AFC Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace preview

England flag 2025/2026 Premier League, England
Vitality Stadium Today - 1:00 PM
Premier League
AFC Bournemouth BOU
Crystal Palace CRY
KICKOFF : Today - 1:00 PM
Round 35 Regular Season

CONTEXT

AFC Bournemouth host Crystal Palace in Premier League (Regular Season) at Vitality Stadium. Domestically, AFC Bournemouth sit 7th in the table while Crystal Palace are 13th. Power ranking favours AFC Bournemouth by 2 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: AFC Bournemouth holds a 2-point power score advantage over Crystal Palace at 72.69 to 70.71.
  • Form: Bournemouth's form score of 28.11 exceeds Crystal Palace's 16.67.
  • Squad: AFC Bournemouth ranks 7th in the league while Crystal Palace sits 13th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition metrics are not provided in current statistics.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data unavailable with low confidence and proxy metrics used for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG data absent as add-on not enabled for attack and defense.
  • Market: AFC Bournemouth 57.8% (Δ+0%) | Draw 23.5% (Δ+0%) | Crystal Palace 18.7% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
AFC Bournemouth A. Iraola
A. Iraola
VS
Crystal Palace O. Glasner
O. Glasner
1.29
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.17
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Leeds United Rank: 87 D
Newcastle United Rank: 88 W
Arsenal Rank: 99 W
Manchester United Rank: 91 D
Burnley Rank: 77 D
Brentford Rank: 88 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Liverpool Rank: 91 L
West Ham United Rank: 83 D
Newcastle United Rank: 89 W
Leeds United Rank: 87 D
Tottenham Hotspur Rank: 83 W
Manchester United Rank: 91 L
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 8 - 6
6
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home AFC Bournemouth
57.8%
Draw
23.48%
Away Crystal Palace
18.72%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
72.69
70.71
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
AFC Bournemouth
Crystal Palace
Power Score
72.69
70.71
League Position
7
13
Global Rank
14
28

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
AFC Bournemouth — Opponent-weighted form score
Crystal Palace — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) AFC Bournemouth Crystal Palace

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 18 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

AFC Bournemouth BOU Home
18 matches
Crystal Palace CRY Away
Match Record
4
Wins
6
8
Draws
8
6
Losses
4
Goals
18
Goals Scored
24
24
Goals Conceded
18
-6
Goal Difference
+6
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-02T01:05:12+00:00

STARTING XI

Pitch
Đ. Petrović
Serbia
1 Đ. Petrović
A. Jiménez Sánchez
Spain
20 A. Jiménez Sánchez
J. Hill
England
23 J. Hill
M. Senesi
Argentina
5 M. Senesi
A. Truffert
France
3 A. Truffert
A. Scott
England
8 A. Scott
R. Christie
Scotland
10 R. Christie
D. Brooks
Wales
7 D. Brooks
E. Kroupi
France
22 E. Kroupi
M. Tavernier
England
16 M. Tavernier
F. de Lima Barbosa
Brazil
9 F. de Lima Barbosa
D. Henderson
England
1 D. Henderson
J. Canvot
France
23 J. Canvot
M. Lacroix
France
5 M. Lacroix
C. Richards
United States
26 C. Richards
T. Mitchell
England
3 T. Mitchell
D. Kamada
Japan
18 D. Kamada
A. Wharton
England
20 A. Wharton
D. Muñoz Mejía
Colombia
2 D. Muñoz Mejía
B. Johnson
Wales
11 B. Johnson
I. Sarr
Senegal
7 I. Sarr
J. Mateta
France
14 J. Mateta

General Information

Date & Time
May 03, 2026, 01:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, England · Round 35 · Regular Season
Stadium
Vitality Stadium
Capacity
11700
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Neil Davies
Marc Perry
John Busby
Robert Jones

Lineup

Referee : Robert Jones

Starting XI ▼

1
Djordje Petrovic
Djordje Petrovic Goalkeeper
6.78
3
Adrien Truffert
Adrien Truffert Defender
6.82
5
Marcos Senesi
Marcos Senesi Defender
7.04
20
Álex Jiménez
Álex Jiménez Defender
6.72
23
James Hill
James Hill Defender
6.93
8
Alex Scott
Alex Scott Midfielder
7
10
Ryan Christie
Ryan Christie Midfielder
6.69
22
Eli Kroupi
Eli Kroupi Midfielder
6.86
7
David Brooks
David Brooks Attacker
6.71
9
Evanilson
Evanilson Attacker
6.8
16
Marcus Tavernier
Marcus Tavernier Attacker
6.92
Referee : Robert Jones

Starting XI ▼

1
Dean Henderson
Dean Henderson Goalkeeper
6.84
2
Daniel Muñoz
Daniel Muñoz Defender
7.02
3
Tyrick Mitchell
Tyrick Mitchell Defender
6.83
5
Maxence Lacroix
Maxence Lacroix Defender
6.98
23
Jaydee Canvot
Jaydee Canvot Defender
6.88
26
Chris Richards
Chris Richards Defender
6.85
7
Ismaïla Sarr
Ismaïla Sarr Midfielder
6.9
11
Brennan Johnson
Brennan Johnson Midfielder
6.64
18
Daichi Kamada
Daichi Kamada Midfielder
6.84
20
Adam Wharton
Adam Wharton Midfielder
6.97
14
Jean-Philippe Mateta
Jean-Philippe Mateta Attacker
6.77

CONCLUSION

Bournemouth enters as the stronger outfit, leveraging home advantage at Vitality Stadium alongside superior power and form metrics to challenge Palace effectively. Their 7th-place standing contrasts Palace's 13th, amplifying the Cherries' structural tilt. Without advanced set piece or efficiency insights, Bournemouth's momentum positions them to control proceedings and convert opportunities. Palace's lower scores suggest vulnerability, particularly away, making containment of Bournemouth's play crucial. This preview highlights Bournemouth's pathway to victory through disciplined execution, potentially securing vital points in the Premier League race.