Switzerland vs Canada preview
World Cup
Canada
CAN
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
Switzerland secured a 2-1 victory over Canada after a goalless first half that left the score level at 0-0. The home side claimed the win despite recording just 0.63 expected goals against Canada's 1.38, creating an xG differential of -0.75. Switzerland controlled 55 percent of possession while Canada held 45 percent. No red cards were shown to either team. The result featured a significant deviation of 62.3 percent with Switzerland as the deviation team. The stronger team prevailed on the day even though the outcome was not consistent with xG values. This match highlighted how finishing efficiency can override underlying chance quality metrics.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Switzerland recorded a significant structural deviation of 62.3 percent from pre-match projections.
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Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expected performance levels for both teams.
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xG alignment: The match outcome was not aligned with xG values since Canada held the higher total.
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Market alignment: The result was aligned with market expectations for the stronger team.
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xG expectations: Canada exceeded xG expectations with 1.38 but could not secure the victory.
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Event impact: Second half events enabled Switzerland to overcome the xG deficit and win 2-1.
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Red card distortion: No red cards were issued so match dynamics experienced zero distortion.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Switzerland
Canada
Movement
Changes since opening
Switzerland
Canada
Team Power Ranking
i
33.33
16.67
Switzerland
Canada
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Switzerland
Canada
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Switzerland
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Switzerland
Switzerland
Canada
Switzerland
Canada
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Switzerland
Switzerland
Canada
Switzerland
Canada
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- CAN had peak pressure around 83'.
- SUI started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-06-25T00:00:27+00:00
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General Information
Next Match
Switzerland
vs
3rd Group E/F/G/I/J
League: World Cup
Kickoff: Fri, 3 Jul - 3:00 AM
Venue: Vancouver Stadium
Canada
vs
2nd Group A
League: World Cup
Kickoff: Sun, 28 Jun - 7:00 PM
Venue: Los Angeles Stadium
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
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Match Commentary