United States vs Bosnia and Herzegovina preview

2026 World Cup, World
San Francisco Bay Area Stadium Thu, 2 Jul - 12:00 AM
World Cup
United States USA
Bosnia and Herzegovina BIH
KICKOFF : Thu, 2 Jul - 12:00 AM
Round of 32

CONTEXT

The United States host Bosnia and Herzegovina in a World Cup Round of 32 encounter at San Francisco Bay Area Stadium during the 2026 season. The home side enters as the clear stronger team with a power score of 34.81 and a 14.6 point advantage. Domestic league positions place the United States first and Bosnia and Herzegovina third. Form scores further highlight the gap with the hosts at 29.56 and the visitors at 8.56. Set piece metrics carry low confidence and rely on proxies for both sides. Broader efficiency and transition indicators remain unavailable. The fixture offers the United States an opportunity to leverage structural superiority in a high-stakes knockout setting.

TL;DR

  • Structural: United States hold a 14.6 point power advantage with a score of 34.81 against Bosnia and Herzegovina's 20.22.
  • Form: United States post a form score of 29.56 while Bosnia and Herzegovina sit at 8.56.
  • Squad: United States occupy first place and Bosnia and Herzegovina third in domestic league standings.
  • Efficiency: Detailed efficiency metrics are unavailable for both teams ahead of the match.
  • Transition: Transition data is not provided for this World Cup Round of 32 fixture.
  • Set pieces: Set piece analysis carries low confidence and relies on proxy data for both sides.
  • xVariable: United States lead with a power score of 34.81 against 20.22 for Bosnia and Herzegovina.
  • Market: Projection split: United States 69.7% (Δ+0%) | Draw 19.2% (Δ+0%) | Bosnia and Herzegovina 11.1% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
United States M. Pochettino Trossero
M. Pochettino Trossero
VS
Bosnia and Herzegovina S. Barbarez
S. Barbarez
2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.33
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Türkiye Rank: L
Australia Rank: W
Paraguay Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Qatar Rank: W
Switzerland Rank: L
Canada Rank: D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home United States
69.72%
Draw
19.21%
Away Bosnia and Herzegovina
11.07%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
34.81
20.22
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
United States
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Power Score
34.81
20.22
League Position
1
3
Global Rank
-
65

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
United States Opponent-weighted form score
Bosnia and Herzegovina Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) United States Bosnia and Herzegovina

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

United States USA Home
0 matches
Bosnia and Herzegovina BIH Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-06-29T00:02:10+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch
F. Matthew
24 F. Matthew
A. Freeman
16 A. Freeman
T. Ream
13 T. Ream
C. Richards
3 C. Richards
S. Dest
2 S. Dest
T. Adams
4 T. Adams
M. Tillman
17 M. Tillman
A. Robinson
5 A. Robinson
W. McKennie
8 W. McKennie
C. Pulisic
10 C. Pulisic
F. Balogun
20 F. Balogun
N. Vasilj
1 N. Vasilj
S. Kolašinac
5 S. Kolašinac
N. Katić
18 N. Katić
T. Muharemovic
4 T. Muharemovic
A. Malic
24 A. Malic
K. Alajbegović
19 K. Alajbegović
I. Bašić
13 I. Bašić
B. Tahirovic
6 B. Tahirovic
E. Bajraktarevic
20 E. Bajraktarevic
E. Džeko
11 E. Džeko
E. Demirović
10 E. Demirović

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 02, 2026, 12:00 AM
Competition
2026 World Cup, World · Round of 32
Stadium
San Francisco Bay Area Stadium
Capacity
68500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI

24
Matt Freese
Matt Freese Goalkeeper
6.54
8
Weston McKennie
Weston McKennie Midfielder
7.13
10
Christian Pulisic
Christian Pulisic Midfielder
7.08
2
Sergiño Dest
Sergiño Dest Midfielder
6.67
5
Antonee Robinson
Antonee Robinson Midfielder
7.15
20
Folarin Balogun
Folarin Balogun Centre Forward
7.28
17
Malik Tillman
Malik Tillman Central Midfield
7.22
13
Tim Ream
Tim Ream Centre Back
7.11
16
Alex Freeman
Alex Freeman Right Back
7.13
4
Tyler Adams
Tyler Adams Central Midfield
6.99
3
Chris Richards
Chris Richards Left Back
7.13

Starting XI

1
Nikola Vasilj
Nikola Vasilj Goalkeeper
6.37
19
Kerim Alajbegovic
Kerim Alajbegovic Midfielder
6.98
20
Esmir Bajraktarevic
Esmir Bajraktarevic Midfielder
6.47
10
Ermedin Demirovic
Ermedin Demirovic Attacker
6.47
11
Edin Džeko
Edin Džeko Attacker
6.6
6
Benjamin Tahirović
Benjamin Tahirović Central Midfield
6.61
24
Arjan Malic
Arjan Malic Right Back
6.34
4
Tarik Muharemović
Tarik Muharemović Right Back
6.96
5
Sead Kolasinac
Sead Kolasinac Left Back
6.89
13
Ivan Basic
Ivan Basic Central Midfield
7.15
18
Nikola Katic
Nikola Katic Left Back
7.07

CONCLUSION

United States carry clear structural and form edges into this Round of 32 meeting and will look to control proceedings from the outset. Their domestic leadership and elevated power metrics suggest they can dictate tempo and create consistent pressure. Bosnia and Herzegovina face a steep challenge and must find ways to disrupt rhythm while protecting defensive lines. Limited set piece insight adds uncertainty yet the overall profile favors the hosts. Expect the United States to press for an early foothold and build from their positional strength. Bosnia and Herzegovina will need disciplined organization to stay competitive throughout the ninety minutes.