GAIS vs Kalmar preview

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Gamla Ullevi Sat, 30 May - 1:00 PM
Allsvenskan
GAIS GAIS
Kalmar KAL
KICKOFF : Sat, 30 May - 1:00 PM
Round 10 Regular Season

CONTEXT

GAIS welcome Kalmar to Gamla Ullevi for an Allsvenskan regular season encounter in 2026. The home side enters with a clear power advantage, registering 59.96 against the visitors 41.72 for an 18.2 point edge that marks them as the stronger team overall. League positions reflect mid-table status with GAIS sitting eighth and Kalmar eleventh in the domestic table. Form scores show a modest edge for the hosts at 23.06 compared to 19.67 for Kalmar. Venue familiarity at Gamla Ullevi offers GAIS a stable platform while both sides navigate a season defined by incremental gains rather than dominance. Limited recent outing data leaves the focus on underlying metrics and positional context ahead of kickoff.

TL;DR

  • Structural: GAIS hold an 18.2 point power advantage over Kalmar in this Allsvenskan fixture.
  • Form: GAIS lead with a form score of 23.06 against Kalmar's 19.67.
  • Squad: GAIS sit eighth while Kalmar occupy eleventh in the domestic Allsvenskan table.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for both teams in this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition metrics show no available data for either side ahead of the match.
  • Set pieces: Set piece analysis carries low confidence and relies on proxy data for both teams.
  • xVariable: GAIS are identified as the stronger team based on the 59.96 power score.
  • Market: Projection split: GAIS 52% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26% (Δ+0%) | Kalmar 22% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
GAIS F. Holmberg
F. Holmberg
VS
Kalmar T. Koskela
T. Koskela
1.2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.11
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sirius Rank: 64 L
Hammarby Rank: 70 W
Degerfors Rank: 48 D
Västerås SK Rank: 48 W
Örgryte Rank: 43 W
IFK Göteborg Rank: 55 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Degerfors Rank: 49 W
Brommapojkarna Rank: 49 L
Halmstad Rank: 46 W
Sirius Rank: 65 L
Elfsborg Rank: 58 W
IFK Göteborg Rank: 55 D
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 7 - 6
6
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home GAIS
52.03%
Draw
26.01%
Away Kalmar
21.96%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
59.96
41.72
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
GAIS
Kalmar
Power Score
59.96
41.72
League Position
8
11
Global Rank
483
744

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
GAIS Opponent-weighted form score
Kalmar Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) GAIS Kalmar

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 16 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

GAIS GAIS Home
16 matches
Kalmar KAL Away
Match Record
3
Wins
6
7
Draws
7
6
Losses
3
Goals
23
Goals Scored
34
34
Goals Conceded
23
-11
Goal Difference
+11
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-27T00:04:42+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
M. Krasniqi
1 M. Krasniqi
A. Wängberg
6 A. Wängberg
A. Cardaklija
22 A. Cardaklija
F. Beckman
24 F. Beckman
R. Frej
12 R. Frej
W. Milovanovic
8 W. Milovanovic
H. Sletsjøe
10 H. Sletsjøe
R. Þorkelsson
17 R. Þorkelsson
M. Andersson
16 M. Andersson
S. Salter
20 S. Salter
R. Niklasson Johansson
11 R. Niklasson Johansson
S. Brolin
1 S. Brolin
V. Larsson
2 V. Larsson
A. Dari
20 A. Dari
L. Sætra
39 L. Sætra
R. Jansson
4 R. Jansson
C. Gustafsson
17 C. Gustafsson
M. Hallberg
5 M. Hallberg
C. Sagoe Junior
24 C. Sagoe Junior
N. Chourak
7 N. Chourak
C. Rosenquist
13 C. Rosenquist
A. Olusanya
11 A. Olusanya

General Information

Date & Time
May 30, 2026, 01:00 PM
Competition
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 10 · Regular Season
Stadium
Gamla Ullevi
Capacity
18416
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI

1
Mergim Krasniqi
Mergim Krasniqi Goalkeeper
6.93
11
Rasmus Patrik Niklasson Johansson
Rasmus Patrik Niklasson Johansson Attacker
6.7
16
M. Andersson
M. Andersson Attacker
6.87
20
S. Salter
S. Salter Centre Forward
7.02
8
William Milovanovic
William Milovanovic Central Midfield
7.06
22
Anes Cardaklija
Anes Cardaklija Right Back
7.03
24
Filip Beckman
Filip Beckman Left Back
7
6
August Wängberg
August Wängberg Right Back
6.84
10
Henry Sletsjøe
Henry Sletsjøe Central Midfield
6.49
12
Robin Frej
Robin Frej Left Back
6.81
17
Róbert Frosti Thorkelsson
Róbert Frosti Thorkelsson Central Midfield
7.09

Starting XI

1
S. Brolin
S. Brolin Goalkeeper
7.61
11
A. Olusanya
A. Olusanya Centre Forward
6.89
39
L. Sætra
L. Sætra Right Back
6.61
4
R. Jansson
R. Jansson Right Back
7.23
5
M. Hallberg
M. Hallberg Defensive Midfield
6.86
7
N. Chourak
N. Chourak Attacking Midfield
6.98
17
C. Gustafsson
C. Gustafsson Defensive Midfield
7.07
20
Achraf Dari
Achraf Dari Left Back
6.84
2
Victor Larsson
Victor Larsson Left Back
6.57
13
C. Rosenquist
C. Rosenquist Right Wing
7.04
24
Charles Sagoe Jr
Charles Sagoe Jr Left Wing
7.29

CONCLUSION

GAIS carry the clearer structural edge into this home fixture against Kalmar with superior power and form indicators supporting their mid-table standing. The visitors remain competitive within the league yet trail in key metrics that shape match control. Venue conditions at Gamla Ullevi further align with GAIS typical patterns while set piece and efficiency details stay limited. Both teams operate in a phase where small margins define outcomes across the Allsvenskan schedule. Expect GAIS to leverage their positional and power strengths in pursuit of a positive result against a Kalmar side focused on defensive organization and opportunistic play.