Las Palmas vs Málaga preview

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio de Gran Canaria Sun, 7 Jun - 7:00 PM
La Liga 2
Las Palmas LPA
Málaga MLA
KICKOFF : Sun, 7 Jun - 7:00 PM
Semi Finals Leg 1 of 2

CONTEXT

Las Palmas welcome Málaga to the Estadio de Gran Canaria for the first leg of their La Liga 2 Promotion Play-off semi-final. The hosts sit fifth in the domestic standings while the visitors occupy fourth place, setting up a tightly contested encounter between two sides with comparable overall strength. Málaga carries a marginal power advantage of 0.7 points, yet the form scores remain virtually level at 33.33 for Las Palmas and 33.39 for Málaga. Both teams enter this knockout tie without recent outing data to draw upon, leaving analysts to focus on structural metrics and league positioning. The match promises a measured battle where small margins could decide progression to the final.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Málaga holds a narrow overall power advantage of 0.7 points over Las Palmas.
  • Form: Both sides post nearly identical form scores heading into the semi-final.
  • Squad: Málaga is designated the stronger team based on available power metrics.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data for both teams is unavailable ahead of this fixture.
  • Transition: No detailed transition metrics are provided for either side in this match.
  • Set pieces: Set piece analysis carries low confidence and relies on proxy data.
  • xVariable: Power scores reveal only a minimal edge for the visiting side.
  • Market: Las Palmas 47.6% (Δ+0%) | Draw 27.7% (Δ+0%) | Málaga 24.7% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Las Palmas L. García Fernández
L. García Fernández
VS
Málaga J. Funes Arjona
J. Funes Arjona
1.69
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.08
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Deportivo La Coruña Rank: W
Real Zaragoza Rank: D
Almería Rank: W
FC Andorra Rank: L
Real Valladolid Rank: W
Cádiz Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Zaragoza Rank: W
Racing Santander Rank: D
Ceuta Rank: W
Sporting Gijón Rank: W
SD Eibar Rank: W
Castellón Rank: L
7
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
7 - 7 - 8
8
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Las Palmas
47.59%
Draw
27.67%
Away Málaga
24.74%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
33.7
34.43
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Las Palmas
Málaga
Power Score
33.7
34.43
League Position
5
4
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Las Palmas — Opponent-weighted form score
Málaga — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Las Palmas Málaga

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 22 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Las Palmas LPA Home
22 matches
Málaga MLA Away
Match Record
7
Wins
8
7
Draws
7
8
Losses
7
Goals
25
Goals Scored
27
27
Goals Conceded
25
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-06-02T00:01:37+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Jun 07, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Semi Finals · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Estadio de Gran Canaria
Capacity
32392
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

1
Dinko Horkaš
Dinko Horkaš Goalkeeper
13
José Antonio Caro Díaz
José Antonio Caro Díaz Goalkeeper
35
Adrián Suárez Ortega
Adrián Suárez Ortega Goalkeeper
17
Victor Álvarez Rozada
Victor Álvarez Rozada Defender
4
José Alejandro Suárez Suárez
José Alejandro Suárez Suárez Defender
5
Enrique Clemente Maza
Enrique Clemente Maza Defender
23
Cristian Gutiérrez Vizcaíno
Cristian Gutiérrez Vizcaíno Defender
6
Sergio Barcia Laranxeira
Sergio Barcia Laranxeira Defender
2
Marvin Olawale Akinlabi Park
Marvin Olawale Akinlabi Park Defender
3
Mika Marmol Medina
Mika Marmol Medina Defender
15
Juan Herzog
Juan Herzog Defender
21
Jonathan Viera Ramos
Jonathan Viera Ramos Midfielder
7
Nicolás Benedetti Roa
Nicolás Benedetti Roa Midfielder
12
Enzo Loiodice
Enzo Loiodice Midfielder
20
Kirian Rodríguez Concepción
Kirian Rodríguez Concepción Midfielder
8
Iván Gil Calero
Iván Gil Calero Midfielder
26
Iñaki González Zambrano
Iñaki González Zambrano Midfielder
16
Lorenzo Amatucci
Lorenzo Amatucci Midfielder
10
Jesé Rodríguez Ruiz
Jesé Rodríguez Ruiz Attacker
19
Sandro Ramírez Castillo
Sandro Ramírez Castillo Attacker
14
Manuel Fuster Lázaro
Manuel Fuster Lázaro Attacker
18
Taisei Miyashiro
Taisei Miyashiro Attacker
24
Francisco Jesús Crespo García
Francisco Jesús Crespo García Attacker
49
Iker Bravo Solanilla
Iker Bravo Solanilla Attacker
22
Pedro Alejandro García Mejías
Pedro Alejandro García Mejías Attacker
39
Estanislau Pedrola Fortuny
Estanislau Pedrola Fortuny Attacker
9
Jeremía Alexandre Recoba Perrone
Jeremía Alexandre Recoba Perrone Attacker

Squad ▼

1
Alfonso Herrero Peinador
Alfonso Herrero Peinador Goalkeeper
13
Carlos López Nogueras
Carlos López Nogueras Goalkeeper
4
Einar Galilea Azaceta
Einar Galilea Azaceta Defender
14
Víctor García Marín
Víctor García Marín Defender
20
Francisco Javier Montero Rubio
Francisco Javier Montero Rubio Defender
—
Alex Pastor Carayol
Alex Pastor Carayol Defender
18
Daniel Rodríguez Sánchez
Daniel Rodríguez Sánchez Defender
2
Jokin Gabilondo Garmendia
Jokin Gabilondo Garmendia Defender
3
Carlos Francisco Puga Medina
Carlos Francisco Puga Medina Defender
16
Diego Murillo Dominguez
Diego Murillo Dominguez Defender
36
Ángel Recio Gutiérrez
Ángel Recio Gutiérrez Defender
31
Rafael Garrido Hierro
Rafael Garrido Hierro Defender
5
Darko Brašanac
Darko Brašanac Midfielder
19
Luis Miguel Sánchez Benítez
Luis Miguel Sánchez Benítez Midfielder
8
Juan Pedro Jiménez Melero
Juan Pedro Jiménez Melero Midfielder
6
Ramón Enríquez Rodríguez
Ramón Enríquez Rodríguez Midfielder
12
Carlos Dotor Gonzalez
Carlos Dotor Gonzalez Midfielder
37
Rafael Rodríguez Ruiz
Rafael Rodríguez Ruiz Midfielder
22
Daniel Lorenzo Guerrero
Daniel Lorenzo Guerrero Midfielder
23
Izan Merino Rodríguez
Izan Merino Rodríguez Midfielder
35
Aarón Ochoa Moloney
Aarón Ochoa Moloney Midfielder
25
Josué Dorrio Ortega
Josué Dorrio Ortega Attacker
17
Eneko Jauregi Escobar
Eneko Jauregi Escobar Attacker
11
Joaquín Muñoz Benavides
Joaquín Muñoz Benavides Attacker
24
Julen Lobete Cienfuegos
Julen Lobete Cienfuegos Attacker
10
David Larrubia Romano
David Larrubia Romano Attacker
7
H. Abaida
H. Abaida Attacker
9
Carlos Ruiz Rubio
Carlos Ruiz Rubio Attacker
21
Adrián Niño Heredia
Adrián Niño Heredia Attacker

CONCLUSION

This first leg at the Estadio de Gran Canaria features two promotion hopefuls separated by the slimmest of margins in power and form. Las Palmas will look to leverage home support and their fifth-place standing to gain an advantage, while Málaga’s slight structural edge and fourth-place finish suggest they can remain competitive on the road. With efficiency and set-piece details limited, the contest may hinge on in-game adjustments and individual quality. Both teams must balance attacking intent with defensive caution to avoid conceding an early deficit before the return fixture. The outcome here will shape the narrative heading into the second leg.