Anderlecht vs Gent preview

Belgium flag 2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
Lotto Park Sun, 12 Apr - 4:30 PM
Pro League
Anderlecht ADL
Gent GNT
KICKOFF : Sun, 12 Apr - 4:30 PM
Round 2 Championship Round

CONTEXT

Anderlecht host Gent in Pro League (Championship Round) at Lotto Park. Domestically, Anderlecht sit 6th in the table while Gent are 4th. Power ranking favours Anderlecht by 0.1 points heading into this fixture. Anderlecht's recent form reads W2 D1 L3 from 6 matches; Gent's form is W3 D1 L2 from 6 matches. In their last outing, Anderlecht Loss away against Club Brugge. Gent last played at home versus Mechelen, finishing with a Draw.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Anderlecht hold a +0.1 pts power-ranking advantage heading into this fixture.
  • Form: Gent sit below baseline on opponent-adjusted form.
  • Squad: No major squad or availability edge; impact is neutral.
  • Efficiency: Anderlecht show stronger possession-adjusted chance creation in the data.
  • Transition: Anderlecht have a moderate edge in transition threat.
  • Set pieces: Anderlecht carry higher set-play value and dead-ball upside.
  • xVariable: Anderlecht hold a marginal advantage on underlying metrics.
  • Market: Anderlecht 49.1% | Draw 25.4% | Gent 25.6%.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Anderlecht J. Taravel
J. Taravel
VS
Gent R. Demil
R. Demil
1.24
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.38
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Club Brugge Rank: 84 L
Cercle Brugge Rank: 66 L
Mechelen Rank: 70 L
Club Brugge Rank: 84 D
OH Leuven Rank: 66 W
Zulte-Waregem Rank: 64 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Mechelen Rank: 71 D
Dender Rank: 61 W
Zulte-Waregem Rank: 64 W
Mechelen Rank: 70 W
Genk Rank: 77 L
Cercle Brugge Rank: 67 L
28
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
28 - 19 - 13
13
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Anderlecht
49.06%
Draw
25.39%
Away Gent
25.55%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
72.16
72.04
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Anderlecht
Gent
Power Score
72.16
72.04
League Position
6
4
Global Rank
144
150

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Anderlecht — Opponent-weighted form score
Gent — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Anderlecht Gent

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 60 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Anderlecht ADL Home
60 matches
Gent GNT Away
Match Record
28
Wins
13
19
Draws
19
13
Losses
28
Goals
97
Goals Scored
58
58
Goals Conceded
97
+39
Goal Difference
-39
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-08T02:01:48+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-4-1-2
Pitch
C. Coosemans
26 C. Coosemans
K. Sardella
54 K. Sardella
L. Hey
3 L. Hey
M. Diarra
93 M. Diarra
L. Augustinsson
6 L. Augustinsson
N. De Cat
74 N. De Cat
E. Llansana
24 E. Llansana
T. Degreef
83 T. Degreef
T. Hazard
11 T. Hazard
M. Cvetković
9 M. Cvetković
A. Bertaccini
91 A. Bertaccini
D. Roef
33 D. Roef
S. Van der Heyden
44 S. Van der Heyden
M. Volckaert
57 M. Volckaert
D. Hashioka
4 D. Hashioka
T. Alves Araújo
20 T. Alves Araújo
A. Kadri
37 A. Kadri
L. da Silva Lopes
22 L. da Silva Lopes
M. Skóraś
8 M. Skóraś
H. Hong
24 H. Hong
A. Kanga
7 A. Kanga
M. Dean
21 M. Dean

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 12, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium · Round 2 · Championship Round
Stadium
Lotto Park
Capacity
21500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

26
Colin Coosemans
Colin Coosemans Goalkeeper
91
Adriano Bertaccini
Adriano Bertaccini Centre Forward
3
Lucas Hey
Lucas Hey Right Back
6
Ludwig Augustinsson
Ludwig Augustinsson Left Back
9
Mihajlo Cvetkovic
Mihajlo Cvetkovic Left Wing
24
Enric Llansana
Enric Llansana Defensive Midfield
74
Nathan De Cat
Nathan De Cat Defensive Midfield
93
Moussa Diarra
Moussa Diarra Left Back
11
Thorgan Hazard
Thorgan Hazard Attacking Midfield
54
Killian Sardella
Killian Sardella Right Back
83
Tristan Degreef
Tristan Degreef Right Wing

Starting XI ▼

33
Davy Roef
Davy Roef Goalkeeper
8
Michal Skoras
Michal Skoras Midfielder
20
Tiago Araújo
Tiago Araújo Midfielder
7
Wilfried Kanga
Wilfried Kanga Attacker
21
Max Dean
Max Dean Attacker
4
Daiki Hashioka
Daiki Hashioka Right Back
22
Leonardo Lopes
Leonardo Lopes Central Midfield
24
Hyun-seok Hong
Hyun-seok Hong Attacking Midfield
37
Abdelkahar Kadri
Abdelkahar Kadri Central Midfield
44
Siebe Van der Heyden
Siebe Van der Heyden Left Back
57
Matties Volckaert
Matties Volckaert Centre Back

CONCLUSION

Anderlecht enters this Pro League contest with a fractional structural edge, holding a 0.1-point power advantage over Gent in the pre-match profile. This narrow baseline superiority is supported by the expected probabilities, which establish Anderlecht as the leader with a 49.1 percent chance of securing a victory compared to Gent at 25.6 percent. Because both the underlying metrics and the external forecasts point toward the home team, the market and structural signals align. While Gent possesses slightly better recent form, Anderlecht remains the mathematical frontrunner at Lotto Park. The final result will depend on whether Anderlecht can maintain their defensive shape and successfully neutralize Gent during rapid offensive transitions.