Penybont vs FC Santa Coloma preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Cardiff City Stadium
Europa Conference League
PenybontPyB
0 1
FC Santa ColomaFSC
Full Time
1st Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2
|
Goal

CONTEXT

In the first leg of their two-legged tie Penybont hosted FC Santa Coloma and lost 0-1. The visitors scored in the opening half to lead 0-1 at the interval and preserved the advantage through the second period. Penybont recorded 53 percent possession while FC Santa Coloma held 47 percent. No red cards were issued to either side. Although identified as the stronger team Penybont failed to find an equalizer. The final margin represented a 3.9 percent deviation from pre-match indicators and was rated minimal. The result proved consistent with available market signals and efficiency remained in line with expectations.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: The result showed a minimal 3.9 percent deviation from pre-match indicators.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with expectations for both teams.
  • xG alignment: No expected goals data were recorded so alignment could not be assessed.
  • Market alignment: The 0-1 outcome was aligned with market indicators.
  • xG expectations: Expected goals metrics were unavailable for this fixture.
  • Event impact: The away goal scored before halftime decided the 0-1 result.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred so disciplinary events created no distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
M. Beltrano
M. Beltrano
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
G. Ercolani
G. Ercolani
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
E. Cristiano
E. Cristiano
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Righi
A. Righi
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penybont R. Griffiths
R. Griffiths
VS
FC Santa Coloma D. Luque Tenedor
D. Luque Tenedor
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Penybont
0.64%
Draw
3.31%
Away FC Santa Coloma
96.05%

Movement

Changes since opening
Penybont
0%
Draw
-1.75%
FC Santa Coloma
+1.75%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
50
50
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Penybont
FC Santa Coloma
Power Score
50
50
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Penybont — Opponent-weighted form score
FC Santa Coloma — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Penybont FC Santa Coloma

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Penybont

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

FC Santa Coloma

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Penybont ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy FC Santa Coloma
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
15.85
27.77
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
27.77
15.85
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Penybont -0.93 Efficiency Index
vs
FC Santa Coloma +0.93 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Penybont
FC Santa Coloma
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Penybont ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy FC Santa Coloma
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Penybont FC Santa Coloma
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Penybont FC Santa Coloma
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Penybont
FC Santa Coloma
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Penybont
vs
FC Santa Coloma
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Penybont FC Santa Coloma
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Penybont 0.07
FC Santa Coloma 0.27
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Penybont FC Santa Coloma
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Penybont 0.02
FC Santa Coloma 0.00
Penybont
FC Santa Coloma
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • PyB had peak pressure around 54'.
  • PyB started the game with stronger pressure.
PyB Pressure FSC Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: PyB reached the top pressure at 54' (53.83).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Penybont PyB Home
2 matches
FC Santa Coloma FSC Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
1
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-13T09:56:31+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 1st Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Cardiff City Stadium
Capacity
33280
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Michele Beltrano
Gianmarco Ercolani
Ernesto Cristiano
Andrea Righi

Statistics

Possession
PyB
51%
FSC
49%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 1
5 Shots 7
68 Dangerous attacks 41
53 Possession 47
3 Corners 2
10 Free kicks 19
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

91 Ball Safe 119
1 Penalties 0
1 Goal Attempts 10
4 Substitutions 3
20 Throwins 15
0 Assists 1
1 Injuries 0

Attacking

139 Attacks 121

Discipline

2 Offsides 0
21 Fouls 12

Lineup

Referee : Michele Beltrano

Starting XI ▼

1
Daniel Higgs
Daniel Higgs Goalkeeper
6.12
3
Max Melbourne
Max Melbourne Defender
6.25
16
Billy Borge
Billy Borge Defender
6.25
8
Owen Pritchard
Owen Pritchard
Midfielder26'
32
Liam Shephard
Liam Shephard Defender
6.26
15
Jac Clay
Jac Clay
Defender67'
6.5
4
Thomas Mehew Midfielder
6
Mael Davies
Mael Davies (C) Midfielder
6.37
7
Nathan Wood
Nathan Wood Midfielder
6.37
9
Chris Venables
Chris Venables Midfielder
6.37
10
Ethan Cann
Ethan Cann
Attacker46'
12
Eduino Vaz
Eduino Vaz Midfielder
6.37
19
Ryan Hill
Ryan Hill Midfielder
6.37
21
Ash Baker
Ash Baker Midfielder
6.33
11
Noah Daley
Noah Daley
Attacker61'
Referee : Michele Beltrano

Starting XI ▼

12
André Alcaráz
André Alcaráz Goalkeeper
6.5
2
Álex Rasines
Álex Rasines Defender
6.5
3
Mario Álvarez
Mario Álvarez Defender
6.5
4
Guti
Guti Defender
6.5
5
Jorge Padilla
Jorge Padilla Defender
6.5
6
Miguel López
Miguel López Midfielder
6.5
8
Íñigo Barrenetxea
Íñigo Barrenetxea (C) Midfielder
6.5
9
Predrag Muñoz
Predrag Muñoz Midfielder
6.5
18
Adrià Arjona
Adrià Arjona
Midfielder73'
10
Guillaume Lopez
Guillaume Lopez Attacker
6.86
21
Andy Villar Attacker
22
Álex Gómez

Events

2ND-HALF
88'
Event
Roberto Rodríguez → Alejandro Gómez
7th Substitution
73'
Event
Adrià Arjona → Predrag Muñoz
6th Substitution
69'
Event
Kun Temenuzhkov → Andy Villar
5th Substitution
Event
Jac Clay → Liam Shephard
4th Substitution
67'
Event
Noah Daley → Ash Baker
3rd Substitution
61'
Event
Ash Baker
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
53'
Event
Ryan Hill
Goalkeeper save
52'
49'
Event
Predrag Muñoz
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Ethan Cann → Chris Venables
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Owen Pritchard → Billy Borge
1st Substitution
26'
16'
Event
Guillaume Lopez
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

88
Update Update
Roberto Rodríguez comes on for Álex Gómez.
78
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
73
Update Update
Adrià Arjona comes on for Predag Daniel Munoz Martinez.
69
Update Update
Kun Temenuzhkov comes on for Andy Villar.
67
Substitution Substitution
Jac Clay is substituted for Liam Shephard.
61
Update Update
Noah Daley replaces Ashley Baker.
55
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
53
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
52
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
52
Attempt Attempt
Penalty saved.
49
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
46
Update Update
Ethan Cann is on, and Chris Venables is off.
42
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
26
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Owen Pritchard comes on for Billy Borge.
23
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
16
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-1.
1
Update Update
Kick-off has occurred!

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Penybont 0-1 FC Santa Coloma. Structural assessment: FC Santa Coloma exhibited a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.