Kilmarnock VS St. Mirren

2026/2027 Premiership, Scotland

Rugby Park

Premiership

Kilmarnock KIL

St. Mirren STM

KICKOFF :

Round 5 1st Phase

CONTEXT

In the Scottish Premiership first phase, Kilmarnock host St. Mirren at Rugby Park in a league fixture that pits twelfth place against third. The home side holds a marginal power advantage of 0.5 points with ratings of 62.36 to 61.85, marking them as the slightly stronger team on paper. League positions highlight a clear gap in current standing, yet the underlying strength metrics remain close. St. Mirren arrive with markedly superior form, while Kilmarnock seek to leverage home conditions to close that divide. Both teams operate in a phase where consistency will shape longer-term trajectories. The narrow power differential suggests a contest decided by execution rather than raw superiority, with Rugby Park providing a familiar setting for the hosts to build momentum.

TL;DR

Structural: Kilmarnock hold a narrow power advantage of 0.5 points over St. Mirren.
Form: St. Mirren post a far stronger form score of 23.67 compared to Kilmarnock's 1.22.
Squad: Squad composition details remain unavailable for detailed comparison.
Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are not supplied in the current dataset.
Transition: Transition phase data is absent from available inputs.
Set pieces: Set piece analysis shows low confidence with proxy data and null xG values.
xVariable: The minimal power gap points to a closely balanced encounter.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Jan 25 vs Team A

Feb 1 vs Team B

Feb 8 vs Team C

N. McCann

C. McLeish

1.67

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.29

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

4 - 2 - 1

No sidelined player data available.

Team Power Ranking

62.36

61.85

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Kilmarnock

St. Mirren

Power Score

62.36

61.85

League Position

Global Rank

475

493

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Kilmarnock — Opponent-weighted form score

St. Mirren — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Kilmarnock St. Mirren

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 7 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Kilmarnock KIL Home

7 matches

St. Mirren STM Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Goal Difference

-4

Expected Goals

xGA

Data last updated: 2026-08-27T01:13:16+00:00

General Information

Date & Time

Competition

2026/2027 Premiership, Scotland · Round 5 · 1st Phase

Stadium

Rugby Park

Capacity

18128

Pitch Surface

Artificial turf

Weather

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Manager ▼

N. McCann Coach

Squad ▼

Maksymilian Stryjek Goalkeeper

Calum Ferrie Goalkeeper

Jonathan Meier Defender

Robbie Deas Defender

Jamie Brandon Defender

George Stanger Defender

Michael Schjonning-Larsen Defender

Johnly Yfeko Defender

Cathal McCarthy Defender

Aaron Tshibola Midfielder

Tom Lowery Midfielder

Mark O'Hara Midfielder

Jack Thomson Midfielder

Bailey Rice Midfielder

Rory McKenzie Attacker

Greg Kiltie Attacker

Tyreece John-Jules Attacker

Djenario Daniels Attacker

Nicky Serghei Clescenco Attacker

Roshaun Mathurin Attacker

Joe Hugill Attacker

Erik Ring Attacker

Manager ▼

C. McLeish Coach

Squad ▼

Peter Urminský Goalkeeper

Ryan Mullen Goalkeeper

Jacob Chapman Goalkeeper

Declan John Defender

Alexandros Gogić Defender

Marcus Fraser Defender

Jayden Richardson Defender

—

Calvin Ramsey Defender

—

Henry Fieldson Defender

Richard King Defender

Liam Donnelly Midfielder

Allan Campbell Midfielder

Keanu Baccus Midfielder

Christopher Robert Mochrie Midfielder

Samuel Ramos Linares Midfielder

Killian Phillips Midfielder

Fraser Taylor Midfielder

Ryan Carr Midfielder

—

Paul Nsio Midfielder

Carrick McEvoy Midfielder

—

Luke Thomas Attacker

Jonah Ananias Paul Ayunga Attacker

Jake Young Attacker

Malik Dijksteel Attacker

Jalmaro Calvin Attacker

Ismeal Kabia Attacker

Eseosa Sule Attacker

CONCLUSION

This Premiership clash presents two sides with comparable overall strength yet contrasting current trajectories. Kilmarnock must harness home support at Rugby Park to offset St. Mirren's superior form and higher league standing. The slim power margin indicates that tactical discipline and key individual contributions will likely determine the outcome more than any structural edge. Limited efficiency and set piece insights shift emphasis toward open play execution. Both teams face the task of converting narrow margins into tangible results during this first phase. Analytical balance favors a measured approach where small improvements in consistency could separate the sides over ninety minutes.

STANDINGS

CONTEXT