Millwall vs Wrexham preview

England flag 2026/2027 Championship, England
The Den
Championship
KICKOFF :
Round 4 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Millwall welcome Wrexham to The Den for this Championship regular season encounter in the 2026/2027 campaign. The hosts occupy first place in the domestic standings and carry a narrow power advantage of 3.7 points according to the underlying metrics. Wrexham sit fourteenth and arrive with markedly stronger recent form. Both sides operate without recent outing data to refine expectations further. The venue has historically rewarded structured defensive organisation and quick transitions from the home team. Millwall will look to exploit their positional superiority while Wrexham aim to disrupt rhythm through higher pressing intensity. Limited underlying data restricts deeper insight into efficiency and set-piece profiles ahead of kick-off.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Millwall occupy first place domestically while Wrexham sit fourteenth.
  • Form: Wrexham hold a superior form score of 14.78 against Millwall's 3.67.
  • Squad: Millwall possess a power advantage of 3.7 points over Wrexham.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics remain unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition metrics are not provided in available data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data carries low confidence and relies on proxy values.
  • xVariable: Millwall post a power score of 79.27 compared to Wrexham's 75.59.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
1.81
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.21
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Southampton Rank: 80 D
Norwich City Rank: 76 W
Bristol City Rank: 73 W
Hull City Rank: 79 L
Hull City Rank: 79 D
Oxford United Rank: 73 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Birmingham City Rank: 75 D
Watford Rank: 69 D
Cardiff City Rank: 75 D
Middlesbrough Rank: 77 D
Coventry City Rank: 83 L
Oxford United Rank: 73 W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
79.27
75.59
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Millwall
Wrexham
Power Score
79.27
75.59
League Position
1
14
Global Rank
83
125

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Millwall Opponent-weighted form score
Wrexham Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Millwall Wrexham

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Millwall MLW Home
2 matches
Wrexham WXH Away
Match Record
1
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
1
Goals
2
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
2
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-27T01:14:30+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Championship, England · Round 4 · Regular Season
Stadium
The Den
Capacity
20146
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Bhupinder Gill
Harley McKittrick
James Bell

Squad

Referee : Oliver Langford

Squad

43
Joel Coleman
Joel Coleman Goalkeeper
1
Lukas Jensen
Lukas Jensen Goalkeeper
23
Danny Batth
Danny Batth Defender
18
Ryan Leonard
Ryan Leonard Defender
5
Jake Cooper
Jake Cooper Defender
Jordi Osei-Tutu
Jordi Osei-Tutu Defender
6
Caleb Taylor
Caleb Taylor Defender
3
Zak Norton Sturge
12
Elkan Baggott
Elkan Baggott Defender
21
Massimo Corey Luongo
Massimo Corey Luongo Midfielder
24
Casper De Norre
Casper De Norre Midfielder
17
Mark Sykes
Mark Sykes Midfielder
25
Luke Cundle
Luke Cundle Midfielder
11
Femi Azeez
Femi Azeez Midfielder
8
M. Servais
M. Servais Midfielder
14
Jenson Metcalfe
Jenson Metcalfe Midfielder
16
Daniel Kelly
Daniel Kelly Midfielder
13
Lyndon Dykes
Lyndon Dykes Attacker
19
Josh Coburn
Josh Coburn Attacker
10
Camiel Neghli
Camiel Neghli Attacker
7
Taïryk Arconte
Taïryk Arconte Attacker
22
Kyrell Lisbie
Kyrell Lisbie Attacker
29
Zakariya Lovelace
Referee : Oliver Langford

Squad

21
Danny Ward
Danny Ward Goalkeeper
Anthony Patterson
Anthony Patterson Goalkeeper
6
Conor Coady
Conor Coady Defender
26
Zak Vyner
Zak Vyner Defender
5
Dominic Hyam
Dominic Hyam Defender
24
Dan Scarr
Dan Scarr Defender
23
Seb Revan
Seb Revan Defender
4
Max Cleworth
Max Cleworth Defender
30
Daniel Imray
Daniel Imray Defender
2
Callum Doyle
Callum Doyle Defender
37
Matty James
Matty James Midfielder
38
Elliott Lee
Elliott Lee Midfielder
15
George Dobson
George Dobson Midfielder
8
Benjamin Whiteman
Benjamin Whiteman Midfielder
20
Oliver Rathbone
Oliver Rathbone Midfielder
47
Ryan Longman
Ryan Longman Midfielder
27
Lewis O'Brien
Lewis O'Brien Midfielder
14
George Thomason
George Thomason Midfielder
Harry Ashfield
Harry Ashfield Midfielder
40
Alexander James Moore
Alexander James Moore Midfielder
Joe Rees
Joe Rees Midfielder
19
Kieffer Moore
Kieffer Moore Attacker
28
Samuel Toby Smith
7
Davis Keillor-Dunn
33
Nathan Broadhead
Nathan Broadhead Attacker
11
Bailey Cadamarteri

CONCLUSION

Millwall enter as the stronger side on paper and will expect to control proceedings at The Den through their league position and slight power edge. Wrexham's superior form score suggests they can pose problems on the counter and in high pressing phases. With efficiency and set piece information limited, emphasis falls on structural discipline and individual quality. The hosts should benefit from home support and familiarity with the venue's demands. Wrexham must remain compact and exploit any lapses in Millwall's organisation. Overall the match promises a competitive battle where small margins in transition and defensive structure will decide the outcome.