Athletic Club vs Valencia preview

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
San Mamés Barria Today - 2:15 PM
La Liga
Athletic Club ATH
Valencia VAL
KICKOFF : Today - 2:15 PM
Round 35 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Athletic Club host Valencia in La Liga (Regular Season) at San Mamés Barria. Domestically, Athletic Club sit 8th in the table while Valencia are 14th. Power ranking favours Athletic Club by 1.3 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Athletic Club possesses a 1.3-point power advantage with scores of 78.57 against Valencia's 77.25.
  • Form: Both teams enter with identical form scores of zero.
  • Squad: Athletic Club occupies 8th place while Valencia sits in 14th in La Liga.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: No transition data provided for either team.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats use low-confidence proxy data with no xG available for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG data unavailable as indicated in set pieces metadata.
  • Market: Baseline split: Athletic Club 56% (Δ+0%) | Draw 24.8% (Δ+0%) | Valencia 19.2% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Athletic Club E. Valverde
E. Valverde
VS
Valencia C. Corberán Vallet
C. Corberán Vallet
1.23
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.32
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Deportivo Alavés Rank: 76 W
Atlético Madrid Rank: 88 L
Osasuna Rank: 78 W
Villarreal Rank: 84 L
Getafe Rank: 76 L
Real Betis Rank: 82 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Atlético Madrid Rank: 89 L
Girona Rank: 76 W
Mallorca Rank: 76 D
Elche Rank: 74 L
Celta de Vigo Rank: 80 L
Sevilla Rank: 73 W
16
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
16 - 15 - 16
16
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Athletic Club
55.95%
Draw
24.82%
Away Valencia
19.23%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
78.57
77.25
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Athletic Club
Valencia
Power Score
78.57
77.25
League Position
8
14
Global Rank
74
87

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Athletic Club — Opponent-weighted form score
Valencia — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Athletic Club Valencia

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 47 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Athletic Club ATH Home
47 matches
Valencia VAL Away
Match Record
16
Wins
16
15
Draws
15
16
Losses
16
Goals
56
Goals Scored
55
55
Goals Conceded
56
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-10T00:36:54+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch
U. Simón Mendibil
Spain
1 U. Simón Mendibil
A. Gorosabel Espinosa
Spain
2 A. Gorosabel Espinosa
Y. Álvarez López
Spain
5 Y. Álvarez López
A. Laporte
Spain
14 A. Laporte
Y. Berchiche Izeta
Spain
17 Y. Berchiche Izeta
M. Jauregizar Alboniga
Spain
18 M. Jauregizar Alboniga
A. Rego Mora
Spain
30 A. Rego Mora
I. Williams Arthuer
Ghana
9 I. Williams Arthuer
U. Gómez Etxebarria
Spain
20 U. Gómez Etxebarria
N. Williams Arthuer
Spain
10 N. Williams Arthuer
G. Guruzeta Rodríguez
Spain
11 G. Guruzeta Rodríguez
S. Dimitrievski
Macedonia
1 S. Dimitrievski
J. Gayá Peña
Spain
14 J. Gayá Peña
J. García Vayá
Spain
18 J. García Vayá
C. Tárrega Requeni
Spain
5 C. Tárrega Requeni
R. Saravia
Argentina
20 R. Saravia
F. Ugrinic
Switzerland
23 F. Ugrinic
G. Rodríguez
Argentina
2 G. Rodríguez
J. Guerra Moreno
Spain
8 J. Guerra Moreno
L. Rioja González
Spain
11 L. Rioja González
L. Ramazani
Belgium
17 L. Ramazani
U. Sadiq Mesbah
Nigeria
6 U. Sadiq Mesbah

General Information

Date & Time
May 10, 2026, 02:15 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain · Round 35 · Regular Season
Stadium
San Mamés Barria
Capacity
53289
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
José Antonio Garrido Romero
Guillermo Santiago Sacristán
Miguel Ángel Ortiz Arias

Lineup

Referee : Miguel Ángel Ortiz Arias

Starting XI ▼

1
Unai Simón
Unai Simón Goalkeeper
6.78
2
Andoni Gorosabel
Andoni Gorosabel Defender
6.6
5
Yeray Álvarez
Yeray Álvarez Defender
6.74
14
Aymeric Laporte
Aymeric Laporte Defender
6.88
17
Yuri Berchiche
Yuri Berchiche Defender
6.94
18
Mikel Jauregizar
Mikel Jauregizar Midfielder
6.81
20
Unai Gómez
Unai Gómez Midfielder
6.51
30
Alejandro Rego
Alejandro Rego Midfielder
6.67
9
Iñaki Williams
Iñaki Williams Attacker
6.64
10
Nico Williams
Nico Williams Attacker
6.9
11
Gorka Guruzeta
Gorka Guruzeta Attacker
6.93
Referee : Miguel Ángel Ortiz Arias

Starting XI ▼

1
Stole Dimitrievski
Stole Dimitrievski Goalkeeper
6.85
5
César Tárrega
César Tárrega Defender
6.72
14
José Gayà
José Gayà Defender
6.69
18
Pepelu
Pepelu Defender
6.95
20
Renzo Saravia
Renzo Saravia Defender
6.5
2
Guido Rodríguez
Guido Rodríguez Midfielder
6.96
8
Javi Guerra
Javi Guerra Midfielder
6.69
11
Luis Rioja
Luis Rioja Midfielder
6.82
23
Filip Ugrinic
Filip Ugrinic Midfielder
6.87
6
Umar Sadiq
Umar Sadiq Attacker
6.52
17
Largie Ramazani
Largie Ramazani Attacker
6.83

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Athletic Club holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Athletic Club a 1.3-point edge. External projection is Athletic Club 56%, draw 24.8%, and Valencia 19.2%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.