Vålerenga vs Kristiansund preview

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Intility Arena Tomorrow - 5:00 PM
Eliteserien
Vålerenga Vålerenga
Kristiansund Kristiansund
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 5:00 PM
Round 11 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Vålerenga host Kristiansund in Eliteserien (Regular Season) at Intility Arena. Domestically, Vålerenga sit 13th in the table while Kristiansund are 11th. Power ranking favours Vålerenga by 2.1 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Vålerenga hold a +2.1 pts power-ranking advantage heading into this fixture.
  • Form: Kristiansund sit below baseline on opponent-adjusted form.
  • Squad: No major squad or availability edge; impact is neutral.
  • Efficiency: Vålerenga show stronger possession-adjusted chance creation in the data.
  • Transition: Vålerenga have a moderate edge in transition threat.
  • Set pieces: Vålerenga carry higher set-play value and dead-ball upside.
  • xVariable: Vålerenga hold a marginal advantage on underlying metrics.
  • Market: Projection split: Vålerenga 61.7% (Δ+0%) | Draw 21.1% (Δ+0%) | Kristiansund 17.2% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Vålerenga J. Moesgaard
J. Moesgaard
VS
Kristiansund A. Robertsen Skiri
A. Robertsen Skiri
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Start Rank: 49 L
Sarpsborg 08 Rank: 59 W
HamKam Rank: 60 L
KFUM Rank: 56 D
Molde Rank: 65 L
Lillestrøm Rank: 56 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Viking Rank: 79 L
Lillestrøm Rank: 58 W
Molde Rank: 66 L
Sandefjord Rank: 62 L
HamKam Rank: 59 D
Aalesund Rank: 45 D
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 5 - 5
5
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Vålerenga
61.71%
Draw
21.14%
Away Kristiansund
17.15%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
58.01
55.92
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Vålerenga
Kristiansund
Power Score
58.01
55.92
League Position
13
11
Global Rank
545
605

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Vålerenga — Opponent-weighted form score
Kristiansund — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Vålerenga Kristiansund

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 14 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Vålerenga Vålerenga Home
14 matches
Kristiansund Kristiansund Away
Match Record
4
Wins
5
5
Draws
5
5
Losses
4
Goals
17
Goals Scored
17
17
Goals Conceded
17
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-27T00:02:51+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
O. Hedvall
1 O. Hedvall
H. Sjåtil
3 H. Sjåtil
A. Olsen
4 A. Olsen
S. Jarl
55 S. Jarl
K. Finnsson
2 K. Finnsson
H. Bjørdal
8 H. Bjørdal
M. Westergaard
28 M. Westergaard
C. Lange
10 C. Lange
E. Sørensen
11 E. Sørensen
M. Grundetjern
17 M. Grundetjern
F. Thorvaldsen
26 F. Thorvaldsen
A. Sæther
12 A. Sæther
F. Flex
3 F. Flex
M. Williamsen
17 M. Williamsen
J. Júlíusson
4 J. Júlíusson
A. Munksgaard
13 A. Munksgaard
J. Isaksen
6 J. Isaksen
W. Igor
20 W. Igor
M. Isah Ubandoma
7 M. Isah Ubandoma
N. Ødegård
8 N. Ødegård
A. Kurd Rønning
27 A. Kurd Rønning
L. Alvheim
19 L. Alvheim

General Information

Date & Time
May 29, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 11 · Regular Season
Stadium
Intility Arena
Capacity
3000
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Oscar Hedvall
Oscar Hedvall Goalkeeper
6.91
8
Henrik Bjørdal
Henrik Bjørdal Midfielder
7.1
11
Elias Sørensen
Elias Sørensen Midfielder
6.61
17
M. Grundetjern
M. Grundetjern Attacker
6.96
26
Filip Thorvaldsen
Filip Thorvaldsen Attacker
6.65
10
Carl Lange
Carl Lange Central Midfield
6.98
2
Kolbeinn Finnsson
Kolbeinn Finnsson Left Back
6.97
3
Hakon Sjatil
Hakon Sjatil Right Back
6.66
4
Aaron Kiil Olsen
Aaron Kiil Olsen Right Back
6.85
28
Magnus Westergaard
Magnus Westergaard Central Midfield
6.8
55
Sebastian Jarl
Sebastian Jarl Left Back
7.02

Starting XI ▼

12
A. Sæther
A. Sæther Goalkeeper
6.91
19
L. Alvheim
L. Alvheim Centre Forward
6.86
13
Alexander Munksgaard
Alexander Munksgaard Right Back
7.05
3
F. Flex
F. Flex Left Back
6.73
4
J. Júlíusson
J. Júlíusson Right Back
6.74
6
Jesper Isaksen
Jesper Isaksen Defensive Midfield
6.54
7
M. Ubandoma
M. Ubandoma Left Wing
6.41
8
N. Ødegård
N. Ødegård Attacking Midfield
6.68
17
M. Williamsen
M. Williamsen Left Back
6.78
20
W. Igor
W. Igor Defensive Midfield
6.77
27
A. Rønning
A. Rønning Right Wing
6.61

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Vålerenga holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Vålerenga a 2.1-point edge. External projection is Vålerenga 61.7%, draw 21.1%, and Kristiansund 17.2%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.