Country 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Carlos Belmonte Sat, 28 Mar - 8:00 PM
La Liga 2
Albacete ALB
VS
Castellón Castellón
KICKOFF : Sat, 28 Mar - 8:00 PM
Round 32 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Albacete host Castellón in La Liga 2 (Regular Season) at Estadio Carlos Belmonte. Domestically, Albacete sit 11th in the table while Castellón are 6th. Power ranking favours Albacete by 1.4 points heading into this fixture. Albacete's recent form reads W3 D1 L2 from 6 matches; Castellón's form is W2 D1 L3 from 6 matches. In their last outing, Albacete Draw at home against Sporting Gijón. Castellón last played away versus Sporting Gijón, finishing with a Loss.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Albacete hold a +1.4 pts power-ranking advantage heading into this fixture.
  • Form: Albacete are in line with baseline; recent form is evenly matched.
  • Squad: No major squad or availability edge; impact is neutral.
  • Efficiency: Albacete show stronger possession-adjusted chance creation in the data.
  • Transition: Albacete have a moderate edge in transition threat.
  • Set pieces: Albacete carry higher set-play value and dead-ball upside.
  • xVariable: Albacete hold a marginal advantage on underlying metrics.
  • Market: Albacete 35.1% | Draw 26.5% | Castellón 38.4%.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Albacete A. González Fernández
A. González Fernández
VS
Castellón P. Hernández Domínguez
P. Hernández Domínguez
1.45
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.83
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sporting Gijón Rank: 65 D
Deportivo La Coruña Rank: 68 L
Real Zaragoza Rank: 59 W
Real Valladolid Rank: 61 W
Cádiz Rank: 61 W
Real Sociedad II Rank: 63 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sporting Gijón Rank: 64 L
Real Sociedad II Rank: 60 L
Racing Santander Rank: 71 L
Las Palmas Rank: 70 D
Deportivo La Coruña Rank: 68 W
Real Valladolid Rank: 61 W
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 6 - 4
4
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Albacete
35.1%
Draw
26.5%
Away Castellón
38.4%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
67.1
65.66
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Albacete
Castellón
Power Score
67.1
65.66
League Position
11
6
Global Rank
275
310

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Albacete — Opponent-weighted form score
Castellón — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Albacete Castellón

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 16 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Albacete ALB Home
16 matches
Castellón Castellón Away
Match Record
6
Wins
4
6
Draws
6
4
Losses
6
Goals
17
Goals Scored
13
13
Goals Conceded
17
+4
Goal Difference
-4
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-26T00:04:51+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
R. Lizoáin Cruz
13 R. Lizoáin Cruz
F. Gámez López
15 F. Gámez López
J. Sánchez Martínez
23 J. Sánchez Martínez
L. López Mármol
22 L. López Mármol
C. Neva Tey
21 C. Neva Tey
D. Bernabéu Garcia
27 D. Bernabéu Garcia
A. Meléndez Ruiz
17 A. Meléndez Ruiz
M. Fernández Figueira
8 M. Fernández Figueira
V. San Bartolomé Prieto
14 V. San Bartolomé Prieto
J. Rodríguez Díaz
7 J. Rodríguez Díaz
J. Betancor Sánchez
10 J. Betancor Sánchez
R. Matthys
13 R. Matthys
L. Alcázar Moreno
12 L. Alcázar Moreno
A. Jiménez Benítez
5 A. Jiménez Benítez
S. Ruiz Rodríguez
17 S. Ruiz Rodríguez
P. Santiago López
18 P. Santiago López
M. Doue
6 M. Doue
D. Hernández Barriuso
8 D. Hernández Barriuso
B. Gerenabarrena Zendoia
15 B. Gerenabarrena Zendoia
A. Mabil
7 A. Mabil
O. Camara
9 O. Camara
A. Jakobsen
19 A. Jakobsen

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 28, 2026, 08:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 32 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio Carlos Belmonte
Capacity
17524
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

13
Raúl Lizoain
Raúl Lizoain Goalkeeper
7
Antonio Puertas
Antonio Puertas Attacker
10
Jefté Betancor
Jefté Betancor Attacker
8
Martín Fernández
Martín Fernández Central Midfield
14
Victor San Bartolome Prieto
Victor San Bartolome Prieto Central Midfield
15
Fran Gámez
Fran Gámez Right Back
17
Ale Meléndez
Ale Meléndez Central Midfield
21
Carlos Neva
Carlos Neva Left Back
22
Lluís López
Lluís López Centre Back
23
Pepe Sánchez
Pepe Sánchez Right Back
27
Daniel Bernabéu Garcia
Daniel Bernabéu Garcia Left Back

Starting XI ▼

13
Romain Matthys
Romain Matthys Goalkeeper
18
Pablo Santiago
Pablo Santiago Midfielder
7
Awer Mabil
Awer Mabil Midfielder
9
Ousmane Camara
Ousmane Camara Attacker
19
Adam Jakobsen
Adam Jakobsen Attacker
5
Alberto Jiménez
Alberto Jiménez Centre Back
6
Marc-Olivier Doué
Marc-Olivier Doué Central Midfield
8
Diego Barri
Diego Barri Central Midfield
12
Lucas Alcázar
Lucas Alcázar Left Back
15
Beñat Gerenabarrena
Beñat Gerenabarrena Central Midfield
17
Salva Ruiz
Salva Ruiz Right Back

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Albacete holding the stronger pre-match profile. The power-ranking gap of 1.4 points supports that view. Market sentiment broadly aligns with the underlying data —Albacete at 35.3%, draw at 26.1%, Castellón at 38.6%— leaving the balance of play dependent on execution, set pieces, and transitions rather than variance alone. Both sides will need to convert their chances to decide the outcome.