Congo DR vs Uzbekistan preview
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
Congo DR secured a 3-1 victory over Uzbekistan after trailing at the interval. The halftime score stood at 0-1 with Uzbekistan ahead. Congo DR recorded 2.29 expected goals while Uzbekistan managed just 0.12. Possession favored Congo DR at 58 percent against 42 percent for the visitors. No red cards were issued during the contest. Uzbekistan entered as the stronger side yet Congo DR produced the match winner. The result proved consistent with underlying metrics and reflected a significant performance deviation from pre-match projections for the home side. Congo DR completed the turnaround through second-half adjustments that aligned with their expected goal superiority.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Congo DR produced a 43.4 percent significant deviation from pre-match expectations.
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Efficiency shift: Team efficiency remained in line with underlying performance indicators.
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xG alignment: Final outcome stayed consistent with the 2.29 to 0.12 expected goal split.
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Market alignment: Result matched pre-match market projections without notable variance.
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xG expectations: Congo DR generated 2.29 expected goals against Uzbekistan's 0.12.
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Event impact: Congo DR overcame the 0-1 halftime deficit to claim the 3-1 win.
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Red card distortion: No red cards occurred so no distortion affected match dynamics.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Congo DR
Uzbekistan
Movement
Changes since opening
Congo DR
Uzbekistan
Team Power Ranking
i
27.04
33.33
Congo DR
Uzbekistan
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Congo DR
Uzbekistan
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Congo DR
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Congo DR
Congo DR
Uzbekistan
Congo DR
Uzbekistan
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Congo DR
Congo DR
Uzbekistan
Congo DR
Uzbekistan
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- COD had peak pressure around 86'.
- UZB started the game with stronger pressure.
STARTING XI

























General Information
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
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Starting XI ▼




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Match Commentary