Scotland vs Brazil preview
World Cup
Brazil
BRA
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
Scotland hosted Brazil in a match that ended 0-3 after a first half where the visitors led 0-2 at the interval. Brazil recorded 2.87 expected goals to Scotland's 1.24 with a differential of minus 1.63. Possession figures showed Scotland at 46 percent and Brazil at 54 percent. No red cards were shown to either side. Pre-match indicators had identified Scotland as the stronger team yet the result went to Brazil. The outcome proved consistent with the xG data and market alignment held with minimal deviation of 2.4 percent. Efficiency metrics stayed in line with expectations across both halves.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Structural deviation measured minimal at 2.4 percent with Brazil as the deviation team.
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Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with pre-match projections for both teams.
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xG alignment: xG alignment confirmed the outcome matched recorded expected goals values.
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Market alignment: Market alignment held true with the final result.
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xG expectations: xG expectations projected Brazil at 2.87 and Scotland at 1.24.
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Event impact: Event impact produced a 0-3 scoreline after a 0-2 halftime.
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Red card distortion: Red card distortion remained absent with zero dismissals recorded.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Scotland
Brazil
Team Power Ranking
i
50
22.96
Scotland
Brazil
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Scotland
Brazil
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Scotland
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Scotland
Scotland
Brazil
Scotland
Brazil
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Scotland
Scotland
Brazil
Scotland
Brazil
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- BRA had peak pressure around 68'.
- BRA started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-06-25T00:00:35+00:00
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General Information
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
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Match Commentary