AZ vs FC Twente preview

Netherlands flag 2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands
AFAS Stadion Sun, 3 May - 2:45 PM
Eredivisie
AZ AZ
FC Twente TWE
KICKOFF : Sun, 3 May - 2:45 PM
Round 32 Regular Season

CONTEXT

AZ host FC Twente in Eredivisie (Regular Season) at AFAS Stadion. Domestically, AZ sit 6th in the table while FC Twente are 5th. Power ranking favours FC Twente by 0.5 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: FC Twente possess a slight 0.5-point power advantage over AZ with scores of 75.83 to 75.33.
  • Form: FC Twente show stronger form at 31.56 versus AZ's 20.5.
  • Squad: AZ occupy 6th place in the Eredivisie, one spot behind 5th-placed FC Twente.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency data available for either team.
  • Transition: No transition metrics provided in available data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable due to lack of xG and low confidence proxies.
  • xVariable: No xG or advanced variable data accessible for analysis.
  • Market: AZ 34.6% (Δ+0%) | Draw 23.8% (Δ+0%) | FC Twente 41.6% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
AZ L. Echteld
L. Echteld
VS
FC Twente J. van den Brom
J. van den Brom
1.25
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.95
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Go Ahead Eagles Rank: 66 D
SC Heerenveen Rank: 70 W
Fortuna Sittard Rank: 61 W
FC Groningen Rank: 66 L
Heracles Almelo Rank: 56 W
PSV Rank: 86 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
NEC Nijmegen Rank: 74 D
FC Volendam Rank: 59 W
Ajax Rank: 76 W
Fortuna Sittard Rank: 61 W
FC Utrecht Rank: 71 L
Go Ahead Eagles Rank: 66 W
19
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
19 - 8 - 15
15
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home AZ
34.59%
Draw
23.77%
Away FC Twente
41.64%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
75.33
75.83
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
AZ
FC Twente
Power Score
75.33
75.83
League Position
6
5
Global Rank
102
97

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
AZ — Opponent-weighted form score
FC Twente — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) AZ FC Twente

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 42 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

AZ AZ Home
42 matches
FC Twente TWE Away
Match Record
19
Wins
15
8
Draws
8
15
Losses
19
Goals
65
Goals Scored
57
57
Goals Conceded
65
+8
Goal Difference
-8
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-02T01:06:45+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
R. Owusu-Oduro
1 R. Owusu-Oduro
R. Ichihara
18 R. Ichihara
A. Penetra Correia
5 A. Penetra Correia
B. van Duijl
23 B. van Duijl
E. Dijkstra
22 E. Dijkstra
M. Šín
33 M. Šín
S. Mijnans
10 S. Mijnans
M. Chávez García
15 M. Chávez García
W. Pinto Batista
7 W. Pinto Batista
M. Meerdink
35 M. Meerdink
I. Jensen
17 I. Jensen
L. Unnerstall
1 L. Unnerstall
M. Rots
39 M. Rots
R. Nijstad
43 R. Nijstad
S. Lemkin
23 S. Lemkin
B. van Rooij
28 B. van Rooij
T. van den Belt
20 T. van den Belt
R. Zerrouki
6 R. Zerrouki
S. Ørjasæter
27 S. Ørjasæter
K. Hlynsson
14 K. Hlynsson
D. Rots
11 D. Rots
S. Lammers
10 S. Lammers

General Information

Date & Time
May 03, 2026, 02:45 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands · Round 32 · Regular Season
Stadium
AFAS Stadion
Capacity
19500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Sander van der Eijk
Rens Bluemink
Stefan de Groot
Erwin Blank

Expected Lineup

Referee : Sander van der Eijk

Starting XI ▼

1
Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro
Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro Goalkeeper
6.81
15
Mateo Chávez
Mateo Chávez Midfielder
6.72
22
Elijah Dijkstra
Elijah Dijkstra Midfielder
6.6
35
Mexx Meerdink
Mexx Meerdink Centre Forward
6.86
7
Weslley Patati
Weslley Patati Attacker
6.91
17
Isak Jensen
Isak Jensen Attacker
6.91
23
Billy van Duijl
Billy van Duijl Left Back
7.14
5
Alexandre Penetra
Alexandre Penetra Centre Back
6.93
10
Sven Mijnans
Sven Mijnans Central Midfield
7.27
18
Rion Ichihara
Rion Ichihara Right Back
6.86
33
Matej Sin
Matej Sin Central Midfield
6.6
Referee : Sander van der Eijk

Starting XI ▼

1
Lars Unnerstall
Lars Unnerstall Goalkeeper
6.78
10
Sam Lammers
Sam Lammers Centre Forward
7.11
14
Kristian Hlynsson
Kristian Hlynsson Attacking Midfield
7.04
6
Ramiz Zerrouki
Ramiz Zerrouki Defensive Midfield
7.13
11
Daan Rots
Daan Rots Right Wing
7.04
39
Mats Rots
Mats Rots Left Back
6.96
43
Ruud Nijstad
Ruud Nijstad Left Back
6.82
20
Thomas van den Belt
Thomas van den Belt Defensive Midfield
6.95
23
Stav Lemkin
Stav Lemkin Right Back
6.86
27
Sondre Ørjasæter
Sondre Ørjasæter Left Wing
7.05
28
Bart van Rooij
Bart van Rooij Right Back
7.23

CONCLUSION

In this closely matched Eredivisie fixture, FC Twente's minor power and form edges position them favorably against AZ at the AFAS Stadion. The hosts will rely on home atmosphere and structural parity to counter the visitors' momentum from a higher league standing. Absent detailed set piece or efficiency insights, the duel hinges on execution in open play and capitalizing on limited chances. Twente's subtle superiority suggests control, but AZ's resilience could force a stalemate. Expect a tactical chess match where fine margins decide the outcome in this regular season scrap.