Norway vs France preview

2026 World Cup, World
Boston Stadium Today - 7:00 PM
World Cup
Norway NOR
France FRA
KICKOFF : Today - 7:00 PM
Round 3 Group Stage

CONTEXT

Norway faces France in a World Cup group stage encounter at Boston Stadium during the 2026 season. France enters as the stronger side according to power metrics, holding an 81.48 rating against Norway's 66.67 for a clear 14.8 point edge. Domestic league positions reflect this gap with France in first and Norway in second. Both teams lack recent form records or last outing details ahead of kickoff. The fixture highlights contrasting team profiles in a domestic cup setting where structural advantages may shape proceedings. France's overall superiority suggests they will dictate much of the tempo while Norway looks to exploit any openings through organized resistance.

TL;DR

  • Structural: France holds a 14.8 point power advantage over Norway based on respective scores of 81.48 and 66.67.
  • Form: Both Norway and France enter with zero form scores and no recent outing data available.
  • Squad: France is identified as the stronger team overall in this group stage matchup.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams ahead of the fixture.
  • Transition: Transition metrics remain unavailable due to limited underlying data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece analysis shows low confidence with proxy data used for both sides.
  • xVariable: Power differential favors France substantially in this domestic cup group stage game.
  • Market: Norway 19.1% (Δ+0.6%) | Draw 21.3% (Δ+0.6%) | France 59.6% (Δ-1.2%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Norway S. Solbakken
S. Solbakken
VS
France D. Deschamps
D. Deschamps
3
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
3
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Senegal Rank: W
Iraq Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Iraq Rank: W
Senegal Rank: W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Norway
19.06%
Draw
21.34%
Away France
59.6%

Movement

Changes since opening
Norway
+0.6%
Draw
+0.61%
France
-1.21%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
66.67
81.48
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Norway
France
Power Score
66.67
81.48
League Position
2
1
Global Rank
31
1

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Norway — Opponent-weighted form score
France — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Norway France

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Norway NOR Home
0 matches
France FRA Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-06-26T00:01:24+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
Ø. Håskjold Nyland
Norway
1 Ø. Håskjold Nyland
M. Pedersen
Norway
16 M. Pedersen
K. Vassbakk Ajer
Norway
3 K. Vassbakk Ajer
T. Heggem
Norway
17 T. Heggem
D. Wolfe
Norway
5 D. Wolfe
M. Ødegaard
Norway
10 M. Ødegaard
S. Berge
Norway
8 S. Berge
F. Aursnes
Norway
14 F. Aursnes
A. Sørloth
Norway
7 A. Sørloth
E. Haaland
Norway
9 E. Haaland
A. Nordby Nusa
Norway
20 A. Nordby Nusa
M. Maignan
France
16 M. Maignan
T. Hernández
France
19 T. Hernández
D. Upamecano
France
4 D. Upamecano
W. Saliba
France
17 W. Saliba
J. Koundé
France
5 J. Koundé
A. Rabiot
France
14 A. Rabiot
A. Tchouaméni
France
8 A. Tchouaméni
D. Doue
France
20 D. Doue
M. Olise
France
11 M. Olise
O. Dembélé
France
7 O. Dembélé
K. Mbappé
France
10 K. Mbappé

General Information

Date & Time
Jun 26, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2026 World Cup, World · Round 3 · Group Stage
Stadium
Boston Stadium
Capacity
66829
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Michael Oliver
Stuart Burt
James Mainwaring
Ning Ma

Lineup

Referee : Michael Oliver

Starting XI ▼

1
Ørjan Nyland
Ørjan Nyland Goalkeeper
6.45
3
Kristoffer Ajer
Kristoffer Ajer Defender
6.91
5
David Møller Wolfe
David Møller Wolfe Defender
6.74
16
Marcus Pedersen
Marcus Pedersen Defender
7.01
17
Torbjørn Heggem
Torbjørn Heggem Defender
6.85
8
Sander Berge
Sander Berge Midfielder
6.85
10
Martin Ødegaard
Martin Ødegaard Midfielder
7.18
14
Fredrik Aursnes
Fredrik Aursnes Midfielder
6.53
7
Alexander Sørloth
Alexander Sørloth Attacker
6.33
9
Erling Haaland
Erling Haaland Attacker
8.37
20
Antonio Nusa
Antonio Nusa Attacker
6.53
Referee : Michael Oliver

Starting XI ▼

16
Mike Maignan
Mike Maignan Goalkeeper
6.62
4
Dayot Upamecano
Dayot Upamecano Defender
7.56
5
Jules Koundé
Jules Koundé Defender
7.04
17
William Saliba
William Saliba Defender
6.91
19
Theo Hernández
Theo Hernández Defender
6.38
8
Aurélien Tchouaméni
Aurélien Tchouaméni Midfielder
7.07
11
Michael Olise
Michael Olise Midfielder
8.64
14
Adrien Rabiot
Adrien Rabiot Midfielder
7.19
7
Ousmane Dembélé
Ousmane Dembélé Attacker
7.68
10
Kylian Mbappé
Kylian Mbappé Attacker
8.27
20
Désiré Doué
Désiré Doué Attacker
6.66

CONCLUSION

France carries clear structural and positional edges into this group stage meeting with Norway. Their superior power rating positions them to control key phases while Norway relies on defensive organization to stay competitive. Limited efficiency and transition insights leave set piece elements as potential swing factors though data confidence stays low. The domestic standings gap reinforces France as the side expected to push forward more consistently. Norway will need disciplined structure to limit opportunities and create counter chances. Overall the matchup favors the visitors but offers Norway scope to frustrate through compact defending and opportunistic play.