Türkiye vs Paraguay preview
World Cup
Paraguay
PAR
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
Match is finished. Türkiye 0–1 Paraguay. The result saw Paraguay take the points. Paraguay showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. xG finished Türkiye 2.2 – 0.4 Paraguay. Possession was 79%–21%. The match featured at least one red card, which may have affected the flow of the game.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Final score: Türkiye 0-1 Paraguay. Paraguay showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
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Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
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xG alignment: The final outcome was contrary to expected goal differential.
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Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
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xG expectations: Diverging from xG expectations (Classify).
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Event impact: Red card(s) affected the match (Classify).
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Red card distortion: Classify as red card distortion.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Türkiye
Paraguay
Movement
Changes since opening
Türkiye
Paraguay
Team Power Ranking
i
37.41
50
Türkiye
Paraguay
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Türkiye
Paraguay
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Türkiye
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Türkiye
Türkiye
Paraguay
Türkiye
Paraguay
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Türkiye
Türkiye
Paraguay
Türkiye
Paraguay
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- TUR had peak pressure around 75'.
- TUR started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-06-21T00:00:29+00:00
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General Information
Next Match
Türkiye
vs
United States
League: World Cup
Kickoff: Fri, 26 Jun - 2:00 AM
Venue: Los Angeles Stadium
Paraguay
vs
Australia
League: World Cup
Kickoff: Fri, 26 Jun - 2:00 AM
Venue: San Francisco Bay Area Stadium
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
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Match Commentary