Argentina vs Cape Verde Islands preview

2026 World Cup, World
Miami Stadium Fri, 3 Jul - 10:00 PM
World Cup
Argentina ARG
Cape Verde Islands CPV
KICKOFF : Fri, 3 Jul - 10:00 PM
Round of 32

CONTEXT

Argentina host Cape Verde Islands in World Cup (Round of 32) at Miami Stadium. Domestically, Argentina sit 1th in the table while Cape Verde Islands are 2th. Power ranking favours Argentina by 21.7 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Argentina hold a 21.7 point power advantage over Cape Verde Islands.
  • Form: Argentina's form score stands at 29.56 against 13.56 for Cape Verde Islands.
  • Squad: Argentina are the stronger team with superior overall metrics.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data remains unavailable for both teams in this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition metrics are not provided for this encounter.
  • Set pieces: Set piece analysis shows low confidence and proxy data usage.
  • xVariable: The power advantage of 21.7 points favors Argentina heavily.
  • Market: Baseline split: Argentina 80.7% (Δ+0%) | Draw 13.6% (Δ+0%) | Cape Verde Islands 5.7% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Argentina L. Scaloni
L. Scaloni
VS
Cape Verde Islands P. Leitão Brito
P. Leitão Brito
3
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Jordan Rank: W
Austria Rank: W
Algeria Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Saudi Arabia Rank: D
Uruguay Rank: D
Spain Rank: D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Argentina
80.72%
Draw
13.55%
Away Cape Verde Islands
5.73%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
41.48
19.75
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Argentina
Cape Verde Islands
Power Score
41.48
19.75
League Position
1
2
Global Rank
3
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Argentina — Opponent-weighted form score
Cape Verde Islands — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Argentina Cape Verde Islands

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Argentina ARG Home
0 matches
Cape Verde Islands CPV Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-06-30T00:02:25+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Pitch
D. Martínez
23 D. Martínez
N. Molina Lucero
26 N. Molina Lucero
N. Otamendi
19 N. Otamendi
L. Martínez
6 L. Martínez
F. Medina
25 F. Medina
A. Mac Allister
20 A. Mac Allister
E. Fernández
24 E. Fernández
R. de Paul
7 R. de Paul
L. Messi
10 L. Messi
L. Martínez
22 L. Martínez
T. Almada
16 T. Almada
J. Évora Dias
1 J. Évora Dias
S. Lopes Cabral
13 S. Lopes Cabral
E. Monteiro Sanches Borges
3 E. Monteiro Sanches Borges
R. Lopes
4 R. Lopes
W. Cardoso Pina
24 W. Cardoso Pina
K. Gonçalves Pereira de Pina
6 K. Gonçalves Pereira de Pina
W. Semedo Johnson
17 W. Semedo Johnson
J. Monteiro Alvarenga
10 J. Monteiro Alvarenga
D. Duarte
14 D. Duarte
R. Mendes da Graça
20 R. Mendes da Graça
N. da Costa Jóia
21 N. da Costa Jóia

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 03, 2026, 10:00 PM
Competition
2026 World Cup, World · Round of 32
Stadium
Miami Stadium
Capacity
65326
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

23
Emiliano Martínez
Emiliano Martínez Goalkeeper
6.64
10
Lionel Messi
Lionel Messi Attacker
9.03
16
Thiago Almada
Thiago Almada Attacker
6.84
22
Lautaro Martínez
Lautaro Martínez Centre Forward
6.75
6
Lisandro Martínez
Lisandro Martínez Left Back
7.21
7
Rodrigo De Paul
Rodrigo De Paul Central Midfield
7.05
24
Enzo Fernández
Enzo Fernández Central Midfield
7.02
25
Facundo Medina
Facundo Medina Left Back
7.06
19
Nicolás Otamendi
Nicolás Otamendi Right Back
6.75
20
Alexis Mac Allister
Alexis Mac Allister Central Midfield
7.05
26
Nahuel Molina
Nahuel Molina Right Back
6.87

Starting XI ▼

1
Vozinha
Vozinha Goalkeeper
7.4
17
Willy Semedo
Willy Semedo Midfielder
6.49
20
Ryan Mendes
Ryan Mendes Midfielder
6.69
21
Nuno Da Costa
Nuno Da Costa Centre Forward
6.75
3
Diney Borges
Diney Borges Left Back
7.21
4
Roberto Lopes
Roberto Lopes Right Back
7.31
6
Kevin Lenini
Kevin Lenini Defensive Midfield
7
10
Jamiro Monteiro
Jamiro Monteiro Central Midfield
6.67
13
Sidny Lopes Cabral
Sidny Lopes Cabral Left Back
6.82
14
Deroy Duarte
Deroy Duarte Central Midfield
6.93
24
Wagner Pina
Wagner Pina Right Back
7.08

CONCLUSION

Argentina enter this World Cup Round of 32 tie holding clear superiority across power ratings and form indicators. Their top domestic position reinforces an established edge against Cape Verde Islands who sit second in their league. Limited visibility on efficiency and transition elements does not alter the structural outlook that points toward home dominance. Miami Stadium hosts what shapes as a mismatch in team profiles yet offers both sides a platform to advance. Cape Verde Islands must harness defensive organization to test the hosts while Argentina look to convert their advantages into progression. The contest underscores contrasting squad depths in the competition.