Telstar vs Ajax preview

Netherlands flag 2026/2027 Eredivisie, Netherlands
BUKO Stadion
Eredivisie
TelstarTEL
0 4
AjaxAJA
Full Time
Round 4 Regular Season
|
Goal

CONTEXT

In the encounter between Telstar and Ajax the away side emerged victorious with a 0-4 scoreline. Halftime saw Telstar trailing 0-1 after Ajax opened the scoring. The second half witnessed further goals from the visitors to complete the result. Possession statistics showed Telstar at 43 percent against Ajax at 57 percent. Expected goals were calculated at 0.88 for the home team and 2.14 for Ajax reflecting their greater threat. The stronger team Ajax performed in accordance with their status. No red cards occurred in the game maintaining full squads on the pitch. The deviation was significant at 100 percent attributed to the winning side. This match displayed clear patterns in line with analytical projections.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Telstar 0-4 Ajax. Ajax showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency levels stayed in line with established patterns during the match.
  • xG alignment: The result showed true alignment between actual outcome and xG values.
  • Market alignment: Alignment with market indicators was confirmed as true in this fixture.
  • xG expectations: Expectations based on xG favored Ajax with a differential of 1.26.
  • Event impact: Key events contributed to the away team's control without major interruptions.
  • Red card distortion: With no red cards issued there was zero distortion from dismissals.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
D. Higler
D. Higler
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.32
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
S. Nanninga
S. Nanninga
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Beijer
M. Beijer
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
J. Ordelmans
J. Ordelmans
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Telstar H. Brugge
H. Brugge
VS
Ajax M. Sánchez Muñoz
M. Sánchez Muñoz
1.73
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.54
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sparta Rotterdam Rank: 68 L
NEC Nijmegen Rank: 77 W
FC Volendam Rank: 59 W
Heracles Almelo Rank: 57 W
NEC Nijmegen Rank: 76 D
Sparta Rotterdam Rank: 66 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
SC Heerenveen Rank: 72 D
PEC Zwolle Rank: 66 W
FC Utrecht Rank: 74 D
FC Groningen Rank: 70 W
SC Heerenveen Rank: 71 D
FC Utrecht Rank: 74 L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 2
2

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
68.03
80.23
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Telstar
Ajax
Power Score
68.03
80.23
League Position
13
9
Global Rank
323
79

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Telstar — Opponent-weighted form score
Ajax — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Telstar Ajax

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Telstar

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Ajax

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Telstar
vs
Ajax
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Telstar Ajax
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
54%
30%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.47 vs -0.64
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Telstar Ajax
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
30%
54%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.64 vs -0.47
Telstar
Ajax
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Telstar
vs
Ajax
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Telstar Ajax
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Telstar 0.00
Ajax 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Telstar Ajax
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Telstar 0.00
Ajax 0.00
Telstar
Ajax
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • AJA had peak pressure around 84'.
  • AJA started the game with stronger pressure.
TEL Pressure AJA Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: AJA reached the top pressure at 84' (64.29).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Telstar TEL Home
2 matches
Ajax AJA Away
Match Record
0
Wins
2
0
Draws
0
2
Losses
0
Goals
2
Goals Scored
5
5
Goals Conceded
2
-3
Goal Difference
+3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-30T13:00:19+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Eredivisie, Netherlands · Round 4 · Regular Season
Stadium
BUKO Stadion
Capacity
3200
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Dennis Higler
Sjoerd Nanninga
Martijn Beijer
J. Ordelmans

Statistics

Possession
TEL
43%
AJA
57%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 4
2 Big Chances Created 4
5 Shots 2
28 Dangerous attacks 56
43 Possession 57
5 Corners 4
13 Free kicks 11

Match Overview

71 Ball Safe 68
5 Goal Kicks 7
5 Goal Attempts 10
5 Substitutions 5
12 Throwins 9
1 Injuries 0
7 Dribble Attempts 12
2 Successful Dribbles 7
29 Successful Dribbles Percentage 58

Attacking

81 Attacks 103
2 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

43 Long Passes 30
393 Passes 525
325 Successful Passes 467
83 Successful Passes Percentage 89
9 Key Passes 9
15 Successful Long Passes 14
35 Successful Long Passes Percentage 47

Defensive

5 Saves 5
10 Tackles 13
3 Interceptions 9
32 Duels Won 39

Build-up

13 Total Crosses 30
3 Accurate Crosses 5

Discipline

2 Offsides 2
11 Fouls 13

Lineup

Referee : Dennis Higler

Starting XI ▼

1
Ronald Koeman Jr.
Ronald Koeman Jr. Goalkeeper
7.41
4
Abdelnour Soualhia
Abdelnour Soualhia Defender
7.72
16
Sem Valk
Sem Valk Defender
43
Marvin Peersman
Marvin Peersman Defender
7.14
8
Emirhan Demircan
Emirhan Demircan
Attacker77'
2
Jeff Hardeveld
Jeff Hardeveld Midfielder
6.39
5
Prince Aning
Prince Aning
Midfielder65'
3
Gerald Alders
Gerald Alders Midfielder
18
Gabi Caschili
Gabi Caschili
Defender74'
6.48
10
Tyrone Owusu
Tyrone Owusu Midfielder
6.49
17
Nils Rossen
Nils Rossen Midfielder
6.64
7
Rui Mendes
Rui Mendes Attacker
6.51
19
Fabiano Rust
Fabiano Rust
Attacker65'
9
Jelani Seedorf
Jelani Seedorf Attacker
6.14
21
Fofin Turay
Fofin Turay
Attacker65'
27
Patrick Brouwer
Patrick Brouwer Attacker
7.06
Referee : Dennis Higler

Starting XI ▼

1
Marc ter Stegen
Marc ter Stegen Goalkeeper
7.29
3
Anton Gaaei
Anton Gaaei Defender
12
Caio Henrique
Caio Henrique Defender
7.1
21
Jofre Torrents
Jofre Torrents
Defender82'
30
Aaron Bouwman
Aaron Bouwman Defender
7
36
Dies Janse
Dies Janse Defender
8
Julian Brandt
Julian Brandt Midfielder
7.03
15
Youri Baas
Youri Baas
Defender66'
7.23
18
Davy Klaassen
Davy Klaassen Midfielder
7.06
68
Abdellah Ouazane
Abdellah Ouazane
Midfielder65'
7.03
24
Jorthy Mokio
Jorthy Mokio Midfielder
10
Oscar Gloukh
Oscar Gloukh Attacker
20
Oliver Edvardsen
Oliver Edvardsen
Attacker73'
23
Steven Berghuis
Steven Berghuis Attacker
7.05
38
Marcos Leonardo
Marcos Leonardo
Attacker73'
99
Tolu Arokodare
Tolu Arokodare Attacker

Events

2ND-HALF
82'
Event
Jofre Torrents → Caio Henrique
10th Substitution
78'
Event
Marcos Leonardo
Left foot shot / 4th Goal
Event
Emirhan Demircan → Marvin Peersman
9th Substitution
77'
Event
Gabi Caschili → Gerald Alders
8th Substitution
74'
73'
Event
Oliver Edvardsen → Oscar Gloukh
6th Substitution
73'
Event
Marcos Leonardo → Steven Berghuis
7th Substitution
66'
Event
Youri Baas → Julian Brandt
5th Substitution
Event
Prince Aning → Jeff Hardeveld
1st Substitution
65'
Event
Fabiano Rust → Rui Mendes
3rd Substitution
65'
Event
Fofin Turay → Jelani Seedorf
4th Substitution
65'
65'
Event
Abdellah Ouazane → Davy Klaassen 
2nd Substitution
60'
Event
Tolu Arokodare
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
56'
Event
Steven Berghuis
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
1ST-HALF
44'
Event
Julian Brandt
Offside / Goal Disallowed
37'
Event
Davy Klaassen 
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 2 minutes of added time.
90
Update Update
Foul committed by Patrick Brouwer of Telstar.
90
Update Update
Anton Gaaei from Ajax wins a free kick in the defensive half.
90
Update Update
Patrick Brouwer from Telstar commits a foul.
90
Update Update
Youri Baas from Ajax wins a free kick in the attacking half.
90
Corner Corner
Telstar is awarded a corner after Aaron Bouwman concedes.
89
Update Update
Prince Aning from Telstar is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
89
Update Update
Foul committed by Oliver Edvardsen of Ajax.
89
Update Update
Tyrone Owusu from Telstar is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
89
Update Update
Foul committed by Jorthy Mokio of Ajax.
87
Attempt Attempt
Tyrone Owusu from Telstar misses the attempt with a right-footed shot from outside the box, sending it high and wide to the right. Nils Rossen provided the assist.
87
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed by Emirhan Demircan from Telstar with a right-footed shot from the center of the box.
86
Update Update
Emirhan Demircan from Telstar wins a free kick in the attacking half.
86
Update Update
Foul committed by Anton Gaaei of Ajax.
85
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Ronald Koeman from Telstar.
85
Update Update
Delay is over, and they are ready to continue.
82
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Ajax: Jofre Torrents comes on for Caio Henrique.
80
Update Update
Gabi Caschili from Telstar wins a free kick in the defensive half.
80
Update Update
Foul committed by Abdellah Ouazane of Ajax.
78
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Attempt saved. Abdellah Ouazane from Ajax has a right-footed shot from the left side of the box, but Ronald Koeman from Telstar saves it in the center of the goal. The shot was assisted by Oliver Edvardsen.
78
Attempt Attempt
Attempt saved. Marcos Leonardo from Ajax has his right-footed shot from the center of the box saved.
78
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Ajax score, making it 4-0 against Telstar. Marcos Leonardo finds the net with a left-footed shot from very close range.
77
Update Update
Delay is over, and they are ready to continue.
77
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Telstar: Emirhan Demircan comes on for Marvin Peersman due to an injury.
76
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Marvin Peersman from Telstar.
75
Corner Corner
Ajax wins a corner after Gabi Caschili concedes.
75
Update Update
Marcos Leonardo from Ajax commits a handball.
74
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Telstar: Gabi Caschili comes on for Gerald Alders.
73
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Ajax: Marcos Leonardo comes on for Steven Berghuis.
73
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Ajax: Oliver Edvardsen comes on for Oscar Gloukh.
72
Update Update
Prince Aning from Telstar is awarded a free kick in the attacking half.
72
Update Update
Foul committed by Anton Gaaei of Ajax.
71
Update Update
Foul committed by Anton Gaaei of Ajax.
71
Update Update
Nils Rossen from Telstar is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
70
Attempt Attempt
Attempt saved. Oscar Gloukh from Ajax has his right-footed shot from outside the box saved.
69
Attempt Attempt
Anton Gaaei from Ajax has a right-footed shot from over 35 yards, but it's blocked.
68
Update Update
Prince Aning from Telstar commits a foul.
68
Update Update
Steven Berghuis from Ajax wins a free kick in the defensive half.
66
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Ajax: Youri Baas comes on for Julian Brandt.
66
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Telstar: Prince Aning comes on for Jeff Hardeveld.
66
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Telstar: Fofin Turay comes on for Jelani Seedorf.
66
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Ajax: Abdellah Ouazane comes on for Davy Klaassen.
65
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Telstar: Fabiano Rust comes on for Rui Mendes.
63
Corner Corner
Telstar wins a corner after Anton Gaaei concedes.
61
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Patrick Brouwer from Telstar had a header from very close range that went to the right. He was assisted by Abdelnour Soualhia, who provided a headed pass.
60
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Ajax lead 3-0 against Telstar as Tolu Arokodare scores with a right-footed shot from outside the box.
56
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Ajax leads 2-0 against Telstar. Steven Berghuis scores with a right-footed shot from the center of the box after a quick counter-attack.
55
Update Update
Jeff Hardeveld from Telstar wins a free kick in the defensive half.
55
Update Update
Foul committed by Anton Gaaei of Ajax.
54
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Rui Mendes from Telstar takes a right-footed shot from the right side of the box, but it goes close and misses to the left. He was assisted by Patrick Brouwer.
53
Update Update
Dies Janse from Ajax wins a free kick in the defensive half.
52
Update Update
Jelani Seedorf from Telstar commits a foul.
50
Update Update
Foul committed by Gerald Alders of Telstar.
50
Update Update
Oscar Gloukh from Ajax is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
49
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Davy Klaassen from Ajax takes a right-footed shot from outside the box.
47
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Attempt saved. Rui Mendes from Telstar has his right-footed shot from the right side of the box saved in the center of the goal by Marc ter Stegen of Ajax. The assist came from Gerald Alders.
47
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Telstar after a concession by Marc ter Stegen.
47
Update Update
Foul committed by Jeff Hardeveld of Telstar.
47
Update Update
Steven Berghuis from Ajax is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
46
Update Update
The second half begins with the score at Telstar 0, Ajax 1.
45
Update Update
Rui Mendes of Telstar is caught offside.
45
Update Update
Foul committed by Gerald Alders of Telstar.
45
Update Update
Oscar Gloukh from Ajax wins a free kick in the attacking half.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 2 minutes of added time.
44
Update Update
Julian Brandt is caught offside for Ajax.
43
Update Update
Tolu Arokodare from Ajax is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
43
Update Update
Marvin Peersman from Telstar commits a foul.
42
Corner Corner
Attempt saved. Marc ter Stegen (Ajax) saves a right-footed shot from outside the box by Gerald Alders (Telstar), which was assisted by Rui Mendes. The shot was aimed at the bottom left corner.
40
Update Update
Nils Rossen from Telstar wins a free kick in the attacking half.
40
Update Update
Foul committed by Oscar Gloukh of Ajax.
39
Update Update
Marvin Peersman's header from the center of the box is blocked. The attempt was assisted by Patrick Brouwer's cross.
39
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Attempt saved. Marc ter Stegen (Ajax) saves a header from Marvin Peersman (Telstar) taken from the center of the box, directed towards the top center of the goal.
39
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Telstar after Jorthy Mokio concedes.
39
Update Update
Foul committed by Jeff Hardeveld of Telstar.
39
Update Update
Caio Henrique from Ajax is awarded a free kick on the left wing.
38
Update Update
Jelani Seedorf from Telstar is awarded a free kick on the left wing.
38
Update Update
Foul committed by Anton Gaaei of Ajax.
37
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Ajax takes the lead 1-0 against Telstar with Davy Klaassen scoring from very close range after a corner.
36
Corner Corner
Ajax is awarded a corner after Marvin Peersman concedes.
31
Corner Corner
Attempt saved. Ronald Koeman (Telstar) saves a left-footed shot from long range on the right by Steven Berghuis (Ajax), which was aimed at the bottom right corner.
30
Update Update
Tyrone Owusu from Telstar commits a foul.
30
Update Update
Anton Gaaei from Ajax wins a free kick in the attacking half.
30
Attempt Attempt
Attempt saved. Tolu Arokodare from Ajax has a left-footed shot from the center of the box that is saved.
29
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Rui Mendes from Telstar takes a right-footed shot from outside the box.
28
Update Update
Attempt blocked. Sem Valk's header from the center of the box is blocked. Patrick Brouwer provided the assist with a cross.
27
Corner Corner
Telstar wins a corner after Aaron Bouwman concedes.
23
Update Update
Ajax is flagged for offside as Oscar Gloukh is caught in an offside position.
21
Update Update
Abdelnour Soualhia from Telstar wins a free kick in the attacking half.
21
Update Update
Foul committed by Jorthy Mokio of Ajax.
20
Update Update
Rui Mendes from Telstar wins a free kick in the defensive half.
20
Update Update
Dies Janse of Ajax commits a foul.
15
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Attempt saved. Rui Mendes from Telstar has a left-footed shot from the left side of the box, but it's saved in the top center of the goal by Marc ter Stegen from Ajax.
15
Update Update
Tyrone Owusu from Telstar wins a free kick in the defensive half.
15
Update Update
Foul committed by Steven Berghuis of Ajax.
13
Update Update
Offside called against Telstar. Patrick Brouwer is caught offside.
12
Update Update
Sem Valk from Telstar committed a foul.
12
Update Update
Oscar Gloukh of Ajax wins a free kick in the attacking half.
11
Corner Corner
Ajax wins a corner after Gerald Alders concedes.
10
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Dies Janse from Ajax takes a left-footed shot from outside the box.
9
Corner Corner
Ajax have been awarded a corner after a concession by Gerald Alders.
1
Update Update
First half begins.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Telstar 0-4 Ajax. Structural assessment: Ajax exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.