Avellino vs Modena preview
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy
Serie B
Avellino
AVE
Modena
MOD
KICKOFF :
Fri, 8 May - 6:30 PM
Round 38 ·
Regular Season
STANDINGS
Loading standings...
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: May 10
CONTEXT
Avellino host Modena in Serie B (Regular Season) at Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi. Domestically, Avellino sit 10th in the table while Modena are 6th. Power ranking favours Modena by 6.7 points heading into this fixture.
TL;DR
-
Structural: Modena enters as the stronger side with a 6.7-point power advantage over Avellino.
-
Form: Avellino holds a better form score of 15.39 compared to Modena's 10.06.
-
Squad: Avellino ranks 10th domestically, while Modena sits 6th in Serie B.
-
Efficiency: No efficiency data available for either team.
-
Transition: Transition metrics unavailable due to limited underlying data.
-
Set pieces: Set-piece performance data unavailable with low confidence and proxy usage.
-
xVariable: xG-related variables absent for both Avellino and Modena.
-
Market: Avellino 60.3% (Δ+0%) | Draw 23.5% (Δ+0%) | Modena 16.1% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25
vs Team A
Feb 1
vs Team B
Feb 8
vs Team C
D. Ballardini
VS
A. Sottil
1.15
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
1.19
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Empoli
Rank: 54
L
Bari 1908
Rank: 50
W
Mantova
Rank: 53
W
Catanzaro
Rank: 61
D
Palermo
Rank: 65
L
Sampdoria
Rank: 54
L
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Reggiana
Rank: 47
W
Monza
Rank: 66
L
Frosinone
Rank: 65
L
Catanzaro
Rank: 60
D
Südtirol
Rank: 51
D
Bari 1908
Rank: 50
L
6
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 3 - 4
4
No sidelined player data available.
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Avellino
60.33%
Draw
23.52%
Modena
16.14%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
51.15
57.8
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Avellino
Modena
Power Score
51.15
57.8
League Position
10
6
Global Rank
696
562
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Avellino
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Modena
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Avellino Modena
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Avellino
AVE
Home
13
matches
Modena
MOD
Away
Match Record
6
Wins
4
3
Draws
3
4
Losses
6
Goals
20
Goals Scored
18
18
Goals Conceded
20
+2
Goal Difference
-2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-05-08T00:03:46+00:00
STARTING XI - EXPECTED
Match Formation
4-3-1-2
Match Formation
3-5-2

30 G. Daffara

29 T. Cancellotti

56 P. Enrici

4 A. Izzo

2 F. Missori

24 D. Sounas

6 L. Palmiero

39 M. Besaggio

20 M. Palumbo

9 C. Patierno

14 T. Biasci

22 M. Pezzolato

20 B. Nieling

19 S. Nador

77 D. Tonoli

7 F. Zampano

18 N. Pyyhtiä

16 F. Gerli

17 Y. Massolin

98 L. Zanimacchia

99 M. De Luca

11 P. Lobo Peixoto Mineiro Mendes
General Information
Date & Time
May 08, 2026, 06:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Round 38 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi
Capacity
26542
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Davide Di Marco
Federico Votta
Matteo Pressato
Expected Lineup
Referee :
Davide Di Marco
Manager ▼
D. Ballardini
Coach
Starting XI ▼

Giovanni Daffara
Goalkeeper
6.86 
Tommaso Biasci
Attacker
6.92 
Cosimo Patierno
Attacker
6.59 
Filippo Missori
Left Back
6.8 
Armando Izzo
Left Back
7.17 
Luca Palmiero
Central Midfield
6.82 
Martin Palumbo
Attacking Midfield
6.87 
Dimitrios Sounas
Central Midfield
6.98 
Tommaso Cancellotti
Right Back
6.67 
Michele Besaggio
Central Midfield
6.79 
Patrick Enrici
Right Back
6.72 Substitutes ▼

Gennaro Tutino
6.56 
Luca Pandolfi
6.51 
Raffaele Russo
6.82 
Luca D'Andrea
6.58 
Justin Kumi
6.62 
Lorenzo Sgarbi
6.54 
Marco Armellino
6.59 
Andréa Le Borgne
6.39 
Pasquale Pane

Jacopo Sassi
6.22 
Roberto Insigne
6.82 
Andrea Favilli
6.65
Referee :
Davide Di Marco
Manager ▼
A. Sottil
Coach
Starting XI ▼

Michele Pezzolato
Goalkeeper
7.12 
Francesco Zampano
Midfielder
6.78 
Luca Zanimacchia
Midfielder
6.94 
Pedro Mendes
Attacker
6.71 
Manuel De Luca
Attacker
6.83 
Yanis Massolin
Central Midfield
6.96 
Fabio Gerli
Central Midfield
6.85 
Niklas Pyyhtiä
Central Midfield
6.76 
Steven Nador
Centre Back
6.97 
Bryant Nieling
Left Back
6.93 
Daniel Tonoli
Right Back
7.13 Substitutes ▼

Gady Beyuku
6.59 
Alessandro Sersanti
6.86 
Edoardo Colpo
6.45 
Alessandro Dellavalle
6.94 
Davide Adorni
6.85 
Matteo Cotali
6.62 
Cristian Căuz
6.46 
Samuel Wiafe
6.65 
Fabrizio Bagheria

Antonio Imputato
6.59 CONCLUSION
Overall, the structural indicators point toward Modena holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Modena a 6.7-point edge. External projection is Avellino 59.1%, draw 24.6%, and Modena 16.3%. That projection profile diverges from the structural signals, so execution is likely to decide the result. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.