Akhmat Grozny vs FK Nizjni Novgorod preview

Russia flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Russia
Akhmat Arena Today - 4:30 PM
Premier League
Akhmat Grozny AKH
FK Nizjni Novgorod FK Nizjni Novgorod
KICKOFF : Today - 4:30 PM
Round 28 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Akhmat Grozny welcomes FK Nizjni Novgorod to Akhmat Arena for a Premier League regular season encounter in the 2025/2026 term. Positioned 9th in the standings, the hosts possess a clear edge with a power score of 58.95, outpacing the 15th-placed visitors' 51.53 by 7.4 points. This structural superiority aligns with Akhmat's stronger form rating of 10.67 against Nizjni's modest 5.72, suggesting momentum favors the home side. As mid-table battlers, Akhmat seeks to build on their standing, while Nizjni fights to escape the lower reaches. Detailed metrics on efficiency and set pieces remain elusive, with low-confidence proxies in use and no xG data available, leaving focus on overall play. The venue's atmosphere could prove decisive in this uneven matchup.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Akhmat Grozny commands a 7.4-point power advantage with a score of 58.95 over FK Nizjni Novgorod's 51.53.
  • Form: Akhmat Grozny's form score of 10.67 significantly exceeds FK Nizjni Novgorod's 5.72.
  • Squad: League standings place Akhmat Grozny 9th and FK Nizjni Novgorod 15th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition metrics are not provided for either team.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats use low-confidence proxies as xG data is unavailable.
  • xVariable: xG variables remain inaccessible without the add-on enabled.
  • Market: Baseline split: Akhmat Grozny 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | FK Nizjni Novgorod 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Akhmat Grozny S. Cherchesov
S. Cherchesov
VS
FK Nizjni Novgorod A. Shpilevskiy
A. Shpilevskiy
1.23
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.15
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Zenit Rank: 79 L
Baltika Kaliningrad Rank: 66 D
Spartak Moskva Rank: 72 L
Krylya Sovetov Rank: 55 D
Krasnodar Rank: 77 L
Rostov Rank: 59 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Spartak Moskva Rank: 72 L
Orenburg Rank: 52 L
Dinamo Moskva Rank: 70 D
Baltika Kaliningrad Rank: 66 D
Rostov Rank: 59 L
Krasnodar Rank: 77 L
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 0 - 5
5
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Akhmat Grozny
0%
Draw
0%
Away FK Nizjni Novgorod
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
58.95
51.53
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Akhmat Grozny
FK Nizjni Novgorod
Power Score
58.95
51.53
League Position
9
15
Global Rank
512
737

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Akhmat Grozny Opponent-weighted form score
FK Nizjni Novgorod Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Akhmat Grozny FK Nizjni Novgorod

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 9 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Akhmat Grozny AKH Home
9 matches
FK Nizjni Novgorod FK Nizjni Novgorod Away
Match Record
4
Wins
5
0
Draws
0
5
Losses
4
Goals
14
Goals Scored
14
14
Goals Conceded
14
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-02T01:07:57+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
V. Uljanov
1 V. Uljanov
M. Sidorov
81 M. Sidorov
D. Abdulkadyrov
2 D. Abdulkadyrov
K. Cake
5 K. Cake
M. Bogosavac
8 M. Bogosavac
E. dos Santos Cacintura
17 E. dos Santos Cacintura
I. Silva Lima
11 I. Silva Lima
M. Samorodov
20 M. Samorodov
S. Pryakhin
19 S. Pryakhin
L. Sadulaev
7 L. Sadulaev
G. Melkadze
77 G. Melkadze
N. Medvedev
30 N. Medvedev
Y. Koledin
3 Y. Koledin
I. Kirsh
4 I. Kirsh
V. Aleksandrov
2 V. Aleksandrov
M. Shnaptsev
70 M. Shnaptsev
S. Karič
25 S. Karič
N. Kalinsky
78 N. Kalinsky
L. Vešner Tičić
29 L. Vešner Tičić
R. Cephas
21 R. Cephas
E. Smelov
17 E. Smelov
A. Balboa Camacho
10 A. Balboa Camacho

General Information

Date & Time
May 03, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, Russia · Round 28 · Regular Season
Stadium
Akhmat Arena
Capacity
30597
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI

1
Vadim Ulyanov
Vadim Ulyanov Goalkeeper
6.81
77
Georgiy Melkadze
Georgiy Melkadze Centre Forward
6.84
81
Maksim Sidorov
Maksim Sidorov Right Back
6.68
2
Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov
Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov Right Back
6.44
5
Klisman Cake
Klisman Cake Left Back
6.69
7
Lechi Sadulaev
Lechi Sadulaev Left Wing
6.81
8
Miroslav Bogosavac
Miroslav Bogosavac Left Back
6.7
11
Ismael Silva
Ismael Silva Defensive Midfield
6.92
17
Egas Cacintura
Egas Cacintura Defensive Midfield
6.92
19
S. Pryakhin
S. Pryakhin Attacking Midfield
6.7
20
Maksim Samorodov
Maksim Samorodov Right Wing
6.99

Starting XI

30
Nikita Medvedev
Nikita Medvedev Goalkeeper
6.77
17
E. Smelov
E. Smelov Centre Forward
6.41
21
R. Cephas
R. Cephas Attacker
6.61
10
Adrián Balboa
Adrián Balboa Attacker
6.73
3
Yuriy Koledin
Yuriy Koledin Left Back
6.64
4
Ilya Kirsch
Ilya Kirsch Left Back
6.72
25
Sven Karič
Sven Karič Central Midfield
6.95
29
Luka Tičić
Luka Tičić Central Midfield
6.76
78
Nikolay Kalinskiy
Nikolay Kalinskiy Central Midfield
6.64
2
Viktor Aleksandrov
Viktor Aleksandrov Right Back
6.55
70
Maksim Shnaptsev
Maksim Shnaptsev Right Back
6.62

CONCLUSION

Akhmat Grozny approaches this home fixture with tangible advantages in power, form, and league position, positioning them as the stronger outfit against struggling FK Nizjni Novgorod. While granular insights into efficiency, transitions, and set pieces are absent, the hosts' overall metrics point to control. Nizjni must mount a resilient defense and exploit counters to challenge. Supporters at Akhmat Arena anticipate a performance that extends their mid-table security, potentially widening the gap on the visitors. This clash highlights contrasting trajectories in the Premier League grind.