Arsenal vs Fulham preview

England flag 2025/2026 Premier League, England
Emirates Stadium Today - 4:30 PM
Premier League
Arsenal ARS
Fulham FUL
KICKOFF : Today - 4:30 PM
Round 35 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Arsenal host Fulham in Premier League (Regular Season) at Emirates Stadium. Domestically, Arsenal sit 1th in the table while Fulham are 10th. Power ranking favours Arsenal by 26.5 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Arsenal's 97.32 power score and 1st place league position provide a 26.5-point edge over Fulham's 70.82 and 10th place.
  • Form: Both teams record a form score of 0 with no last outing data available.
  • Squad: Arsenal's squad underpins their top power rating and league lead, outmatching Fulham's mid-table resources.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are currently unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition play analysis limited by absence of detailed performance data.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece stats unavailable with low-confidence proxies and no xG data.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables absent due to data unavailability for the fixture.
  • Market: Baseline split: Arsenal 65.3% (Δ+0%) | Draw 21.7% (Δ+0%) | Fulham 13% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Arsenal M. Arteta
M. Arteta
VS
Fulham M. Saraiva Da Silva
M. Saraiva Da Silva
2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.54
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Newcastle United Rank: W
Manchester City Rank: L
AFC Bournemouth Rank: L
Everton Rank: W
Brighton & Hove Albion Rank: W
Chelsea Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Aston Villa Rank: W
Brentford Rank: D
Liverpool Rank: L
Burnley Rank: W
Nottingham Forest Rank: D
West Ham United Rank: L
25
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
25 - 8 - 4
4
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Arsenal
65.27%
Draw
21.71%
Away Fulham
13.02%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
97.32
70.82
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Arsenal
Fulham
Power Score
97.32
70.82
League Position
1
10
Global Rank
3
27

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Arsenal — Opponent-weighted form score
Fulham — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Arsenal Fulham

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Arsenal ARS Home
0 matches
Fulham FUL Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-01T00:17:34+00:00

STARTING XI

Pitch
D. Raya Martin
Spain
1 D. Raya Martin
B. White
England
4 B. White
W. Saliba
France
2 W. Saliba
G. dos Santos Magalhães
Brazil
6 G. dos Santos Magalhães
P. Hincapié Reyna
Ecuador
5 P. Hincapié Reyna
M. Zubimendi Ibáñez
Spain
36 M. Zubimendi Ibáñez
D. Rice
England
41 D. Rice
C. Madueke
England
20 C. Madueke
M. Ødegaard
Norway
8 M. Ødegaard
E. Eze
England
10 E. Eze
G. de Jesus
Brazil
9 G. de Jesus
B. Leno
Germany
1 B. Leno
A. Robinson
United States
33 A. Robinson
C. Bassey
Nigeria
3 C. Bassey
J. Andersen
Denmark
5 J. Andersen
T. Castagne
Belgium
21 T. Castagne
S. Berge
Norway
16 S. Berge
S. Lukić
Serbia
20 S. Lukić
S. Chukwueze
Nigeria
19 S. Chukwueze
E. Smith Rowe
England
32 E. Smith Rowe
H. Wilson
Wales
8 H. Wilson
R. Jiménez Rodríguez
Mexico
7 R. Jiménez Rodríguez

General Information

Date & Time
May 02, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, England · Round 35 · Regular Season
Stadium
Emirates Stadium
Capacity
60704
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Jarred Gillett
Robert Jones
Simon Long
Steve Meredith

Lineup

Referee : Jarred Gillett

Starting XI ▼

1
David Raya
David Raya Goalkeeper
6.78
2
William Saliba
William Saliba Defender
6.9
4
Ben White
Ben White Defender
6.89
5
Piero Hincapié
Piero Hincapié Defender
6.89
6
Gabriel Magalhães
Gabriel Magalhães Defender
7.21
8
Martin Ødegaard
Martin Ødegaard Midfielder
6.98
36
Martín Zubimendi
Martín Zubimendi Midfielder
7.02
41
Declan Rice
Declan Rice Midfielder
7.34
9
Gabriel Jesus
Gabriel Jesus Attacker
6.59
10
Eberechi Eze
Eberechi Eze Attacker
7.43
20
Noni Madueke
Noni Madueke Attacker
6.78
Referee : Jarred Gillett

Starting XI ▼

1
Bernd Leno
Bernd Leno Goalkeeper
6.78
3
Calvin Bassey
Calvin Bassey Defender
6.73
5
Joachim Andersen
Joachim Andersen Defender
6.92
21
Timothy Castagne
Timothy Castagne Defender
6.81
33
Antonee Robinson
Antonee Robinson Defender
6.8
16
Sander Berge
Sander Berge Midfielder
6.82
20
Saša Lukić
Saša Lukić Midfielder
6.88
32
Emile Smith Rowe
Emile Smith Rowe Midfielder
6.74
7
Raúl Jiménez
Raúl Jiménez Attacker
6.93
8
Harry Wilson
Harry Wilson Attacker
7.16
19
Samuel Chukwueze
Samuel Chukwueze Attacker
6.91

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Arsenal holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Arsenal a 26.5-point edge. External projection is Arsenal 65.3%, draw 21.7%, and Fulham 13%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.