ 58%, draw 22.2%, and SC Heerenveen 19.8%. That market view aligns with the structural profile. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.