Castellón vs Almería preview

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Nou Estadi Castalia Sat, 6 Jun - 7:00 PM
La Liga 2
Castellón Castellón
Almería ALM
KICKOFF : Sat, 6 Jun - 7:00 PM
Semi Finals Leg 1 of 2

CONTEXT

Castellón welcomes Almería to Nou Estadi Castalia for the opening leg of their La Liga 2 promotion play-off semi-final. Home support gathers in anticipation of a tense encounter between sides separated by narrow underlying margins. League positions show Almería occupying third spot domestically ahead of sixth-placed Castellón. Power ratings grant the hosts a modest edge that could influence proceedings across ninety minutes. Form metrics point toward greater recent consistency from the home outfit. Both clubs carry promotion ambitions into this high-stakes fixture where small details may decide progress. The venue atmosphere adds intensity to an already charged atmosphere. Players from each squad understand the significance of securing a positive result before the return leg.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Castellón holds a slight power advantage of 2.4 points over Almería.
  • Form: Castellón enters with a superior form score of 28.11 compared to Almería's 20.89.
  • Squad: Almería sits in third place domestically while Castellón occupies sixth position.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data for the upcoming fixture is not provided.
  • Transition: Transition play details lack specific metrics in available information.
  • Set pieces: Set piece analysis shows low confidence with proxy data utilized for both teams.
  • xVariable: Power scores indicate Castellón at 31.82 and Almería at 29.45.
  • Market: Castellón 52.2% (Δ+0%) | Draw 24% (Δ+0%) | Almería 23.8% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Castellón P. Hernández Domínguez
P. Hernández Domínguez
VS
Almería J. Ferrer Sicilia
J. Ferrer Sicilia
1.81
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.73
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
SD Eibar Rank: W
Huesca Rank: W
Cádiz Rank: D
Ceuta Rank: D
Córdoba Rank: L
Málaga Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Valladolid Rank: W
Sporting Gijón Rank: L
Las Palmas Rank: L
Burgos Rank: D
Mirandés Rank: W
Granada Rank: W
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 1 - 5
5
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Castellón
52.19%
Draw
23.98%
Away Almería
23.84%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
31.82
29.45
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Castellón
Almería
Power Score
31.82
29.45
League Position
6
3
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Castellón — Opponent-weighted form score
Almería — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Castellón Almería

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 10 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Castellón Castellón Home
10 matches
Almería ALM Away
Match Record
4
Wins
5
1
Draws
1
5
Losses
4
Goals
18
Goals Scored
14
14
Goals Conceded
18
+4
Goal Difference
-4
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-06-02T00:01:27+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
R. Matthys
13 R. Matthys
S. Ruiz Rodríguez
17 S. Ruiz Rodríguez
A. Jiménez Benítez
5 A. Jiménez Benítez
F. Brignani
3 F. Brignani
A. Sienra
4 A. Sienra
A. Calatrava Torrado
21 A. Calatrava Torrado
B. Gerenabarrena Zendoia
15 B. Gerenabarrena Zendoia
D. Hernández Barriuso
8 D. Hernández Barriuso
B. Kibambe Cipenga
16 B. Kibambe Cipenga
O. Camara
9 O. Camara
A. Jakobsen
19 A. Jakobsen
A. Fernández Moreno
1 A. Fernández Moreno
A. Muñoz Miguel
3 A. Muñoz Miguel
F. Bonini
18 F. Bonini
R. Ely
5 R. Ely
M. Ruiz
16 M. Ruiz
S. Dzodic
29 S. Dzodic
D. Lopy
17 D. Lopy
A. Embarba Blázquez
23 A. Embarba Blázquez
S. Arribas Calvo
11 S. Arribas Calvo
L. Carrilho Baptistão
12 L. Carrilho Baptistão
M. De la Fuente Escudero
24 M. De la Fuente Escudero

General Information

Date & Time
Jun 06, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Semi Finals · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Nou Estadi Castalia
Capacity
15500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

13
Romain Matthys
Romain Matthys Goalkeeper
6.85
16
Brian Cipenga
Brian Cipenga Midfielder
7
21
Álex Calatrava
Álex Calatrava Midfielder
7.35
19
Adam Jakobsen
Adam Jakobsen Attacker
6.69
9
Ousmane Camara
Ousmane Camara Attacker
6.91
3
Fabrizio Brignani
Fabrizio Brignani Left Back
6.78
4
Agustín Sienra
Agustín Sienra Left Back
6.66
5
Alberto Jiménez
Alberto Jiménez Right Back
7.16
8
Diego Barri
Diego Barri Central Midfield
6.84
15
Beñat Gerenabarrena
Beñat Gerenabarrena Central Midfield
6.93
17
Salva Ruiz
Salva Ruiz Right Back
6.62

Starting XI ▼

1
Andrés Fernández
Andrés Fernández Goalkeeper
7.03
24
Miguel de la Fuente
Miguel de la Fuente Centre Forward
6.56
3
Álex Muñoz
Álex Muñoz Left Back
6.87
5
Rodrigo Ely
Rodrigo Ely Right Back
6.86
12
Léo Baptistão
Léo Baptistão Right Wing
6.85
23
Adrián Embarba
Adrián Embarba Left Wing
7.16
29
Stefan Dzodic
Stefan Dzodic Defensive Midfield
6.83
11
Sergio Arribas
Sergio Arribas Attacking Midfield
7.54
16
Marcos Luna
Marcos Luna Right Back
6.55
17
Dion Lopy
Dion Lopy Defensive Midfield
6.88
18
Federico Bonini
Federico Bonini Left Back
6.86

CONCLUSION

Castellón carries a narrow structural edge into this first leg against higher-placed Almería. Home form provides additional encouragement for the hosts as they seek to establish an advantage. Almería will rely on its superior league standing to challenge the power deficit. Limited data on efficiency and transitions leaves room for in-game adjustments by both coaches. Set-piece uncertainty adds another layer of unpredictability to proceedings. The narrow power gap suggests a closely contested match where individual moments could prove decisive. Castellón aims to leverage home support while Almería targets a resilient display ahead of the return fixture. Overall the encounter promises tactical discipline from both promotion hopefuls.