Senegal vs Iraq preview

2026 World Cup, World
Toronto Stadium Today - 7:00 PM
World Cup
Senegal SEN
Iraq IRQ
KICKOFF : Today - 7:00 PM
Round 3 Group Stage

CONTEXT

Senegal prepare to meet Iraq in a World Cup group stage fixture at Toronto Stadium during the 2026 season. The African side enter as clear frontrunners on the back of a substantial power advantage and superior league standing. Iraq will look to frustrate and exploit any lapses but face a steep challenge against a more established opponent. With both teams lacking recent match data the contest hinges on underlying squad quality and tactical discipline. Senegal occupy third place while Iraq sit fourth in their respective domestic rankings. The encounter promises an intriguing test of organisation and individual quality under the group stage spotlight.

TL;DR

  • Structural: The match is a World Cup group stage fixture at Toronto Stadium.
  • Form: Both sides enter with zero form scores and no recent outings recorded.
  • Squad: Senegal are the stronger team with a power score of 38.89 against Iraq's 20.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for either side in this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition phase data is not supplied for the upcoming contest.
  • Set pieces: Set piece xG data is unavailable with low confidence proxy metrics applied.
  • xVariable: Senegal hold an 18.9 point power advantage heading into the match.
  • Market: Senegal 76.6% (Δ+0%) | Draw 15.7% (Δ+0%) | Iraq 7.7% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Senegal P. Thiaw
P. Thiaw
VS
Iraq G. Arnold
G. Arnold
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
0 i
Last 6 Opponents
Norway Rank: L
France Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
Last 6 Opponents
France Rank: L
Norway Rank: L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Senegal
76.63%
Draw
15.65%
Away Iraq
7.72%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
38.89
20
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Senegal
Iraq
Power Score
38.89
20
League Position
3
4
Global Rank
14
57

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Senegal — Opponent-weighted form score
Iraq — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Senegal Iraq

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Senegal SEN Home
0 matches
Iraq IRQ Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-06-26T00:01:32+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Pitch
M. Diaw
Senegal
23 M. Diaw
K. Diatta
Senegal
15 K. Diatta
K. Koulibaly
Senegal
3 K. Koulibaly
M. Niakhaté
Senegal
19 M. Niakhaté
E. Diouf
Senegal
25 E. Diouf
I. Gueye
Senegal
5 I. Gueye
P. Gueye
Senegal
26 P. Gueye
L. Camara
Senegal
8 L. Camara
I. Sarr
Senegal
18 I. Sarr
N. Jackson
Senegal
11 N. Jackson
S. Mané
Senegal
10 S. Mané
A. Fadhil
Iraq
22 A. Fadhil
M. Doski
Iraq
23 M. Doski
A. Rahman
Iraq
5 A. Rahman
Z. Hantoosh
Iraq
4 Z. Hantoosh
H. Ali
Iraq
3 H. Ali
Z. Iqbal
Iraq
14 Z. Iqbal
A. Al Tameemi
Iraq
17 A. Al Tameemi
A. Al-Ammari
Iraq
16 A. Al-Ammari
M. Farji
Iraq
21 M. Farji
A. Hussein
Iraq
18 A. Hussein
A. Al-Hamadi
Iraq
9 A. Al-Hamadi

General Information

Date & Time
Jun 26, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2026 World Cup, World · Round 3 · Group Stage
Stadium
Toronto Stadium
Capacity
45700
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Anthony Taylor
Gary Beswick
Adam Nunn
Khalid Saleh

Lineup

Referee : Anthony Taylor

Starting XI ▼

23
Mory Diaw
Mory Diaw Goalkeeper
6.8
3
Kalidou Koulibaly
Kalidou Koulibaly Defender
5.65
15
Krépin Diatta
Krépin Diatta Defender
6.97
19
Moussa Niakhaté
Moussa Niakhaté Defender
6.98
25
El Hadji Malick Diouf
El Hadji Malick Diouf Defender
6.44
5
Idrissa Gueye
Idrissa Gueye Midfielder
7.01
8
Lamine Camara
Lamine Camara Midfielder
6.59
26
Pape Gueye
Pape Gueye Midfielder
6.4
10
Sadio Mané
Sadio Mané Attacker
7.18
11
Nicolas Jackson
Nicolas Jackson Attacker
6.73
18
Ismaïla Sarr
Ismaïla Sarr Attacker
7.11
Referee : Anthony Taylor

Starting XI ▼

22
Ahmed Basil Fadhil
Ahmed Basil Fadhil Goalkeeper
5.67
3
Hussein Ali
Hussein Ali Defender
6.05
4
Zaid Tahseen
Zaid Tahseen Defender
5.98
5
Akam Hashem
Akam Hashem Defender
6.47
23
Merchas Doski
Merchas Doski Defender
6.71
14
Zidane Iqbal
Zidane Iqbal Midfielder
6.71
16
Amir Al-Ammari
Amir Al-Ammari Midfielder
6.64
9
Ali Al-Hamadi
Ali Al-Hamadi Attacker
6.65
17
Ali Jasim
Ali Jasim Attacker
6.76
18
Aymen Hussein
Aymen Hussein Attacker
6.85
21
Marko Farji
Marko Farji Attacker
6.62

CONCLUSION

Senegal carry clear superiority into this World Cup group stage meeting and will expect to control proceedings through greater squad depth and organisation. Iraq must remain compact and seek opportunities on the counter if they are to trouble their opponents. The absence of recent form indicators adds an element of uncertainty yet the underlying power differential points toward a measured performance from the higher-ranked side. Both teams will value a positive result to shape their tournament trajectory. Expect Senegal to dictate tempo while Iraq focus on defensive resilience and opportunistic moments.