Paraguay vs France preview

2026 World Cup, World
Philadelphia Stadium Tomorrow - 9:00 PM
World Cup
Paraguay PAR
France FRA
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 9:00 PM
Round of 16

CONTEXT

Paraguay host France in World Cup (Round of 16) at Philadelphia Stadium. Domestically, Paraguay sit 3th in the table while France are 1th. Power ranking favours France by 21.5 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: France hold a +21.5 pts power-ranking advantage heading into this fixture.
  • Form: France sit below baseline on opponent-adjusted form.
  • Squad: No major squad or availability edge; impact is neutral.
  • Efficiency: Paraguay show stronger possession-adjusted chance creation in the data.
  • Transition: France have a moderate edge in transition threat.
  • Set pieces: France carry higher set-play value and dead-ball upside.
  • xVariable: France hold a marginal advantage on underlying metrics.
  • Market: Paraguay 6.3% (Δ+0%) | Draw 13.5% (Δ+0%) | France 80.2% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Paraguay Paraguay
Paraguay
VS
France France
France
1.25
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
3
1.25 i
Last 6 Opponents
Germany Rank: D
Australia Rank: D
Türkiye Rank: W
United States Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sweden Rank: W
Norway Rank: W
Iraq Rank: W
Senegal Rank: W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Paraguay
6.31%
Draw
13.52%
Away France
80.18%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
23.7
45.18
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Paraguay
France
Power Score
23.7
45.18
League Position
3
1
Global Rank
40
1

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Paraguay — Opponent-weighted form score
France — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Paraguay France

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Paraguay PAR Home
0 matches
France FRA Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-01T00:03:31+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 04, 2026, 09:00 PM
Competition
2026 World Cup, World · Round of 16
Stadium
Philadelphia Stadium
Capacity
69176
Pitch Surface
N/A
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

1
Roberto Júnior Fernández Torres
Roberto Júnior Fernández Torres Goalkeeper
22
Gastón Hernán Olveira Echeverría
Gastón Hernán Olveira Echeverría Goalkeeper
12
Orlando Gill
Orlando Gill Goalkeeper
6
Júnior Osmar Ignacio Alonso Mujica
Júnior Osmar Ignacio Alonso Mujica Defender
15
Gustavo Raúl Gómez Portillo
Gustavo Raúl Gómez Portillo Defender
5
Fabián Cornelio Balbuena González
Fabián Cornelio Balbuena González Defender
2
Víctor Gustavo Velázquez Ramos
Víctor Gustavo Velázquez Ramos Defender
13
José María Canale Domínguez
José María Canale Domínguez Defender
3
Omar Federico Alderete Fernández
Omar Federico Alderete Fernández Defender
4
Juan José Cáceres
Juan José Cáceres Defender
26
Alexandro Maidana Mendieta
Alexandro Maidana Mendieta Defender
14
Adrián Andrés Cubas
Adrián Andrés Cubas Midfielder
17
Alejandro Romero Gamarra
Alejandro Romero Gamarra Midfielder
20
Braian Óscar Ojeda Rodríguez
Braian Óscar Ojeda Rodríguez Midfielder
19
Julio César Enciso
Julio César Enciso Midfielder
11
Mauricio Magalhães Prado
Mauricio Magalhães Prado Midfielder
16
Damián Bobadilla
Damián Bobadilla Midfielder
23
Matías Galarza Fonda
Matías Galarza Fonda Midfielder
8
Diego Alexander Gómez Amarilla
Diego Alexander Gómez Amarilla Midfielder
9
Arnaldo Antonio Sanabria Ayala
Arnaldo Antonio Sanabria Ayala Attacker
21
Gabriel Ávalos Stumpfs
Gabriel Ávalos Stumpfs Attacker
10
Miguel Ángel Almirón Rejala
Miguel Ángel Almirón Rejala Attacker
18
Alex Adrián Arce Barrios
Alex Adrián Arce Barrios Attacker
25
Isidro Miguel Pitta Saldívar
Isidro Miguel Pitta Saldívar Attacker
24
Gustavo Caballero
Gustavo Caballero Attacker
7
Ramón Sosa Acosta
Ramón Sosa Acosta Attacker

Squad ▼

1
Brice Samba
Brice Samba Goalkeeper
16
Mike Maignan
Mike Maignan Goalkeeper
23
Robin Risser
Robin Risser Goalkeeper
4
Dayotchanculle Upamecano
Dayotchanculle Upamecano Defender
3
Lucas Digne
Lucas Digne Defender
15
Ibrahima Konaté
Ibrahima Konaté Defender
21
Lucas Hernández Pi
Lucas Hernández Pi Defender
19
Theo Bernard François Hernández
Theo Bernard François Hernández Defender
5
Jules Koundé
Jules Koundé Defender
26
Maxence Lacroix
Maxence Lacroix Defender
17
William Saliba
William Saliba Defender
2
Malo Gusto
Malo Gusto Defender
13
N'Golo Kanté
N'Golo Kanté Midfielder
14
Adrien Rabiot
Adrien Rabiot Midfielder
8
Aurélien Tchouaméni
Aurélien Tchouaméni Midfielder
24
Mathis Ryan Cherki
Mathis Ryan Cherki Midfielder
6
Kouadio Kone
Kouadio Kone Midfielder
18
Warren Zaire Emery
Warren Zaire Emery Midfielder
7
Ousmane Dembélé
Ousmane Dembélé Attacker
10
Kylian Mbappé Lottin
Kylian Mbappé Lottin Attacker
22
Jean-Philippe Mateta
Jean-Philippe Mateta Attacker
9
Marcus Thuram
Marcus Thuram Attacker
11
Michael Olise
Michael Olise Attacker
12
Bradley Barcola
Bradley Barcola Attacker
25
Maghnes Akliouche
Maghnes Akliouche Attacker
20
Desire Doue
Desire Doue Attacker

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward France holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give France a 21.5-point edge. Projection probabilities are unavailable or insufficient in the available data for this fixture. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.