Las Palmas vs Real Zaragoza preview

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio de Gran Canaria Sun, 24 May - 4:30 PM
La Liga 2
Las Palmas LPA
Real Zaragoza ZAR
KICKOFF : Sun, 24 May - 4:30 PM
Round 41 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Las Palmas host Real Zaragoza in La Liga 2 (Regular Season) at Estadio de Gran Canaria. Domestically, Las Palmas sit 5th in the table while Real Zaragoza are 22th. Power ranking favours Las Palmas by 7 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Las Palmas hold a +7 pts power-ranking advantage heading into this fixture.
  • Form: Las Palmas sit above baseline on opponent-adjusted form.
  • Squad: No major squad or availability edge; impact is neutral.
  • Efficiency: Las Palmas show stronger possession-adjusted chance creation in the data.
  • Transition: Las Palmas have a moderate edge in transition threat.
  • Set pieces: Las Palmas carry higher set-play value and dead-ball upside.
  • xVariable: Las Palmas hold a marginal advantage on underlying metrics.
  • Market: Las Palmas 65.3% (Δ-0.4%) | Draw 21.9% (Δ+0.2%) | Real Zaragoza 12.8% (Δ+0.1%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Las Palmas L. García Fernández
L. García Fernández
VS
Real Zaragoza D. Navarro Arenaz
D. Navarro Arenaz
1.6
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.92
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Almería Rank: 71 W
FC Andorra Rank: 66 L
Real Valladolid Rank: 61 W
Cádiz Rank: 57 W
Leganés Rank: 63 W
Málaga Rank: 71 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sporting Gijón Rank: 63 L
Real Valladolid Rank: 61 L
Granada Rank: 64 L
Huesca Rank: 58 L
Ceuta Rank: 61 D
Córdoba Rank: 65 L
5
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
5 - 6 - 8
8
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Las Palmas
65.29%
Draw
21.9%
Away Real Zaragoza
12.81%

Movement

Changes since opening
Las Palmas
-0.36%
Draw
+0.22%
Real Zaragoza
+0.13%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
63.31
56.3
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Las Palmas
Real Zaragoza
Power Score
63.31
56.3
League Position
5
22
Global Rank
190
598

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Las Palmas — Opponent-weighted form score
Real Zaragoza — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Las Palmas Real Zaragoza

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 19 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Las Palmas LPA Home
19 matches
Real Zaragoza ZAR Away
Match Record
5
Wins
8
6
Draws
6
8
Losses
5
Goals
24
Goals Scored
29
29
Goals Conceded
24
-5
Goal Difference
+5
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-22T00:10:48+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Pitch
D. Horkaš
1 D. Horkaš
M. Olawale Akinlabi Park
2 M. Olawale Akinlabi Park
Á. Suárez
4 Á. Suárez
M. Marmol Medina
3 M. Marmol Medina
E. Clemente Maza
5 E. Clemente Maza
T. Miyashiro
18 T. Miyashiro
L. Amatucci
16 L. Amatucci
K. Rodríguez Concepción
20 K. Rodríguez Concepción
E. Pedrola Fortuny
39 E. Pedrola Fortuny
J. Rodríguez Ruiz
10 J. Rodríguez Ruiz
M. Fuster Lázaro
14 M. Fuster Lázaro
A. Rodríguez Giménez
13 A. Rodríguez Giménez
D. Esmorís Tasende
3 D. Esmorís Tasende
J. Larios López
27 J. Larios López
A. Radovanović
16 A. Radovanović
J. Serrano
2 J. Serrano
Y. Saidu
33 Y. Saidu
M. Cuenca Aranda
23 M. Cuenca Aranda
K. Bare
6 K. Bare
A. Moya Vega
8 A. Moya Vega
H. Pinilla Ruiz
31 H. Pinilla Ruiz
D. Gómez Alcón
9 D. Gómez Alcón

General Information

Date & Time
May 24, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 41 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio de Gran Canaria
Capacity
32392
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Dinko Horkas
Dinko Horkas Goalkeeper
6.84
39
Estanis Pedrola
Estanis Pedrola Midfielder
6.89
18
Taisei Miyashiro
Taisei Miyashiro Midfielder
6.82
14
Manu Fuster
Manu Fuster Attacker
7.21
10
Jesé
Jesé Attacker
6.93
2
Marvin Park
Marvin Park Right Back
6.78
3
Mika Mármol
Mika Mármol Left Back
7.01
4
Álex Suárez
Álex Suárez Right Back
6.59
5
Enrique Clemente
Enrique Clemente Left Back
6.99
16
Lorenzo Amatucci
Lorenzo Amatucci Central Midfield
6.97
20
Kirian Rodríguez
Kirian Rodríguez Central Midfield
6.84

Starting XI ▼

13
Adrián Rodríguez
Adrián Rodríguez Goalkeeper
6.81
31
Hugo Pinilla
Hugo Pinilla Midfielder
6.43
23
Marcos Cuenca
Marcos Cuenca Midfielder
6.48
9
Dani Gómez
Dani Gómez Centre Forward
6.75
33
Yussif Saidu
Yussif Saidu Defensive Midfield
6.81
3
Dani Tasende
Dani Tasende Left Back
6.64
27
Juan Larios
Juan Larios Left Back
6.6
2
Juan Sebastián
Juan Sebastián Right Back
6.5
6
Keidi Bare
Keidi Bare Central Midfield
6.78
8
Toni Moya
Toni Moya Central Midfield
6.74
16
Aleksandar Radovanovic
Aleksandar Radovanovic Right Back
6.62

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Las Palmas holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Las Palmas a 7-point edge. External projection is Las Palmas 65.8%, draw 21.6%, and Real Zaragoza 12.6%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.