Nacional vs Estrela Amadora preview

Portugal flag 2026/2027 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Estádio da Madeira
Liga Portugal
NacionalCDN
Estrela AmadoraCFEA
KICKOFF :
Round 4 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In the Liga Portugal regular season Nacional welcome Estrela Amadora to Estádio da Madeira. Nacional occupy eighth place in the domestic standings while Estrela Amadora sit eleventh. The home side carry a power score of 67.81 compared with 64 for the visitors giving them a narrow advantage of 3.8 points and marking them as the stronger team. Form scores show Estrela Amadora slightly ahead on 14.83 against Nacional on 12.33. No recent outing details are recorded for either side. The fixture takes place during the 2026/2027 campaign with both clubs seeking to strengthen their mid-table positions. Venue conditions at the Madeira stadium could influence proceedings as Nacional look to capitalise on home support. The encounter pits two sides with comparable resources against each other in what promises to be a competitive league match.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Nacional sit eighth domestically while Estrela Amadora occupy eleventh place.
  • Form: Nacional hold a form score of 12.33 compared with 14.83 for Estrela Amadora.
  • Squad: No detailed squad or last outing information is available for either side.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics remain unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play details are not specified in the available data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece analysis shows low confidence and relies on proxy data for both teams.
  • xVariable: Nacional hold a power advantage of 3.8 points as the stronger side.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Nacional J. Baptista dos Santos Brito Gião
J. Baptista dos Santos Brito Gião
VS
Estrela Amadora P. Marques da Costa Filipe
P. Marques da Costa Filipe
1.31
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.67
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Vitória Guimarães Rank: 71 L
Estoril Rank: 70 W
Santa Clara Rank: 70 D
Vitória Guimarães Rank: 71 W
Santa Clara Rank: 70 L
AVS Rank: 63 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Alverca Rank: 68 D
Sporting CP Rank: 90 D
Sporting Braga Rank: 81 D
Famalicão Rank: 74 D
Moreirense Rank: 68 L
Porto Rank: 87 L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 1 - 2
2
No sidelined player data available.

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
67.81
64
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Nacional
Estrela Amadora
Power Score
67.81
64
League Position
8
11
Global Rank
309
423

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Nacional — Opponent-weighted form score
Estrela Amadora — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Nacional Estrela Amadora

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Nacional CDN Home
4 matches
Estrela Amadora CFEA Away
Match Record
1
Wins
2
1
Draws
1
2
Losses
1
Goals
3
Goals Scored
4
4
Goals Conceded
3
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-28T00:47:21+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Liga Portugal, Portugal · Round 4 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estádio da Madeira
Capacity
5132
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Renato Marin
Renato Marin Goalkeeper
7.17
10
Daniel Jr
Daniel Jr Midfielder
7.27
52
Wesley Gasolina
Wesley Gasolina Midfielder
6.75
8
Miguel Baeza
Miguel Baeza Midfielder
6.89
7
Markus Jensen
Markus Jensen Midfielder
6.66
99
Pablo Ruan
Pablo Ruan Centre Forward
6.81
22
Filipe Soares
Filipe Soares Central Midfield
6.9
28
Liziero
Liziero Central Midfield
6.92
34
Léo Santos
Léo Santos Right Back
7.7
6
Matheus Dias
Matheus Dias Centre Back
6.75
38
Ze Vitor
Ze Vitor Left Back
7.47

Starting XI ▼

24
Léo Linck
Léo Linck Goalkeeper
6.87
10
Ianis Stoica
Ianis Stoica Attacker
6.64
37
Leandro Antonetti
Leandro Antonetti Centre Forward
7.17
99
Abraham Marcus
Abraham Marcus Attacker
6.83
5
Stefan Leković
Stefan Leković Right Back
6.69
8
Robinho
Robinho Central Midfield
6.71
30
Luan Patrick
Luan Patrick Left Back
6.56
17
Jefferson Encada
Jefferson Encada Right Back
6.49
39
Eddy Doué
Eddy Doué Central Midfield
6.73
55
Rafa Soares
Rafa Soares Left Back
6.81
14
Lovro Zvonarek
Lovro Zvonarek Central Midfield
6.27

CONCLUSION

Nacional enter this Liga Portugal match with a modest power edge and home advantage at Estádio da Madeira. Although Estrela Amadora post a higher form score the overall balance favours the hosts slightly. Mid-table positions mean both teams will value a positive result to aid their season objectives. Limited data on efficiency transition and set pieces leaves room for on-field surprises. The absence of recent outing records adds further uncertainty to preparations. Nacional will aim to use their slight structural superiority to control proceedings while Estrela Amadora seek to exploit any lapses. This regular season clash offers an opportunity for either side to gain ground in the standings through disciplined performance and tactical awareness.