New Zealand vs Belgium preview
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
New Zealand hosted Belgium in an international fixture that concluded with a 1-5 scoreline. Belgium led 0-1 at halftime after establishing early control. The visitors dominated proceedings with 55 percent possession against New Zealand's 45 percent. Expected goals heavily favored Belgium at 4.27 compared to New Zealand's 0.37, producing a differential of minus 3.9. No red cards were issued to either side throughout the contest. Belgium, the stronger side on paper, secured the victory in line with pre-match expectations. The minimal deviation of 2.6 percent confirmed alignment between observed outcome and underlying metrics.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: The 2.6 percent deviation registered as minimal for the stronger side.
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Efficiency shift: Overall efficiency remained in line with underlying performance indicators.
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xG alignment: The final result proved fully consistent with the expected goals distribution.
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Market alignment: Observed outcome matched pre-match projections without notable variance.
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xG expectations: Belgium posted 4.27 expected goals while New Zealand managed only 0.37.
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Event impact: Belgium converted their dominance into a five-goal margin after the 0-1 halftime score.
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Red card distortion: Zero red cards were shown, leaving match dynamics undistorted by dismissals.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
New Zealand
Belgium
Team Power Ranking
i
11.85
25.19
New Zealand
Belgium
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
New Zealand
Belgium
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
New Zealand
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
New Zealand
New Zealand
Belgium
New Zealand
Belgium
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
New Zealand
New Zealand
Belgium
New Zealand
Belgium
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- BEL had peak pressure around 49'.
- BEL started the game with stronger pressure.
STARTING XI











General Information
Next Match
Belgium
vs
3rd Group A/E/H/I/J
League: World Cup
Kickoff: Wed, 1 Jul - 8:00 PM
Venue: Seattle Stadium
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
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Starting XI ▼






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Manager ▼
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Match Commentary