France vs Morocco preview

2026 World Cup, World
Boston Stadium Yesterday - 8:00 PM
World Cup
France FRA
Morocco MAR
KICKOFF : Yesterday - 8:00 PM
Quarter Finals

CONTEXT

France and Morocco prepare to clash in the World Cup quarter-finals at Boston Stadium during the 2026 season. France carries a notable power advantage of 12.1 points and is identified as the stronger side overall. The team also leads in domestic league position at number one while Morocco sits second. Form scores further favor France at 37.73 against Morocco's 25.93. Set piece metrics for both sides rely on proxies and carry low confidence levels with no detailed xG breakdowns available. Efficiency and transition elements lack specific data points in the current setup. The match represents a domestic cup style encounter where structural edges could shape proceedings. France appears positioned to control key phases based on available indicators.

TL;DR

  • Structural: France holds a 12.1 point power score advantage over Morocco.
  • Form: France posts a form score of 37.73 while Morocco records 25.93.
  • Squad: France occupies domestic position 1 and Morocco sits at position 2.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams in this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition metrics remain unavailable for detailed assessment.
  • Set pieces: Set piece analysis shows low confidence and proxy usage for both sides.
  • xVariable: France is designated the stronger team with superior power metrics.
  • Market: France 60.6% (Δ+0%) | Draw 24.6% (Δ+0%) | Morocco 14.8% (Δ-0.1%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
France D. Deschamps
D. Deschamps
VS
Morocco M. Ouahbi
M. Ouahbi
3
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.2
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Paraguay Rank: W
Sweden Rank: W
Norway Rank: W
Iraq Rank: W
Senegal Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Canada Rank: W
Netherlands Rank: D
Haiti Rank: W
Scotland Rank: W
Brazil Rank: D
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home France
60.59%
Draw
24.63%
Away Morocco
14.78%

Movement

Changes since opening
France
+0.04%
Draw
+0.01%
Morocco
-0.05%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
46.52
34.44
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
France
Morocco
Power Score
46.52
34.44
League Position
1
2
Global Rank
1
8

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
France — Opponent-weighted form score
Morocco — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) France Morocco

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

France FRA Home
1 matches
Morocco MAR Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
Goals
2
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
2
+2
Goal Difference
-2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-06T00:06:44+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
M. Maignan
16 M. Maignan
J. Koundé
5 J. Koundé
D. Upamecano
4 D. Upamecano
W. Saliba
17 W. Saliba
L. Digne
3 L. Digne
K. Kone
6 K. Kone
A. Rabiot
14 A. Rabiot
O. Dembélé
7 O. Dembélé
M. Olise
11 M. Olise
B. Barcola
12 B. Barcola
K. Mbappé
10 K. Mbappé
Y. Bounou
1 Y. Bounou
N. Mazraoui
3 N. Mazraoui
R. Halhal
25 R. Halhal
I. Diop
14 I. Diop
A. Hakimi Mouh
2 A. Hakimi Mouh
N. El Aynaoui
24 N. El Aynaoui
A. Bouaddi
6 A. Bouaddi
B. El Khannous
23 B. El Khannous
A. Ounahi
8 A. Ounahi
B. Abdelkader Diaz
10 B. Abdelkader Diaz
S. Rahimi
9 S. Rahimi

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 09, 2026, 08:00 PM
Competition
2026 World Cup, World · Quarter Finals
Stadium
Boston Stadium
Capacity
66829
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

16
Mike Maignan
Mike Maignan Goalkeeper
6.97
10
Kylian Mbappé
Kylian Mbappé Centre Forward
8.31
14
Adrien Rabiot
Adrien Rabiot Defensive Midfield
7.25
3
Lucas Digne
Lucas Digne Left Back
7.03
4
Dayot Upamecano
Dayot Upamecano Right Back
7.32
5
Jules Koundé
Jules Koundé Right Back
7.03
6
Manu Koné
Manu Koné Defensive Midfield
7
7
Ousmane Dembélé
Ousmane Dembélé Right Wing
7.8
11
Michael Olise
Michael Olise Attacking Midfield
7.95
12
Bradley Barcola
Bradley Barcola Left Wing
7.1
17
William Saliba
William Saliba Left Back
6.99

Starting XI ▼

1
Yassine Bounou
Yassine Bounou Goalkeeper
6.69
9
Soufiane Rahimi
Soufiane Rahimi Centre Forward
7.13
2
Achraf Hakimi
Achraf Hakimi Right Back
7.87
3
Noussair Mazraoui
Noussair Mazraoui Left Back
7.08
6
Ayyoub Bouaddi
Ayyoub Bouaddi Defensive Midfield
6.85
8
Azzedine Ounahi
Azzedine Ounahi Attacking Midfield
7.32
10
Brahim Díaz
Brahim Díaz Right Wing
7.13
14
Issa Diop
Issa Diop Right Back
7.03
23
Bilal El Khannouss
Bilal El Khannouss Left Wing
7
24
Neil El Aynaoui
Neil El Aynaoui Defensive Midfield
7.09
25
Redouane Halhal
Redouane Halhal Left Back
6.77

CONCLUSION

France enters this quarter-final with clear structural and form edges that could influence the outcome against Morocco. The power differential and domestic positioning suggest France may dictate tempo in open play. Morocco will need to maximize limited opportunities given the lower form indicators. Set piece elements carry uncertainty due to data constraints yet remain relevant in knockout settings. Overall team organization favors France though both sides lack granular efficiency insights. The encounter promises a competitive battle where France's advantages in key metrics stand out. Morocco's resilience could still test those edges throughout the match.