Belgium vs Iran preview
World Cup
Iran
IRN
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
Belgium faced Iran in a match that concluded with a 0-0 scoreline. The first half ended level at 0-0 as neither side found the net despite Belgium controlling 70 percent of possession. Belgium registered an expected goals figure of 2.06 while Iran managed 0.69 creating a differential of 1.37. The stronger side Belgium was unable to convert territorial dominance into goals. A red card issued to Belgium altered the second half dynamics. The outcome proved inconsistent with underlying metrics and reflected a significant deviation for the favored team. Iran defended compactly to secure the stalemate against expectations.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Belgium showed a significant 79.2 percent deviation from expected performance levels.
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Efficiency shift: Team efficiency remained in line with pre-match projections throughout the contest.
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xG alignment: Final outcome was not consistent with the recorded xG differential of 1.37.
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Market alignment: Result did not align with market expectations for the stronger side.
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xG expectations: Belgium generated 2.06 xG against Iran's 0.69 in a dominant display.
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Event impact: The 0-0 draw occurred despite clear xG superiority for Belgium.
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Red card distortion: Belgium's red card created second half adjustments that influenced the result.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Belgium
Iran
Movement
Changes since opening
Belgium
Iran
Team Power Ranking
i
20.74
14.07
Belgium
Iran
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Belgium
Iran
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Belgium
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Belgium
Belgium
Iran
Belgium
Iran
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Belgium
Belgium
Iran
Belgium
Iran
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- BEL had peak pressure around 73'.
- BEL started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-06-22T00:00:31+00:00
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General Information
Next Match
Belgium
vs
New Zealand
League: World Cup
Kickoff: Sat, 27 Jun - 3:00 AM
Venue: Vancouver Stadium
Iran
vs
Egypt
League: World Cup
Kickoff: Sat, 27 Jun - 3:00 AM
Venue: Seattle Stadium
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
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Match Commentary