Atlético Madrid vs Athletic Club preview

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
Riyadh Air Metropolitano Sat, 25 Apr - 7:00 PM
La Liga
Atlético Madrid ATM
Athletic Club ATH
KICKOFF : Sat, 25 Apr - 7:00 PM
Round 32 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Atlético Madrid hosts Athletic Club at Riyadh Air Metropolitano in a key La Liga regular season clash during the 2025/2026 campaign. The fourth-placed hosts, powered by a 27.76 score, hold a clear 3.1-point advantage over the ninth-placed visitors' 24.71 rating, underscoring their structural superiority. Atlético's home strength bolsters their position in the top-four race, while Athletic Club seeks to climb from mid-table. Recent form tilts slightly toward the away side at 15.22 versus 14.89, hinting at potential resilience on the road. With limited advanced metrics available, including null efficiency data and low-confidence set-piece proxies, the matchup hinges on core power dynamics and tactical execution. Atlético's defensive solidity typically frustrates opponents, but Athletic's counter-attacking prowess could exploit transitions. League standings reflect Atlético's consistency, yet form suggests a competitive encounter where home advantage may prove decisive.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Atlético Madrid ranks 4th with a 27.76 power score and 3.1-point edge over 9th-placed Athletic Club's 24.71.
  • Form: Athletic Club edges form with 15.22 score against Atlético Madrid's 14.89.
  • Squad: Squad details unavailable; Atlético Madrid deemed stronger overall by power metrics.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition metrics unavailable; Athletic Club historically relies on counters.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece data shows low confidence with proxy used for both teams and no xG available.
  • xVariable: xG data unavailable, limiting advanced performance insights.
  • Market: Atlético Madrid 47.1% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26.2% (Δ+0%) | Athletic Club 26.7% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Atlético Madrid D. Simeone
D. Simeone
VS
Athletic Club E. Valverde
E. Valverde
1.78
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.17
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Elche Rank: L
Sevilla Rank: L
FC Barcelona Rank: L
Real Madrid Rank: L
Getafe Rank: W
Real Sociedad Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Osasuna Rank: W
Villarreal Rank: L
Getafe Rank: L
Real Betis Rank: W
Girona Rank: L
FC Barcelona Rank: L
28
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
28 - 5 - 13
13
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Atlético Madrid
47.1%
Draw
26.18%
Away Athletic Club
26.72%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
27.76
24.71
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Atlético Madrid
Athletic Club
Power Score
27.76
24.71
League Position
4
9
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Atlético Madrid — Opponent-weighted form score
Athletic Club — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Atlético Madrid Athletic Club

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 46 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Atlético Madrid ATM Home
46 matches
Athletic Club ATH Away
Match Record
28
Wins
13
5
Draws
5
13
Losses
28
Goals
68
Goals Scored
45
45
Goals Conceded
68
+23
Goal Difference
-23
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-25T00:09:40+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
J. Oblak
Slovenia
13 J. Oblak
J. Franco
Spain
32 J. Franco
M. Pubill Pagès
Spain
18 M. Pubill Pagès
C. Lenglet
France
15 C. Lenglet
J. Del Romo
Spain
34 J. Del Romo
J. de Souza Cardoso
Brazil
5 J. de Souza Cardoso
O. Vaargas
United States
21 O. Vaargas
G. Simeone
Argentina
20 G. Simeone
R. Mendoza Martinez Moya
Spain
4 R. Mendoza Martinez Moya
A. Rodríguez
Spain
10 A. Rodríguez
N. González
Argentina
23 N. González
U. Simón Mendibil
Spain
1 U. Simón Mendibil
Y. Berchiche Izeta
Spain
17 Y. Berchiche Izeta
A. Paredes Casamichana
Spain
4 A. Paredes Casamichana
D. Vivian Moreno
Spain
3 D. Vivian Moreno
A. Gorosabel Espinosa
Spain
2 A. Gorosabel Espinosa
A. Rego Mora
Spain
30 A. Rego Mora
I. Ruiz de Galarreta Etxeberria
Spain
16 I. Ruiz de Galarreta Etxeberria
N. Williams Arthuer
Spain
10 N. Williams Arthuer
O. Sancet Tirapu
Spain
8 O. Sancet Tirapu
I. Williams Arthuer
Ghana
9 I. Williams Arthuer
G. Guruzeta Rodríguez
Spain
11 G. Guruzeta Rodríguez

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 25, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain · Round 32 · Regular Season
Stadium
Riyadh Air Metropolitano
Capacity
70460
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Jesús Gil Manzano
Ángel Nevado Rodríguez
Javier Martínez Nicolás
Javier Figueiredo Comesaña

Lineup

Referee : Jesús Gil Manzano

Starting XI ▼

13
Jan Oblak
Jan Oblak Goalkeeper
6.89
15
Clément Lenglet
Clément Lenglet Defender
6.73
18
Marc Pubill
Marc Pubill Defender
7.08
32
Javier Boñar
Javier Boñar Defender
6.63
34
Julio Díaz
Julio Díaz Defender
6.77
4
Rodrigo Mendoza
Rodrigo Mendoza Midfielder
6.57
5
Johnny Cardoso
Johnny Cardoso Midfielder
6.7
21
Obed Vargas
Obed Vargas Midfielder
6.7
10
Álex Baena
Álex Baena Attacker
6.94
20
Giuliano Simeone
Giuliano Simeone Attacker
6.96
23
Nico González
Nico González Attacker
6.89
Referee : Jesús Gil Manzano

Starting XI ▼

1
Unai Simón
Unai Simón Goalkeeper
6.8
2
Andoni Gorosabel
Andoni Gorosabel Defender
6.62
3
Dani Vivian
Dani Vivian Defender
6.71
4
Aitor Paredes
Aitor Paredes Defender
6.79
17
Yuri Berchiche
Yuri Berchiche Defender
6.94
8
Oihan Sancet
Oihan Sancet Midfielder
6.69
16
Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta
Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta Midfielder
6.82
30
Alejandro Rego
Alejandro Rego Midfielder
6.64
9
Iñaki Williams
Iñaki Williams Attacker
6.67
10
Nico Williams
Nico Williams Attacker
6.85
11
Gorka Guruzeta
Gorka Guruzeta Attacker
6.9

CONCLUSION

Atlético Madrid enters as favorites, leveraging superior power ratings and home advantage at Riyadh Air Metropolitano to target a vital win in their top-four pursuit. Athletic Club's nuanced form edge offers hope for disruption, potentially through sharp transitions, but faces a stern test against the hosts' structured defense. Absent detailed efficiency or set-piece edges, expect a tactical battle where Atlético's consistency prevails narrowly. The 3.1-point gulf suggests control for the home side, though visitors' resilience could force a draw. Key to watch: how Athletic navigates Atlético's press in open play.